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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs57%93103
8Lakers43%9196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 34.7
36.8
33.9
5
36%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.8
33.4
32.8
21
54%
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-3
33%
10-18
6-12
56%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 28.6
33.3
23.9
21
88%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
5-6
83%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 28.5
32.0
21.9
8
67%
3
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 29.9
31.5
34.1
18
53%
7
9
2
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
8-16
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.0
26.0
21.9
21
95%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
5-6
83%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.8
15.4
14.1
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Van Exel
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.3
14.6
7.0
5
42%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 34.2
13.7
20.0
0
0%
0
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-3
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.0
3.4
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35.5
12.4
0
1-2
44%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
12.1
0
1-3
47%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
45.2
38.3
13
81%
7
4
2
1
1
3
4
3
0-0
-
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
1-1
100%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
40.9
38.2
43
62%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
6-6
100%
14-24
7-16
58%
46%
3-8
38%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.8
35.5
29.5
9
38%
4
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-5
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
25.3
22.6
9
46%
6
3
1
0
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
20.4
23.8
6
43%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.0
25.9
23.2
4
50%
7
2
0
0
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
24.1
22.5
2
17%
4
1
3
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.9
12.5
13.5
5
51%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.0
10.2
16.2
5
83%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 23.1
4.6
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 18.4
2.8
0
0-1
46%
Jim Jackson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 35.4
2.5
0
0-0
39%
Devin Green
G-F · 6'7" 212 · 23.4
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.