Final Win Prob. pScore
2640%95
89
2560%98
95
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo Raptors
102.38798.6
Hornets
106.78979.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK89
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORRaptors Timeout: Short (Reg.6 Short 1)89
95
Q4 - 0:13.0NOKClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0NOKHORNETS Rebound89
94
Q4 - 0:13.0NOKMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 289
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORJames P.FOUL (P3.PN)89
94
Q4 - 0:15.0TORGraham P.FOUL (P5.T2)89
94
Q4 - 0:15.0NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)89
94
Q4 - 0:24.0NOKPaul 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)89
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORBarrett Tip Shot (2 PTS)89
7.1%
92
92.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORBarrett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)87
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 0:48.0TORMISS Bonner Layup87
2.3%
92
97.7%
Q4 - 1:03TORBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 1:05NOKMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot87
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 1:22NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 1:24TORMISS Villanueva Layup87
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 1:25TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
7.5%
92
92.5%
Q4 - 1:26TORMISS Graham Layup87
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 1:29TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 1:31NOKMISS Claxton 5' Jump Shot87
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 1:49TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS)87
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 2:04NOKClaxton 10' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)84
2.4%
92
97.6%
Q4 - 2:18NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Brown84
90
Q4 - 2:18TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)84
90
Q4 - 2:18NOKHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)84
90
Q4 - 2:20TORJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Barrett 3 AST)84
3.3%
90
96.7%
Q4 - 2:26TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 2:28NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot81
1.2%
90
98.8%
Q4 - 2:46TORBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)81
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 3:00TORSUB: Barrett FOR Peterson78
90
Q4 - 3:00NOKBrown L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)78
90
Q4 - 3:00TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)78
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:01NOKMISS Paul 21' Jump Shot78
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 3:22TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)78
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 3:37NOKBrown Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)75
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q4 - 3:58TORJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)75
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 4:15NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 1 AST)72
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q4 - 4:29NOKSUB: Butler FOR Mason72
85
Q4 - 4:29NOKSUB: West FOR Williams72
85
Q4 - 4:29TORBonner Violation:Kicked Ball72
85
Q4 - 4:38NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:39NOKMISS Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot72
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 4:56TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot72
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 5:15NOKMason 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 5:34TORVillanueva 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
1.8%
83
98.2%
Q4 - 5:44TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 5:46NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 5:56NOKSUB: Paul FOR Snyder70
83
Q4 - 5:56NOKHORNETS Rebound70
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 5:56NOKMISS Snyder 7' Jump Shot70
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q4 - 6:07TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P4.T13)70
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q4 - 6:07TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P4)70
83
Q4 - 6:18NOKBrown Layup (3 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)70
1.9%
83
98.1%
Q4 - 6:36TORSUB: Graham FOR Barrett70
81
Q4 - 6:36TORJames Foul Turnover (P2.T12)70
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 6:36TORJames OFF.Foul (P2)70
81
Q4 - 6:48NOKSnyder 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T14)70
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q4 - 6:53NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q4 - 6:55TORSnyder BLOCK (1 BLK)70
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q4 - 7:17TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 7:19NOKMISS Snyder Free Throw 2 of 270
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q4 - 7:19NOKHORNETS Rebound70
81
Q4 - 7:19NOKMISS Snyder Free Throw 1 of 270
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 7:19TORPeterson S.FOUL (P3.T1)70
81
Q4 - 7:22NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q4 - 7:23TORMISS Barrett Reverse Layup70
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q4 - 7:31NOKWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T1)70
81
Q4 - 7:50NOKSnyder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)70
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q4 - 8:06TORSUB: Barrett FOR Calderon70
78
Q4 - 8:06TORSUB: James FOR Woods70
78
Q4 - 8:06TORSUB: Villanueva FOR Graham70
78
Q4 - 8:0670
78
Q4 - 8:06TORPeterson Foul Turnover (P3.T11)70
8.6%
78
91.4%
Q4 - 8:06TORPeterson OFF.Foul (P2)70
78
Q4 - 8:24NOKClaxton 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)70
10.6%
78
89.4%
Q4 - 8:44NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
13.4%
76
86.6%
Q4 - 8:46TORMISS Calderon 7' Jump Shot70
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q4 - 9:01TORBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
18.1%
76
81.9%
Q4 - 9:03NOKMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot70
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 9:12NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q4 - 9:14TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q4 - 9:20TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
18.0%
76
82.0%
Q4 - 9:22NOKMISS Snyder 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q4 - 9:35NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
14.8%
76
85.2%
Q4 - 9:37NOKMISS Snyder 20' Jump Shot70
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q4 - 10:02TORWoods Tip Shot (4 PTS)70
15.8%
76
84.2%
Q4 - 10:03TORWoods REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)68
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q4 - 10:05TORMISS Peterson Layup68
11.3%
76
88.7%
Q4 - 10:26NOKWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snyder 3 AST)68
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q4 - 10:39NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
15.8%
74
84.2%
Q4 - 10:41TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
16.7%
74
83.3%
Q4 - 10:48TORWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)68
19.0%
74
81.0%
Q4 - 10:52NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot68
17.9%
74
82.1%
Q4 - 11:21TORPeterson 10' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)68
16.8%
74
83.2%
Q4 - 11:41TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q4 - 11:43NOKMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot66
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q4 - 12:0066
74
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR66
11.6%
74
88.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK66
74
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKWest 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)66
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q3 - 0:17.0TORClaxton STEAL (1 STL)66
17.7%
72
82.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORWoods REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)66
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q3 - 0:21.0TORMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOKPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)66
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORMISS Calderon 12' Jump Shot66
18.5%
72
81.5%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
20.4%
72
79.6%
Q3 - 0:57.0NOKHORNETS Rebound66
71
Q3 - 0:57.0NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 266
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORGraham P.FOUL (P4.PN)66
71
Q3 - 1:06NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q3 - 1:08TORMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
22.1%
71
77.9%
Q3 - 1:14TORWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
24.3%
71
75.7%
Q3 - 1:16NOKMISS Mason 5' Running Hook Shot66
23.3%
71
76.7%
Q3 - 1:34TORGraham 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)66
21.1%
71
78.9%
Q3 - 1:40TORSUB: Calderon FOR James63
71
Q3 - 1:40NOKClaxton P.FOUL (P1.T4)63
71
Q3 - 1:49NOKClaxton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)63
71
Q3 - 1:49NOKJump Ball Claxton vs. Peterson: Tip to Woods63
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 2:08TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)63
13.5%
71
86.5%
Q3 - 2:24NOKPaul P.FOUL (P1.T3)63
71
Q3 - 2:33NOKWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
15.8%
71
84.2%
Q3 - 2:33NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q3 - 2:33NOKSUB: Mason FOR Butler63
69
Q3 - 2:33TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)63
69
Q3 - 2:33TORWoods P.FOUL (P4.PN)63
69
Q3 - 2:49TORJames 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)63
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 3:13NOKClaxton 6' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)61
16.6%
69
83.4%
Q3 - 3:21NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 3:24TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot61
19.9%
67
80.1%
Q3 - 3:40NOKWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)61
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q3 - 3:53TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
25.2%
65
74.8%
Q3 - 3:53TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
24.6%
65
75.4%
Q3 - 3:53TORSUB: Woods FOR Villanueva59
65
Q3 - 3:53NOKSUB: Claxton FOR Johnson59
65
Q3 - 3:53NOKSUB: Williams FOR Jackson59
65
Q3 - 3:53NOKButler S.FOUL (P4.T2)59
65
Q3 - 3:57TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
22.1%
65
77.9%
Q3 - 3:59NOKMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
21.1%
65
78.9%
Q3 - 4:09NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
19.3%
65
80.7%
Q3 - 4:11TORMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.3%
65
79.7%
Q3 - 4:16TORJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 4:18TORMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
20.2%
65
79.8%
Q3 - 4:46NOKJackson Layup (8 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)59
22.6%
65
77.4%
Q3 - 5:12TORVillanueva Driving Layup (12 PTS)59
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 5:27NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)57
63
Q3 - 5:27NOKButler Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 5:27NOKButler OFF.Foul (P3)57
63
Q3 - 5:31NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 5:33TORButler BLOCK (2 BLK)57
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 5:38TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
22.9%
63
77.1%
Q3 - 5:40NOKMISS West 4' Jump Shot57
21.9%
63
78.1%
Q3 - 6:04TORJames 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Peterson 3 AST)57
20.3%
63
79.7%
Q3 - 6:06TORRaptors Rebound55
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 6:10TORMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
16.3%
63
83.7%
Q3 - 6:26TORPeterson Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)55
17.9%
63
82.1%
Q3 - 6:26NOKJackson T.FOUL (P1.T1)54
63
Q3 - 6:26NOKJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)54
15.7%
63
84.3%
Q3 - 6:33NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
20.2%
60
79.8%
Q3 - 6:35TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
21.1%
60
78.9%
Q3 - 6:54NOKButler Driving Finger Roll (3 PTS)54
23.2%
60
76.8%
Q3 - 7:05NOKPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 7:06TORMISS Peterson 20' Jump Shot54
27.2%
58
72.8%
Q3 - 7:16NOKJackson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T10)54
29.4%
58
70.6%
Q3 - 7:40TORVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)54
26.2%
58
73.8%
Q3 - 7:53NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
20.8%
58
79.2%
Q3 - 7:53NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 7:53TORBonner P.FOUL (P1.PN)51
56
Q3 - 8:09TORSUB: Bonner FOR Sow51
56
Q3 - 8:09TORSow Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q3 - 8:09TORSow OFF.Foul (P4)51
56
Q3 - 8:16NOKJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T9)51
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q3 - 8:16NOKJohnson OFF.Foul (P2)51
56
Q3 - 8:32TORSow P.FOUL (P3.T4)51
56
Q3 - 8:35NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
23.4%
56
76.6%
Q3 - 8:38NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 251
26.1%
56
73.9%
Q3 - 8:38NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
24.3%
56
75.7%
Q3 - 8:38TORPeterson S.FOUL (P1.T3)51
55
Q3 - 8:58TORSow P.FOUL (P2.T2)51
55
Q3 - 9:04NOKHORNETS Rebound51
26.6%
55
73.4%
Q3 - 9:04NOKJump Ball Jackson vs. James: Tip to West51
55
Q3 - 9:08NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q3 - 9:20NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 9:22TORMISS Peterson 19' Jump Shot51
27.5%
55
72.5%
Q3 - 9:38TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
29.6%
55
70.4%
Q3 - 9:39NOKMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot51
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q3 - 10:00TORGraham L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)51
55
Q3 - 10:00TORPaul STEAL (2 STL)51
26.5%
55
73.5%
Q3 - 10:02TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
29.7%
55
70.3%
Q3 - 10:04NOKMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
28.8%
55
71.2%
Q3 - 10:27TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)51
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q3 - 10:27TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)50
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 10:27NOKButler S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
55
Q3 - 10:56NOKPaul 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
24.1%
55
75.9%
Q3 - 11:11NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)49
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Peterson Layup49
27.9%
53
72.1%
Q3 - 11:17NOKJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)49
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q3 - 11:42TORGraham Driving Layup (4 PTS)49
27.0%
53
73.0%
Q3 - 12:0047
53
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR47
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)47
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 0:09.0TORBonner 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 3 AST)47
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOKPaul 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot44
28.4%
48
71.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0TORRaptors Rebound44
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 0:55.0NOKMISS Jackson Layup44
29.2%
48
70.8%
Q2 - 1:07NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 1:09NOKMISS Snyder 12' Fadeaway Jumper44
29.4%
48
70.6%
Q2 - 1:24TORSUB: Sow FOR Villanueva44
48
Q2 - 1:24TORSUB: Peterson FOR Graham44
48
Q2 - 1:24TORVillanueva P.FOUL (P2.T3)44
48
Q2 - 1:47TORJames 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)44
28.0%
48
72.0%
Q2 - 2:03NOKWest Dunk (15 PTS) (Snyder 2 AST)41
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 2:23TORSUB: Calderon FOR Barrett41
46
Q2 - 2:23TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)41
46
Q2 - 2:23NOKHORNETS Rebound41
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 2:23TORJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)41
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 2:44NOKWest 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)41
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 3:05TORJames 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)41
30.2%
44
69.8%
Q2 - 3:22NOKWest Dunk (11 PTS)39
28.1%
44
71.9%
Q2 - 3:23NOKWest REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 3:24NOKMISS West Hook Shot39
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 3:35NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
30.2%
42
69.8%
Q2 - 3:37TORMISS Barrett 19' Jump Shot39
31.2%
42
68.8%
Q2 - 3:52NOKSnyder Driving Layup (4 PTS)39
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 4:09TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barrett 2 AST)39
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 4:21TORRaptors Rebound36
30.5%
40
69.5%
Q2 - 4:21NOKMISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
29.7%
40
70.3%
Q2 - 4:32TORJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 4:32TORJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
27.4%
40
72.6%
Q2 - 4:32NOKJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
40
Q2 - 4:43TORBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
25.6%
40
74.4%
Q2 - 4:45TORMISS Barrett 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
23.9%
40
76.1%
Q2 - 5:03NOKPaul 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)34
25.9%
40
74.1%
Q2 - 5:19TORVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 2 AST)34
28.3%
38
71.7%
Q2 - 5:29NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Mason31
38
Q2 - 5:29NOKSnyder Violation:Kicked Ball31
38
Q2 - 5:46NOKJackson Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)31
23.6%
38
76.4%
Q2 - 5:57TORSUB: Graham FOR Sow31
36
Q2 - 5:57NOKSUB: Paul FOR Claxton31
36
Q2 - 5:5731
36
Q2 - 5:57NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
25.9%
36
74.1%
Q2 - 5:59TORWest BLOCK (1 BLK)31
26.6%
36
73.4%
Q2 - 6:16TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
28.6%
36
71.4%
Q2 - 6:19NOKMISS Snyder 3PT Jump Shot31
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 6:35TORJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)31
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 6:50NOKMason Violation:Kicked Ball28
36
Q2 - 6:55NOKSUB: West FOR Brown28
36
Q2 - 6:55NOKBrown P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
36
Q2 - 7:06NOKJackson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T7)28
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:17TORVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 7:17TORVillanueva OFF.Foul (P1)28
36
Q2 - 7:24NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T6)28
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:24NOKMason OFF.Foul (P2)28
36
Q2 - 7:27NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 7:30TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:34TORBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:36TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:57NOKClaxton 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Snyder 1 AST)28
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 8:15TORSUB: Sow FOR Woods28
34
Q2 - 8:15NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)28
34
Q2 - 8:22TORBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)28
24.5%
34
75.5%
Q2 - 8:31TORWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)25
20.6%
34
79.4%
Q2 - 8:35NOKMISS Brown 5' Jump Bank Shot25
20.0%
34
80.0%
Q2 - 8:59TORJames 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)25
18.9%
34
81.1%
Q2 - 9:17TORSUB: James FOR Peterson23
34
Q2 - 9:17NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Williams23
34
Q2 - 9:17NOKWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 9:24NOKClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 9:25TORMISS Barrett Layup23
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 9:28TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 9:30NOKMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot23
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 9:44NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
15.9%
34
84.1%
Q2 - 9:46TORMISS Woods 7' Jump Shot23
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 9:49TORWoods REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)23
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.4%
34
83.6%
Q2 - 9:57TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
17.4%
34
82.6%
Q2 - 9:59NOKMISS Mason Layup23
16.9%
34
83.1%
Q2 - 10:07NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 10:09TORMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot23
16.8%
34
83.2%
Q2 - 10:23NOKSnyder Dunk (2 PTS)23
17.8%
34
82.2%
Q2 - 10:25NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q2 - 10:27TORMISS Villanueva Tip Shot23
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 10:28TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 10:30TORMISS Woods Layup23
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 10:32TORWoods REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 10:34TORMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q2 - 10:44NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)23
21.1%
32
78.9%
Q2 - 10:44NOKHORNETS Rebound23
31
Q2 - 10:44NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 223
21.3%
31
78.7%
Q2 - 10:44TORWoods S.FOUL (P3.T2)23
31
Q2 - 11:01TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)23
21.5%
31
78.5%
Q2 - 11:01TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)22
21.2%
31
78.8%
Q2 - 11:01NOKWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T1)21
31
Q2 - 11:06TORBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 11:07NOKMISS Claxton Layup21
19.3%
31
80.7%
Q2 - 11:12NOKWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
18.2%
31
81.8%
Q2 - 11:13TORMISS Barrett 16' Jump Shot21
18.7%
31
81.3%
Q2 - 11:31NOKMason 6' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS)21
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 11:40TORBarrett P.FOUL (P1.T1)21
29
Q2 - 11:50TORVillanueva 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Barrett 1 AST)21
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q2 - 12:0019
29
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR19
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK19
29
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKPaul 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)19
19.8%
29
80.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORBonner Violation:Kicked Ball19
26
Q1 - 0:10.0NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
23.7%
26
76.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0TORMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)19
25.1%
26
74.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKPaul Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)19
25.5%
25
74.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORWoods T.FOUL (P2.PN)19
24
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKHORNETS Rebound19
24
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKHORNETS Rebound19
24
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 219
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0NOKMISS Mason Layup19
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0TORWoods S.FOUL (P2.PN)19
24
Q1 - 0:36.0TORWoods Layup (2 PTS)19
27.4%
24
72.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0TORWoods REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:37.0TORMISS James Layup17
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)17
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0NOKHORNETS Rebound17
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0NOKMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot17
24.6%
24
75.4%
Q1 - 1:21TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 1:21TORRaptors Rebound16
24
Q1 - 1:21TORMISS Peterson Free Throw 1 of 216
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 1:21NOKWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T4)16
24
Q1 - 1:23TORJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
23.7%
24
76.3%
Q1 - 1:26NOKMISS Claxton Layup16
23.3%
24
76.7%
Q1 - 1:37TORSUB: Bonner FOR Graham16
24
Q1 - 1:37TORGraham P.FOUL (P2.T4)16
24
Q1 - 1:46NOKHORNETS Rebound16
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 1:47TORMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot16
