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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Wizards60%101101
28Hawks40%98114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
46.9
34.9
24
37%
7
1
1
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
7-22
5-11
32%
49%
3-10
30%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.2
42.4
37.9
41
61%
6
7
3
2
0
8
2
4
13-15
87%
5-16
6-11
31%
50%
6-11
55%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
29.8
29.1
5
42%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
1-1
100%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 29.2
29.4
11.9
3
61%
9
1
0
0
0
1
4
5
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
19.5
18.9
6
60%
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 26.4
27.8
16.2
11
64%
10
1
0
0
0
0
8
2
3-6
50%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
17.0
6.7
3
50%
2
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 23.7
17.0
12.7
4
29%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 29.0
5.1
2.8
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 19.6
4.7
4.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
0.4
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.1
28.2
1
3-6
50%
Peter John Ramos
C · 7'3" 275 · 20.9
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.7
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 24.8
40.1
38.0
20
55%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
7-7
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.1
30.4
24.4
10
46%
9
5
3
1
1
3
2
7
4-4
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.2
29.0
21.1
16
75%
8
1
2
1
1
4
1
7
10-13
77%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 20.3
28.8
37.3
25
80%
8
2
2
1
4
1
4
4
4-6
67%
6-8
5-10
75%
46%
3-5
60%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
5.0
13.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 22.8
37.1
25.8
12
69%
6
1
2
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.9
23.1
20.9
11
75%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
2-2
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 19.8
22.2
21.1
11
52%
6
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
5-8
63%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 22.6
16.1
16.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Grundy
G · 6'3" 185 · 27.0
4.9
11.1
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
2-2
100%
John Edwards
C · 7'0" 275 · 24.7
2.7
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Donta Smith
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.4
0.7
8.8
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.