Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 6, 2006

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	2	Spurs	57%	93	103
	8	Lakers	43%	91	96

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
SAS	121.2	85	79.9
LAL	109.1	88	94.0

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-13

LAL

+19

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 59.2%

LAL

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Q4 - 0:00.0	LAL		103 100%	96 0%
Q4 - 0:02.0	SAS	Finley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)	103 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	103 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0	LAL	Brown Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	103 99.9%	96 0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0	LAL	MISS Parker Layup	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0	LAL	Parker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0	LAL	MISS Bryant 24' 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	LAL	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	103 99.9%	94 0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	LAL	Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	103 99.9%	93 0.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	103 99.9%	92 0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0	SAS	MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	92 0.1%
Q4 - 1:06	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (43 PTS)	103 99.9%	92 0.1%
Q4 - 1:06	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (42 PTS)	103 99.9%	91 0.1%
Q4 - 1:13	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 1:15	SAS	MISS Finley 22' Jump Shot	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 1:36	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 1:38	LAL	MISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	90 0.1%
Q4 - 1:54	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)	103 99.8%	90 0.2%
Q4 - 2:10	SAS	Spurs Rebound	100 99.5%	90 0.5%
Q4 - 2:12	LAL	MISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot	100 99.4%	90 0.6%
Q4 - 2:20	SAS	Odom STEAL (2 STL)	100 99.0%	90 1.0%
Q4 - 2:33	LAL	Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot (41 PTS)	100 99.5%	90 0.5%
Q4 - 2:45	SAS	Parker 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS)	100 99.8%	87 0.2%
Q4 - 3:08	LAL	Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot (38 PTS)	98 99.5%	87 0.5%
Q4 - 3:23	SAS	Parker 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	98 99.7%	84 0.3%
Q4 - 3:49	LAL	Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)	96 99.2%	84 0.8%
Q4 - 4:06	SAS	Parker 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	96 99.6%	81 0.4%
Q4 - 4:25	LAL	Bryant 26' Jump Shot (32 PTS)	94 99.5%	81 0.5%
Q4 - 4:40	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)	94 99.7%	79 0.3%
Q4 - 4:51	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2	91 99.3%	79 0.7%
Q4 - 4:51	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2	91 99.5%	79 0.5%
Q4 - 4:58	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)	91 99.3%	79 0.7%
Q4 - 5:01	SAS	Brown BLOCK (1 BLK)	91 98.5%	79 1.5%
Q4 - 5:10	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	91 98.8%	79 1.2%
Q4 - 5:10	LAL	Odom Tip Shot (13 PTS)	91 98.8%	79 1.2%
Q4 - 5:15	LAL	MISS George Layup	91 99.3%	77 0.7%
Q4 - 5:19	SAS	George STEAL (3 STL)	91 99.1%	77 0.9%
Q4 - 5:23	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)	91 99.4%	77 0.6%
Q4 - 5:23	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)	91 99.4%	76 0.6%
Q4 - 5:38	SAS	Finley 15' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)	91 99.6%	75 0.4%
Q4 - 6:08	LAL	George REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	89 99.1%	75 0.9%
Q4 - 6:08	LAL	George Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	89 99.1%	75 0.9%
Q4 - 6:10	LAL	MISS Bryant 28' 3PT Jump Shot	89 99.4%	73 0.6%
Q4 - 6:26	LAL	George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	89 99.3%	73 0.7%
Q4 - 6:28	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	89 99.5%	73 0.5%
Q4 - 6:28	SAS	MISS Duncan Tip Shot	89 99.4%	73 0.6%
Q4 - 6:30	SAS	MISS Parker 6' Jump Shot	89 99.4%	73 0.6%
Q4 - 6:43	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	89 99.5%	73 0.5%
Q4 - 6:45	LAL	MISS George 26' 3PT Jump Shot	89 99.4%	73 0.6%
Q4 - 6:55	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (15 PTS)	89 99.3%	73 0.7%
Q4 - 7:06	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	87 98.7%	73 1.3%
Q4 - 7:08	SAS	MISS Mohammed Layup	87 98.4%	73 1.6%
Q4 - 7:28	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)	87 98.7%	73 1.3%
Q4 - 7:28	LAL	Bryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)	87 98.7%	72 1.3%
Q4 - 7:32	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	87 99.0%	71 1.0%
Q4 - 7:34	SAS	MISS Finley 20' Jump Shot	87 99.1%	71 0.9%
Q4 - 7:55	LAL	Walton 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)	87 99.3%	71 0.7%
Q4 - 8:06	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	87 99.1%	69 0.9%
Q4 - 8:09	SAS	MISS Bowen 22' Jump Shot	87 99.2%	69 0.8%
Q4 - 8:30	SAS	Spurs Rebound	87 99.3%	69 0.7%
Q4 - 8:32	LAL	MISS Vujacic 3PT Jump Shot	87 99.3%	69 0.7%
Q4 - 8:41	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	87 99.2%	69 0.8%
Q4 - 8:44	LAL	MISS George 3PT Jump Shot	87 99.3%	69 0.7%
Q4 - 8:47	LAL	Vujacic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	87 99.2%	69 0.8%
Q4 - 8:50	LAL	MISS Walton 14' Jump Shot	87 99.3%	69 0.7%
Q4 - 9:03	SAS	Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barry 3 AST)	87 98.9%	69 1.1%
Q4 - 9:22	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	84 98.3%	69 1.7%
Q4 - 9:22	LAL	Odom Reverse Layup (11 PTS)	84 98.3%	69 1.7%
Q4 - 9:25	LAL	MISS Odom 6' Jump Shot	84 98.8%	67 1.2%
Q4 - 9:49	SAS	Nesterovic 8' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)	84 98.6%	67 1.4%
Q4 - 10:12	LAL	Walton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)	82 97.9%	67 2.1%
Q4 - 10:21	SAS	Spurs Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#11)	82 97.3%	67 2.7%
Q4 - 10:27	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	82 97.9%	67 2.1%
Q4 - 10:29	LAL	MISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 2	82 97.8%	67 2.2%
Q4 - 10:29	LAL	Walton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	82 97.5%	67 2.5%
Q4 - 10:43	SAS	Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)	82 97.9%	66 2.1%
Q4 - 11:00	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	79 96.7%	66 3.3%
Q4 - 11:02	LAL	MISS George 20' Jump Shot	79 95.8%	66 4.2%
Q4 - 11:15	LAL	Vujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	79 95.2%	66 4.8%
Q4 - 11:18	SAS	MISS Barry 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79 95.5%	66 4.5%
Q4 - 11:32	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	79 96.1%	66 3.9%
Q4 - 11:34	SAS	MISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79 95.5%	66 4.5%
Q4 - 11:47	LAL	Odom 5' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)	79 96.2%	66 3.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		79 96.9%	64 3.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0	LAL	Bryant 15' Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	79 97.5%	64 2.5%
Q3 - 0:03.0	SAS	Parker STEAL (2 STL)	79 97.6%	62 2.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0	LAL	Bryant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)	79 98.0%	62 2.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0	SAS	George STEAL (2 STL)	79 97.6%	62 2.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0	LAL	Parker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)	79 98.0%	62 2.0%
Q3 - 1:04	LAL	George REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	79 97.1%	62 2.9%
Q3 - 1:06	LAL	MISS Bryant 27' 3PT Jump Shot	79 97.5%	62 2.5%
Q3 - 1:23	SAS	Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 9 AST)	79 97.2%	62 2.8%
Q3 - 1:46	LAL	Brown 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)	76 95.9%	62 4.1%
Q3 - 2:01	SAS	Van Exel Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)	76 96.0%	60 4.0%
Q3 - 2:13	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	76 96.7%	60 3.3%
Q3 - 2:16	SAS	MISS Van Exel 25' 3PT Jump Shot	76 96.2%	60 3.8%
Q3 - 2:29	LAL	George Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)	76 96.7%	60 3.3%
Q3 - 2:29	SAS	George STEAL (1 STL)	76 96.0%	60 4.0%
Q3 - 2:44	LAL	Brown Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	76 96.7%	60 3.3%
Q3 - 2:56	SAS	Van Exel 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 8 AST)	76 96.0%	60 4.0%
Q3 - 3:18	LAL	Bryant Reverse Layup (24 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	74 94.9%	60 5.1%
Q3 - 3:33	SAS	Finley 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Duncan 7 AST)	74 95.6%	58 4.4%
Q3 - 3:52	LAL	Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Odom 4 AST)	72 94.9%	58 5.1%
Q3 - 4:09	SAS	Duncan 7' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)	72 95.9%	55 4.1%
Q3 - 4:24	SAS	Spurs Rebound	70 95.3%	55 4.7%
Q3 - 4:24	LAL	MISS Parker Layup	70 95.0%	55 5.0%
Q3 - 4:31	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	70 94.3%	55 5.7%
Q3 - 4:31	SAS	Nesterovic Tip Shot (2 PTS)	70 94.3%	55 5.7%
Q3 - 4:33	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	68 93.5%	55 6.5%
Q3 - 4:33	SAS	MISS Nesterovic Tip Shot	68 92.6%	55 7.4%
Q3 - 4:35	SAS	MISS Parker Layup	68 92.6%	55 7.4%
Q3 - 4:54	LAL	Bryant Driving Layup (22 PTS)	68 93.5%	55 6.5%
Q3 - 5:01	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	68 93.8%	53 6.2%
Q3 - 5:04	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot	68 94.1%	53 5.9%
Q3 - 5:17	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	68 94.8%	53 5.2%
Q3 - 5:19	LAL	MISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot	68 94.5%	53 5.5%
Q3 - 5:44	SAS	Parker Layup (13 PTS)	68 93.9%	53 6.1%
Q3 - 6:02	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	66 92.3%	53 7.7%
Q3 - 6:02	LAL	Odom Layup (7 PTS)	66 92.3%	53 7.7%
Q3 - 6:05	LAL	MISS Bryant 10' Jump Shot	66 94.0%	51 6.0%
Q3 - 6:25	SAS	Parker Layup (11 PTS)	66 93.3%	51 6.7%
Q3 - 6:28	LAL	Odom Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)	64 92.3%	51 7.7%
Q3 - 6:33	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	64 91.0%	51 9.0%
Q3 - 6:34	SAS	MISS Parker Layup	64 91.4%	51 8.6%
Q3 - 6:46	LAL	Bryant Driving Finger Roll (20 PTS)	64 92.3%	51 7.7%
Q3 - 7:00	SAS	Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)	64 93.3%	49 6.7%
Q3 - 7:06	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	61 90.4%	49 9.6%
Q3 - 7:08	LAL	MISS Mihm 5' Hook Shot	61 90.0%	49 10.0%
Q3 - 7:29	SAS	Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)	61 88.8%	49 11.2%
Q3 - 7:42	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	58 85.6%	49 14.4%
Q3 - 7:43	LAL	MISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot	58 85.0%	49 15.0%
Q3 - 8:01	SAS	Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	58 83.1%	49 16.9%
Q3 - 8:15	LAL	Mihm Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)	55 78.7%	49 21.3%
Q3 - 8:32	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (9 PTS)	55 75.7%	49 24.3%
Q3 - 8:46	SAS	Spurs Rebound	53 73.2%	49 26.8%
Q3 - 8:47	LAL	MISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot	53 72.1%	49 27.9%
Q3 - 8:53	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	53 69.7%	49 30.3%
Q3 - 8:56	SAS	MISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot	53 70.8%	49 29.2%
Q3 - 9:10	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	53 72.6%	49 27.4%
Q3 - 9:12	LAL	MISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot	53 71.7%	49 28.3%
Q3 - 9:30	SAS	Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)	53 69.6%	49 30.4%
Q3 - 9:50	LAL	Bryant Alley Oop Dunk (18 PTS) (Mihm 3 AST)	50 63.2%	49 36.8%
Q3 - 10:04	SAS	Duncan 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	50 66.3%	47 33.7%
Q3 - 10:12	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	48 63.5%	47 36.5%
Q3 - 10:14	LAL	MISS Bryant 22' Jump Shot	48 62.3%	47 37.7%
Q3 - 10:31	SAS	Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)	48 59.7%	47 40.3%
Q3 - 10:38	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45 53.1%	47 46.9%
Q3 - 10:40	LAL	MISS Cook 17' Jump Shot	45 51.9%	47 48.1%
Q3 - 10:55	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	45 49.1%	47 50.9%