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 1:54TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
23.6%
24
76.4%
Q1 - 1:55TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 2:02NOKSUB: Brown FOR West16
24
Q1 - 2:02TORJames Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)16
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 2:02NOKPaul T.FOUL (P0.T3)15
24
Q1 - 2:04TORWoods REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.5%
24
77.5%
Q1 - 2:05NOKMISS Paul Layup15
22.1%
24
77.9%
Q1 - 2:16TORJames 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
21.2%
24
78.8%
Q1 - 2:32NOKClaxton Layup (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)13
19.4%
24
80.6%
Q1 - 2:39TORPaul STEAL (1 STL)13
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 2:48NOKWest 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)13
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 3:11TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)13
21.1%
22
78.9%
Q1 - 3:11TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
20.9%
22
79.1%
Q1 - 3:11NOKMason S.FOUL (P1.T3)11
22
Q1 - 3:14TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 3:16NOKMISS Claxton Layup11
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 3:25NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
18.3%
22
81.7%
Q1 - 3:27TORMISS Peterson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot11
18.7%
22
81.3%
Q1 - 3:47TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
19.7%
22
80.3%
Q1 - 3:49NOKMISS West 19' Jump Shot11
19.2%
22
80.8%
Q1 - 4:07TORJames 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Woods 1 AST)11
20.0%
22
80.0%
Q1 - 4:23NOKWest 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)9
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 4:37TORWoods P.FOUL (P1.T3)9
20
Q1 - 4:46NOKSUB: Mason FOR Johnson9
20
Q1 - 4:46TORGraham Foul Turnover (P2.T4)9
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 4:46TORGraham OFF.Foul (P1)9
20
Q1 - 5:05NOKPaul 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
22.3%
20
77.7%
Q1 - 5:13TORSUB: Woods FOR Araujo9
18
Q1 - 5:13NOKSUB: Williams FOR Jackson9
18
Q1 - 5:13NOKSUB: Claxton FOR Butler9
18
Q1 - 5:13TORJames P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
18
Q1 - 5:29NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)9
23.6%
18
76.4%
Q1 - 5:31TORMISS Araujo 15' Jump Shot9
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 5:36TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
25.2%
18
74.8%
Q1 - 5:38TORPaul BLOCK (1 BLK)9
24.2%
18
75.8%
Q1 - 5:43NOKJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)9
25.3%
18
74.7%
Q1 - 5:51NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
23.9%
18
76.1%
Q1 - 5:53TORButler BLOCK (1 BLK)9
24.4%
18
75.6%
Q1 - 6:09NOKWest 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)9
25.6%
18
74.4%
Q1 - 6:19NOKWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 6:21NOKMISS West 7' Jump Shot9
28.0%
16
72.0%
Q1 - 6:36NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
27.2%
16
72.8%
Q1 - 6:39TORMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
27.7%
16
72.3%
Q1 - 6:52TORVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 6:53NOKMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot9
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 7:12TORAraujo 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 7:25NOKJohnson Layup (7 PTS)7
26.8%
16
73.2%
Q1 - 7:27NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 7:30NOKMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot7
28.9%
14
71.1%
Q1 - 7:36NOKHORNETS Rebound7
28.1%
14
71.9%
Q1 - 7:36NOKMISS Butler 12' Jump Shot7
29.0%
14
71.0%
Q1 - 7:58TORVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)7
28.5%
14
71.5%
Q1 - 8:05TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)5
14
Q1 - 8:14NOKJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)5
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 8:23NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.3%
11
69.7%
Q1 - 8:24TORMISS Peterson Layup5
30.6%
11
69.4%
Q1 - 8:28TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
31.5%
11
68.5%
Q1 - 8:30NOKMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot5
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 8:46TORGraham 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 8:51NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 9:02TORPeterson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)3
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 9:16NOKJackson P.FOUL (P1.T2)3
11
Q1 - 9:26NOKPaul 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)3
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 9:42TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
32.9%
9
67.1%
Q1 - 9:42NOKButler S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
9
Q1 - 9:42TORPeterson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
9
Q1 - 9:57NOKJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)0
