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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 6, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Grizzlies37%90101
16Nuggets63%94115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 25.2
39.2
16.8
11
51%
4
2
6
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-10
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 27.5
29.1
36.1
12
54%
2
1
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-5
40%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.7
23.2
35.9
10
40%
1
3
0
1
1
3
0
1
4-6
67%
3-10
7-14
30%
50%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 31.6
19.9
21.6
8
52%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
1-1
100%
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 26.7
16.3
18.5
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.0
28.4
25.7
15
66%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
3-5
60%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.0
27.7
27.1
22
77%
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
3-4
75%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
19.9
11.7
3
39%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 23.7
18.4
13.8
14
49%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
6-13
2-4
46%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Burks
G · 6'0" 195 · 26.0
14.6
2.9
2
33%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.1
1.8
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
1.8
2.1
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 34.4
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
34.0
35.0
35
71%
5
2
2
1
3
4
1
4
5-6
83%
15-21
8-16
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
33.9
32.6
14
89%
3
11
1
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
6-7
4-9
86%
48%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.6
33.6
27.0
16
58%
4
3
2
1
0
5
0
4
0-2
0%
8-13
5-9
62%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
32.2
31.2
13
69%
8
2
0
1
5
1
0
8
1-1
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
19.7
11.4
2
33%
7
2
0
0
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
28.8
22.7
15
75%
3
10
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
22.4
17.5
6
75%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
2-2
100%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
21.4
21.4
6
53%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
4-6
67%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
9.6
4.9
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.8
2.2
8.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
1-1
100%
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
2.2
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
13.8
0
1-2
45%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.