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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
April 7, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors40%9589
25Hornets60%9895
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 30.8
39.7
39.5
36
93%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
6-8
6-13
75%
47%
7-10
70%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 21.6
38.8
33.0
14
50%
9
2
0
1
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.8
37.4
22.2
9
57%
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 28.6
37.1
40.8
13
35%
5
3
1
1
1
4
1
4
9-10
90%
2-10
5-10
20%
46%
0-4
0%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 24.4
9.2
20.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.0
33.8
23.8
9
35%
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
3-11
27%
Loren Woods
C · 7'2" 260 · 27.8
16.8
6.2
4
50%
10
1
0
0
2
1
5
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
43%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.1
14.1
15.8
2
17%
1
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.5
8.0
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.7
5.1
11.7
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.7
13.6
0
1-2
43%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.1
4.5
0
0-1
38%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.0
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 20.9
35.9
37.1
16
60%
3
8
2
2
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
50%
1-3
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.6
33.4
30.6
19
71%
9
1
0
1
1
1
3
6
3-3
100%
8-12
7-13
67%
53%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 31.2
24.2
24.0
8
58%
4
3
0
0
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
48%
0-0
-
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 25.8
23.1
23.1
13
81%
7
0
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
20.7
38.5
6
44%
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 27.9
27.1
28.6
11
40%
4
4
1
2
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
5-13
4-9
38%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 28.5
21.4
19.4
6
39%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34.5
19.3
20.5
4
67%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
18.1
7.2
7
39%
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-2
0%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
1-3
33%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 36.5
16.8
29.1
5
51%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 20.6
11.5
0
1-3
48%
Moochie Norris
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.7
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.9
Marcus Fizer
F · 6'9" 262 · 27.7
Arvydas Macijauskas
G · 6'4" 214 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.