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 10:15TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)0
7
Q1 - 10:15NOKJump Ball Johnson vs. Graham: Tip to West0
33.7%
7
66.3%
Q1 - 10:19TORSUB: Araujo FOR Sow0
7
Q1 - 10:19TORRaptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)0
7
Q1 - 10:26NOKWest Layup (5 PTS)0
34.8%
7
65.2%
Q1 - 10:27NOKWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 10:29NOKMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot0
35.9%
5
64.1%
Q1 - 10:36NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.8%
5
64.2%
Q1 - 10:38TORMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot0
36.0%
5
64.0%
Q1 - 10:56NOKJackson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)0
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 11:03NOKWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.8%
3
62.2%
Q1 - 11:05TORMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.9%
3
62.1%
Q1 - 11:19TORSow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.6%
3
61.4%
Q1 - 11:21NOKMISS Johnson 24' Jump Shot0
38.5%
3
61.5%
Q1 - 11:37TORPeterson Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T1)0
38.9%
3
61.1%
Q1 - 11:44NOKWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
39.2%
3
60.8%
Q1 - 11:44TORSow S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:44NOKWest Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Johnson vs. Sow: Tip to Butler0
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventTORNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.4%
NOK
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
8
24
33%
NOK
17
29
59%
Midrange
TOR
10
23
43%
NOK
16
37
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
NOK
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
Free Throws
TOR
14
15
93%
NOK
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. James3695%18.0 / 19
C. Villanueva1450%7.0 / 14
M. Peterson1336%6.5 / 18
J. Graham956%4.5 / 8
M. Bonner935%4.5 / 13
L. Woods450%2.0 / 4
A. Barrett217%1.0 / 6
R. Araujo250%1.0 / 2
P. Sow0-0.0 / 1
J. Calderon0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. West1973%9.5 / 13
C. Paul1662%8.0 / 13
L. Johnson1381%6.5 / 8
S. Claxton1139%5.5 / 14
M. Jackson857%4.0 / 7
K. Snyder739%3.5 / 9
R. Butler643%3.0 / 7
D. Mason638%3.0 / 8
P. Brown550%2.5 / 5
A. Williams467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
75
+14
-12
89
NOK
76
+12
-13
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.97 48.4%
NOK
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.7
103.0
TOR 102.3
NOK 106.7 +4.4
Pace
91.8
89.6
TOR 98.6 +18.9
NOK 79.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
TOR 14.6 −3.5
NOK 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.4%
TOR 45.7%
NOK 53.2% +7.5%
TO %
13.4%
13.9%
TOR 12.8% −1.1%
NOK 13.9%
ORB %
25.5%
27.0%
TOR 27.1% +4.2%
NOK 22.9%
FTrt
31.5
33.9
TOR 18.3
NOK 22.8 +4.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.9%
53.7%
TOR 48.4%
NOK 56.4% +8.0%
STL %
7.0%
8.3%
TOR 4.6% +0.1%
NOK 4.5%
BLK %
5.3%
6.5%
TOR 10.6%
NOK 12.8% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.4%
50.0%
TOR 48.4%
NOK 53.4% +5.0%
Rim FG%
57.4%
53.8%
TOR 33.3%
NOK 58.6% +25.3%
Mid FG%
41.3%
39.6%
TOR 43.5% +0.3%
NOK 43.2%
3P %
37.5%
33.9%
TOR 37.1%
NOK 46.2% +9.1%
FT %
79.1%
75.8%
TOR 93.3% +32.2%
NOK 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
36.9%
TOR 29.3%
NOK 36.7% +7.4%
Mid Att. %
44.5%
49.3%
TOR 28.0% −18.8%
NOK 46.8%
3P Att. %
24.4%
13.8%
TOR 42.7% +26.2%
NOK 16.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORNOK
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes21.226.8
Points8995
Rebounds4043
Assists1522
Steals44
Blocks76
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)35 (2)
Field Goals31-8239-79
At-the-Rim FG8-2417-29
Midrange FG10-2316-37
2-Point FG18-4733-66
3-Point FG13-356-13
Free Throws14-1511-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 188 · 31
39.7
36
95%
5
4
0
0
2
3
1
4
3-3
100%
6-8
75%
7-10
70%
F · 6'11" 232 · 22
38.8
14
50%
9
2
0
1
1
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-8
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'7" 230 · 24
37.4
9
56%
4
0
2
0
3
5
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'7" 220 · 29
37.1
13
36%
5
3
1
1
4
4
1
4
9-10
90%
2-10
20%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 250 · 24
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26
33.8
9
35%
5
1
0
2
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
3-11
27%
C · 7'2" 260 · 28
16.8
4
50%
10
1
0
2
1
4
5
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 5'10" 173 · 24
14.1
2
17%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
8.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 26
5.1
2
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
G · 5'11" 170 · 35
#4 · F · 6'11" 235 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'5" 195 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
40
15
4
7
12
0
13
27
14-15
93%
18-47
38%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.