Q3 - 10:57	SAS	MISS Parker 22' Jump Shot	45 50.3%	47 49.7%
Q3 - 11:04	LAL	Bryant Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	45 53.6%	47 46.4%
Q3 - 11:15	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	45 50.0%	47 50.0%
Q3 - 11:17	SAS	MISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot	45 51.1%	47 48.9%
Q3 - 11:37	LAL	Parker Driving Layup (4 PTS)	45 53.5%	47 46.5%
Q3 - 11:51	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)	45 56.8%	45 43.2%
Q3 - 11:51	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)	44 55.8%	45 44.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0	SAS		43 53.5%	45 46.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	LAL	Bryant Driving Layup (16 PTS)	43 53.5%	45 46.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	43 57.6%	43 42.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0	LAL	MISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot	43 59.2%	43 40.8%
Q2 - 0:30.0	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	43 57.6%	43 42.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	42 56.9%	43 43.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	41 53.4%	43 46.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0	LAL	MISS Bryant 14' Jump Shot	41 52.6%	43 47.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	41 51.0%	43 49.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0	SAS	MISS Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	41 51.7%	43 48.3%
Q2 - 1:02	LAL	Odom Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)	41 53.2%	43 46.8%
Q2 - 1:14	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	41 51.6%	43 48.4%
Q2 - 1:32	LAL	Cook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	41 53.2%	43 46.8%
Q2 - 1:47	SAS	Duncan 6' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Barry 2 AST)	41 51.6%	43 48.4%
Q2 - 2:07	LAL	Bryant 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	39 47.9%	43 52.1%
Q2 - 2:17	SAS	Mihm STEAL (1 STL)	39 51.2%	41 48.8%
Q2 - 2:18	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	39 54.1%	41 45.9%
Q2 - 2:20	SAS	MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot	39 52.1%	41 47.9%
Q2 - 2:34	LAL	Mihm Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Odom 3 AST)	39 54.0%	41 46.0%
Q2 - 2:47	LAL	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	39 57.4%	39 42.6%
Q2 - 2:49	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	39 58.3%	39 41.7%
Q2 - 3:07	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	39 60.6%	39 39.4%
Q2 - 3:09	LAL	MISS Odom 6' Jump Shot	39 59.6%	39 40.4%
Q2 - 3:23	LAL	Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	39 57.3%	39 42.7%
Q2 - 3:24	LAL	MISS Parker Layup	39 59.6%	39 40.4%
Q2 - 3:32	LAL	Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39 57.3%	39 42.7%
Q2 - 3:34	SAS	Mihm BLOCK (2 BLK)	39 58.3%	39 41.7%
Q2 - 3:55	LAL	Mihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	39 60.5%	39 39.5%
Q2 - 3:55	LAL	MISS Mihm Free Throw 1 of 2	39 61.3%	38 38.7%
Q2 - 3:55	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	39 60.2%	38 39.8%
Q2 - 3:56	LAL	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	39 62.4%	38 37.6%
Q2 - 4:15	SAS	Mohammed 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	39 60.5%	38 39.5%
Q2 - 4:26	LAL	Mihm Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	37 57.7%	38 42.3%
Q2 - 4:40	SAS	Mohammed 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)	37 54.8%	38 45.2%
Q2 - 4:54	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	35 52.0%	38 48.0%
Q2 - 4:55	SAS	MISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot	35 49.9%	38 50.1%
Q2 - 5:09	SAS	Spurs Rebound	35 52.4%	38 47.6%
Q2 - 5:10	SAS	MISS Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot	35 50.2%	38 49.8%
Q2 - 5:26	LAL	Bryant 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mihm 2 AST)	35 52.4%	38 47.6%
Q2 - 5:50	SAS	Bowen Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)	35 54.9%	36 45.1%
Q2 - 5:53	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	33 52.3%	36 47.7%
Q2 - 5:55	LAL	MISS Bryant Layup	33 51.4%	36 48.6%
Q2 - 6:06	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 49.6%	36 50.4%
Q2 - 6:08	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 50.6%	36 49.4%
Q2 - 6:27	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	33 52.9%	36 47.1%
Q2 - 6:29	LAL	MISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot	33 51.9%	36 48.1%
Q2 - 6:46	SAS	Mohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	33 49.6%	36 50.4%
Q2 - 6:46	SAS	Mohammed Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	33 49.6%	36 50.4%
Q2 - 6:49	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	31 45.1%	36 54.9%
Q2 - 7:13	LAL	Walton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	31 47.9%	36 52.1%
Q2 - 7:28	SAS	Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)	31 45.1%	36 54.9%
Q2 - 7:54	LAL	Walton 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)	28 40.1%	36 59.9%
Q2 - 8:16	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28 42.5%	34 57.5%
Q2 - 8:17	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	28 43.4%	34 56.6%
Q2 - 8:30	LAL	Odom Layup (5 PTS)	28 45.4%	34 54.6%
Q2 - 8:33	LAL	Odom REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	28 47.7%	32 52.3%
Q2 - 8:35	LAL	MISS Brown Dunk	28 49.7%	32 50.3%
Q2 - 8:43	LAL	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	28 47.7%	32 52.3%
Q2 - 8:45	LAL	MISS Walton 8' Jump Shot	28 49.7%	32 50.3%
Q2 - 8:53	LAL	George REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 47.7%	32 52.3%
Q2 - 8:54	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	28 48.6%	32 51.4%
Q2 - 9:06	LAL	Vujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (George 1 AST)	28 50.9%	32 49.1%
Q2 - 9:21	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	28 55.6%	29 44.4%
Q2 - 9:21	SAS	MISS Duncan 9' Hook Shot	28 56.4%	29 43.6%
Q2 - 9:44	LAL	Odom 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)	28 58.3%	29 41.7%
Q2 - 9:57	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	28 55.6%	29 44.4%
Q2 - 9:59	SAS	MISS Van Exel 19' Jump Shot	28 56.4%	29 43.6%
Q2 - 10:13	LAL	Vujacic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)	28 58.2%	29 41.8%
Q2 - 10:29	SAS	Duncan 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mohammed 1 AST)	28 55.5%	29 44.5%
Q2 - 10:41	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 53.3%	29 46.7%
Q2 - 10:42	LAL	MISS Brown Layup	26 52.4%	29 47.6%
Q2 - 10:54	SAS	Duncan 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	26 50.5%	29 49.5%
Q2 - 11:01	SAS	Spurs Rebound	24 48.4%	29 51.6%
Q2 - 11:01	SAS	Odom BLOCK (1 BLK)	24 46.8%	29 53.2%
Q2 - 11:12	LAL	Vujacic 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	24 48.4%	29 51.6%
Q2 - 11:36	SAS	Van Exel 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	24 50.8%	27 49.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0	LAL		21 46.0%	27 54.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	21 44.0%	27 56.0%
Q1 - 0:20.0	LAL	MISS Bryant 26' 3PT Jump Shot	21 45.3%	27 54.7%
Q1 - 0:33.0	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	21 44.0%	27 56.0%
Q1 - 0:34.0	SAS	MISS Bowen Layup	21 44.6%	27 55.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	21 45.9%	27 54.1%
Q1 - 0:52.0	LAL	MISS Mihm 8' Jump Shot	21 45.3%	27 54.7%
Q1 - 1:09	SAS	Nesterovic Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	21 44.2%	27 55.8%
Q1 - 1:23	LAL	Odom 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)	21 46.0%	27 54.0%
Q1 - 1:40	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	21 51.2%	24 48.8%
Q1 - 1:43	SAS	MISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot	21 51.8%	24 48.2%
Q1 - 2:07	LAL	Bryant 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)	21 53.6%	24 46.4%
Q1 - 2:19	SAS	Finley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	21 56.1%	22 43.9%
Q1 - 2:37	LAL	Bryant Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	19 53.6%	22 46.4%
Q1 - 2:46	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	19 56.1%	20 43.9%
Q1 - 2:47	LAL	MISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot	19 57.5%	20 42.5%
Q1 - 2:56	LAL	Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	19 56.1%	20 43.9%
Q1 - 2:58	SAS	MISS Parker 13' Jump Shot	19 56.7%	20 43.3%
Q1 - 3:15	LAL	Bryant 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	19 58.4%	20 41.6%
Q1 - 3:23	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	19 60.3%	18 39.7%
Q1 - 3:25	LAL	MISS Cook 22' Jump Shot	19 62.0%	18 38.0%
Q1 - 3:38	SAS	Parker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)	19 60.3%	18 39.7%
Q1 - 3:48	LAL	Cook 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Odom 2 AST)	19 62.7%	18 37.3%
Q1 - 3:59	LAL	Mihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 64.6%	16 35.4%
Q1 - 4:01	SAS	MISS Duncan 16' Jump Shot	19 65.2%	16 34.8%
Q1 - 4:12	SAS	Nesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 66.9%	16 33.1%
Q1 - 4:14	LAL	MISS Parker Layup	19 66.2%	16 33.8%
Q1 - 4:17	LAL	Cook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 64.5%	16 35.5%
Q1 - 4:20	SAS	Mihm BLOCK (1 BLK)	19 65.2%	16 34.8%
Q1 - 4:39	LAL	Mihm Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	19 66.9%	16 33.1%
Q1 - 4:39	LAL	Mihm Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	19 67.4%	15 32.6%
Q1 - 4:48	SAS	Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	19 68.4%	14 31.6%
Q1 - 5:04	LAL	Bryant Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	16 64.6%	14 35.4%
Q1 - 5:08	SAS	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	16 66.3%	12 33.7%
Q1 - 5:30	LAL	Bryant Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)	16 68.4%	12 31.6%
Q1 - 5:48	SAS	Parker Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)	16 70.0%	10 30.0%
Q1 - 6:04	SAS	Spurs Rebound	14 67.9%	10 32.1%
Q1 - 6:05	LAL	MISS Mihm 16' Jump Shot	14 67.3%	10 32.7%
Q1 - 6:21	SAS	Parker 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)	14 66.1%	10 33.9%
Q1 - 6:45	LAL	Mihm 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)	12 64.3%	10 35.7%
Q1 - 6:58	SAS	Duncan Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	12 66.1%	8 33.9%
Q1 - 7:20	LAL	Mihm 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)	10 64.2%	8 35.8%
Q1 - 7:38	SAS	Duncan Layup (4 PTS)	10 65.8%	6 34.2%
Q1 - 8:05	LAL	Cook Layup (4 PTS) (Odom 1 AST)	8 64.6%	6 35.4%
Q1 - 8:11	SAS	Odom STEAL (1 STL)	8 66.2%	4 33.8%
Q1 - 8:22	SAS	Spurs Rebound	8 68.0%	4 32.0%
Q1 - 8:24	LAL	MISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot	8 67.4%	4 32.6%
Q1 - 8:42	SAS	Mohammed Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	8 66.1%	4 33.9%
Q1 - 9:00	LAL	Cook 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mihm 1 AST)	6 64.6%	4 35.4%
Q1 - 9:15	LAL	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 65.8%	2 34.2%
Q1 - 9:17	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 66.5%	2 33.5%
Q1 - 9:31	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 68.0%	2 32.0%
Q1 - 9:34	LAL	MISS Cook Layup	6 67.4%	2 32.6%
Q1 - 9:49	LAL	Bryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 65.9%	2 34.1%
Q1 - 9:52	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 66.5%	2 33.5%
Q1 - 10:03	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 67.7%	2 32.3%
Q1 - 10:05	LAL	MISS Parker Layup	6 67.2%	2 32.8%
Q1 - 10:35	SAS	Ginobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)	6 65.8%	2 34.2%
Q1 - 10:39	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 64.4%	2 35.6%
Q1 - 10:43	LAL	MISS Mihm 8' Hook Shot	4 63.8%	2 36.2%
Q1 - 10:56	SAS	Duncan 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)	4 62.4%	2 37.6%
Q1 - 11:08	LAL	LAKERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)	2 60.7%	2 39.3%
Q1 - 11:08	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	2 59.1%	2 40.9%
Q1 - 11:08	LAL	MISS Parker 26' 3PT Jump Shot	2 60.2%	2 39.8%
Q1 - 11:15	LAL	LAKERS Rebound	2 59.1%	2 40.9%
Q1 - 11:15	LAL	MISS Mihm Layup	2 60.2%	2 39.8%
Q1 - 11:34	SAS	Ginobili 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	2 59.1%	2 40.9%
Q1 - 11:48	LAL	Parker Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)	0 57.2%	2 42.8%
Q1 - 12:00	LAL	Jump Ball Mihm vs. Mohammed: Tip to Odom	0 59.1%	0 40.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 59.2%

LAL

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

52%

LAL

63%

Midrange

SAS

53%

LAL

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

18.0

52%

78%

LAL

9.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

SAS

71%

LAL

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	21	58%	10.5 / 18
M. Ginobili	21	88%	10.5 / 12
M. Finley	21	95%	10.5 / 11
T. Duncan	18	53%	9.0 / 17
N. Mohammed	8	67%	4.0 / 6
B. Bowen	5	36%	2.5 / 7
N. Van Exel	5	42%	2.5 / 6
R. Nesterovic	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Barry	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	43	61%	21.5 / 35
L. Odom	13	81%	6.5 / 8
S. Parker	9	38%	4.5 / 12
C. Mihm	9	45%	4.5 / 10
B. Cook	6	43%	3.0 / 7
L. Walton	5	50%	2.5 / 5
S. Vujacic	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Brown	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. George	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS

+12

-13

LAL

+19

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.18 59.2%

LAL

1.03 51.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Season Averages		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	107.1 107.9	SAS 121.2 +12.1 LAL 109.1
Pace	88.8 91.4	SAS 79.9 LAL 94.0 +14.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16.9 15.7	SAS 18.0 LAL 15.3 +2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.3% 49.5%	SAS 59.8% +9.2% LAL 50.6%
TO %	14.8% 14.5%	SAS 14.1% +0.3% LAL 14.4%
ORB %	26.1% 28.8%	SAS 29.4% LAL 42.9% +13.5%
FTrt	29.8 32.9	SAS 8.5 LAL 16.9 +8.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	57.4% 58.0%	SAS 67.4% +18.7% LAL 48.7%
STL %	7.4% 8.3%	SAS 9.4% +0.3% LAL 9.1%
BLK %	8.4% 6.7%	SAS 3.1% LAL 6.8% +3.7%

