Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Spurs	37%	108	140	126.1	111	98.8
	13	Celtics	63%	112	143	128.8	111	102.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	43.0	15	75%	10	1	1	1	2	4	6	4	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	42.6	24	63%	8	8	1	0	2	5	1	7	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	42.3	30	50%	5	14	2	0	2	1	0	5	16-19	84%	7-19	37%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	39.1	14	70%	8	1	1	0	1	2	0	8	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21	15.5	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	5	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	33.9	24	92%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	4-7	57%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	21.8	11	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-8	25%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	17.8	16	100%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	9.2	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	140	64%	43	29	6	1	11	27	8	35	31-38	82%	38-68	56%	11-24	46%

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21 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jakob Poeltl #25 · C · 7'0" 253 · 26	43.0	15	75%	10	1	1	1	2	4	6	4	5-7	71%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray #5 · PG · 6'4" 180 · 25	42.6	24	63%	8	8	1	0	2	5	1	7	2-2	100%	8-16	50%	2-2	100%
DeMar DeRozan #10 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 32	42.3	30	50%	5	14	2	0	2	1	0	5	16-19	84%	7-19	37%	0-2	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 22	39.1	14	70%	8	1	1	0	1	2	0	8	2-2	100%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Devin Vassell #24 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21	15.5	2	20%	2	1	0	0	0	5	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%

Lonnie Walker IV #1 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 22	33.9	24	92%	4	1	0	0	0	4	1	3	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	4-7	57%
Patty Mills #8 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 33	21.8	11	50%	2	2	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-2	100%	2-8	25%
Rudy Gay #22 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 35	17.8	16	100%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	1-2	50%	3-6	50%	3-3	100%
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 24	9.2	4	100%	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Gorgui Dieng #7 · C · 6'11" 251 · 31	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luka Samanic #19 · PF · 6'11" 227 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tre Jones #33 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keita Bates-Diop #31 · SF · 6'9" 223 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Quinndary Weatherspoon #15 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Trey Lyles #41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Derrick White #4 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	140	64%	43	29	6	1	11	27	8	35	31-38	82%	38-68	56%	11-24	46%

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13 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 23	45.3	60	68%	8	5	0	1	0	2	2	6	15-17	88%	15-30	50%	5-7	71%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 27	43.8	10	56%	4	12	2	1	3	4	1	3	5-6	83%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 25	43.5	17	34%	5	2	2	2	4	3	0	5	3-5	60%	1-12	8%	4-12	33%
Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 24	23.4	10	83%	9	3	0	1	0	0	3	6	2-4	50%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Evan Fournier #94 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	20.8	8	67%	2	0	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-4	50%

Aaron Nesmith #26 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 22	30.2	16	89%	6	1	1	0	0	5	2	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	2-3	67%
Tristan Thompson #13 · PF · 6'9" 254 · 30	29.2	8	44%	15	5	0	2	2	4	8	7	2-4	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 23	13.3	3	38%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 22	8.7	8	100%	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Tremont Waters #51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23	6.7	3	150%	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Romeo Langford #45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Kornet #40 · PF · 7'1" 250 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Semi Ojeleye #37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Parker #20 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Carsen Edwards #4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tacko Fall #99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 26	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kemba Walker #8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	143	59%	52	31	7	7	13	26	17	35	27-36	75%	31-67	46%	18-38	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.27 63.6%

BOS

1.18 59.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

12

20

60%

BOS

26

43

60%

Midrange

SAS

26

48

54%

BOS

5

24

21%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

11

16.5

24

46%

69%

BOS

18

27.0

38

47%

71%

Free Throws

SAS

31

38

82%

BOS

27

36

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	50%	15.0 / 30
D. Murray	24	63%	12.0 / 19
L. Walker IV	24	92%	12.0 / 13
R. Gay	16	100%	8.0 / 8
J. Poeltl	15	75%	7.5 / 10
K. Johnson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
P. Mills	11	50%	5.5 / 11
D. Eubanks	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Vassell	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	60	68%	30.0 / 44
J. Brown	17	34%	8.5 / 25
A. Nesmith	16	89%	8.0 / 9
M. Smart	10	56%	5.0 / 9
R. Williams	10	83%	5.0 / 6
E. Fournier	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Thompson	8	44%	4.0 / 9
G. Williams	8	100%	4.0 / 4
P. Pritchard	3	38%	1.5 / 4
T. Waters	3	150%	1.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 111.1 10 113.5	SAS 126.1 BOS 128.8 +2.7
Pace	16 98.9 17 98.7	SAS 98.8 BOS 102.1 +3.3
Avg. Poss. Time	16 14.7 13 14.7	SAS 14.6 BOS 14.1 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	27 51.7% 12 54.3%	SAS 59.2% +4.0% BOS 55.2%
TO %	2 11.0% 18 13.5%	SAS 9.2% −0.5% BOS 9.7%
ORB %	27 20.1% 5 24.4%	SAS 18.6% BOS 32.7% +14.1%
FTrt	14 24.3 23 23.4	SAS 41.3 +7.0 BOS 34.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 58.4% 27 56.6%	SAS 59.2% BOS 63.3% +4.1%
STL %	22 7.0% 13 7.8%	SAS 5.4% BOS 6.3% +0.9%
BLK %	15 8.9% 4 10.3%	SAS 1.5% BOS 10.3% +8.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.13 and 2.13.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 54.4% 17 56.0%	SAS 63.6% +4.5% BOS 59.1%
Rim FG%	19 60.1% 10 63.1%	SAS 60.0% BOS 60.5% +0.5%
Mid FG%	14 43.2% 21 40.4%	SAS 54.2% +33.4% BOS 20.8%
3P %	24 35.0% 10 37.4%	SAS 45.8% BOS 47.4% +1.6%
FT %	10 79.2% 16 77.5%	SAS 81.6% +6.6% BOS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	21 33.1% 24 32.8%	SAS 21.7% BOS 41.0% +19.2%
Mid Att. %	30 35.5% 17 26.3%	SAS 52.2% BOS 22.9% −29.3%
3P Att. %	30 31.4% 11 40.9%	SAS 26.1% BOS 36.2% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	BOS
Possessions	111	111
Possession Minutes	27.0	26.1
Points	140	143
Rebounds	43	52
Assists	29	31
Steals	6	7
Blocks	1	7
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls	27	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	17 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	35 (2)
Field Goals	49-92	49-105
At-the-Rim FG	12-20	26-43
Midrange FG	26-48	5-24
2-Point FG	38-68	31-67
3-Point FG	11-24	18-38
Free Throws	31-38	27-36
Fast Break Pts	10	8
2nd Chance Pts	15	27
Points in Paint	50	56
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	55	38
Biggest Lead	32	4

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg