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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Nuggets44%97101
14Celtics56%99106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
38.8
30.9
36
73%
5
3
1
1
0
1
0
5
8-8
100%
14-18
7-15
78%
49%
0-3
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.0
35.6
35.9
19
53%
4
4
1
1
0
5
0
4
5-7
71%
7-15
5-10
47%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
33.0
22.4
6
43%
8
1
2
1
5
1
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 30.6
29.4
27.7
14
80%
1
3
1
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
6-7
5-10
86%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.0
17.8
15.0
1
57%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.2
25.4
29.6
5
36%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
1-2
50%
2-6
6-11
33%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.5
23.1
24.1
13
60%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
55%
4-9
44%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 29.8
20.9
24.6
7
54%
2
6
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-8
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 25.8
9.3
25.7
0
0%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
6.7
12.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 25.9
15.5
0
1-2
56%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 21.2
3.6
0
1-1
49%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.3
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 23.5
Howard Eisley
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.0
40.2
35.4
18
57%
5
5
4
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
2-7
29%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.4
37.3
40.0
36
68%
1
4
3
2
0
3
0
1
5-8
63%
14-19
8-16
74%
50%
1-4
25%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 22.6
31.4
12.5
12
46%
2
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-9
1-3
67%
53%
0-4
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 23.5
29.4
35.1
11
51%
11
0
1
1
0
2
2
9
1-2
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
21.3
29.7
0
0%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 21.2
21.8
16.5
6
45%
5
3
0
0
1
1
4
1
4-6
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 21.3
21.5
8.0
7
61%
6
1
0
0
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 24.1
21.4
31.4
6
75%
1
3
0
2
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-6
75%
44%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 24.2
15.5
19.1
10
85%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 20.1
0.2
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
11.4
0
1-1
43%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 22.8
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 30.9
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.