Season Averages		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.1% 52.4%	SAS 59.2% +7.6% LAL 51.6%
Rim FG%	61.7% 59.0%	SAS 52.0% LAL 62.5% +10.5%
Mid FG%	39.0% 40.2%	SAS 52.9% +13.5% LAL 39.4%
3P %	38.5% 34.9%	SAS 52.2% +18.9% LAL 33.3%
FT %	70.2% 74.5%	SAS 71.4% LAL 85.7% +14.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	36.7% 33.8%	SAS 30.5% LAL 38.6% +8.1%
Mid Att. %	41.8% 42.3%	SAS 41.5% LAL 39.8% +1.7%
3P Att. %	21.5% 24.0%	SAS 28.0% +6.4% LAL 21.7%

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	85	88
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	103	96
Rebounds	30	39
Assists	29	19
Steals	8	8
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (2)	15 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	20 (6)	24 (3)
Field Goals	43-82	39-83
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	20-32
Midrange FG	18-34	13-33
2-Point FG	31-59	33-65
3-Point FG	12-23	6-18
Free Throws	5-7	12-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORES

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	36.8	5	36%	4	2	1	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	33.4	21	58%	4	8	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-3	33%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	33.3	21	88%	6	3	1	0	3	0	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	5-6	83%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	32.0	8	67%	3	1	2	1	0	4	3	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	31.5	18	53%	7	9	2	1	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	26.0	21	95%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-6	83%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	15.4	4	50%	5	0	0	0	2	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.6	5	42%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	13.7	0	0%	0	3	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	59%	30	29	8	2	13	0	10	20	5-7	71%	31-59	53%	12-23	52%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	36.8	5	36%	4	2	1	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	33.4	21	58%	4	8	0	0	2	2	0	4	1-3	33%	10-18	56%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 29	33.3	21	88%	6	3	1	0	3	0	0	6	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	5-6	83%
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	32.0	8	67%	3	1	2	1	0	4	3	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	31.5	18	53%	7	9	2	1	0	1	2	5	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33	26.0	21	95%	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-5	60%	5-6	83%
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	15.4	4	50%	5	0	0	0	2	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.6	5	42%	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	13.7	0	0%	0	3	2	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 24
Sean Marks #40 · F-C · 6'10" 250 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	59%	30	29	8	2	13	0	10	20	5-7	71%	31-59	53%	12-23	52%

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8 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Lamar Odom F · 6'10" 230 · 26	45.2	13	81%	7	4	2	1	3	1	4	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	1-1	100%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 28	40.9	43	61%	6	3	0	0	2	2	0	6	6-6	100%	14-24	58%	3-8	38%
Smush Parker G · 6'4" 190 · 25	35.5	9	38%	4	5	2	0	1	1	2	2	2-2	100%	2-8	25%	1-3	33%
Chris Mihm C · 7'0" 265 · 27	25.3	9	45%	6	3	1	2	2	2	2	4	3-4	75%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Brian Cook F · 6'9" 250 · 25	20.4	6	43%	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Kwame Brown C · 6'11" 290 · 24	25.9	4	50%	7	2	0	1	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Devean George F · 6'8" 235 · 29	24.1	2	17%	4	1	3	0	1	0	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Luke Walton F · 6'8" 235 · 26	12.5	5	50%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 22	10.2	5	83%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Ronny Turiaf C · 6'10" 249 · 23
Andrew Bynum C · 7'0" 285 · 18
Jim Jackson F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35
Devin Green #11 · G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Von Wafer #23 · G · 6'5" 209 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Aaron McKie #2 · G · 6'5" 209 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	52%	39	19	8	4	14	0	15	24	12-14	86%	33-65	51%	6-18	33%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.