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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 12, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Cavaliers27%9392
4Heat73%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 21.2
45.3
40.1
47
60%
7
4
0
2
1
5
2
5
24-28
86%
10-21
9-18
48%
50%
1-6
17%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.6
39.1
36.8
6
34%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-10
29%
43%
0-1
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.9
37.0
32.8
4
33%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 30.8
33.2
26.1
21
69%
6
0
2
0
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
9-14
5-10
64%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.5
27.9
28.1
9
46%
12
0
2
1
1
1
3
9
1-2
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 29.5
19.8
18.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
15.5
19.5
3
75%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
12.7
17.6
0
0%
6
0
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-2
0%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
6.7
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.1
2.9
3.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 22.3
8.1
0
1-1
44%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.8
4.2
0
0-1
45%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.1
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.0
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 24.1
45.1
39.5
35
52%
9
7
2
2
1
2
3
6
13-18
72%
11-26
9-17
42%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.0
29.1
33.6
18
56%
8
1
0
0
0
5
5
3
4-5
80%
7-14
8-14
50%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 30.3
22.5
32.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 29.2
19.6
19.6
6
60%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.8
18.6
33.7
1
13%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
0-3
4-8
0%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 37.6
31.5
24.5
6
43%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
2-7
29%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
27.7
21.2
14
71%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.1
23.2
12.1
16
83%
8
0
0
0
1
2
2
6
4-6
67%
6-7
1-3
86%
55%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.6
22.8
13.9
2
50%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Shandon Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.2
10.8
0
1-2
46%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.7
4.6
0
1-1
44%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
51%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.1
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 20.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.