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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 2, 2021
3:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nets36%114114
6Bucks64%119117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 32.6
39.9
19.9
42
60%
10
2
1
0
0
5
2
8
3-4
75%
9-20
4-7
45%
57%
7-13
54%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 29.1
36.6
32.6
20
46%
7
6
2
1
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
6-13
7-12
46%
53%
2-8
25%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 29.7
35.0
29.4
5
36%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
1-5
20%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.7
33.5
30.2
7
51%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
1-3
33%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.8
24.0
13.9
10
60%
11
0
1
0
1
1
4
7
2-3
67%
4-7
2-3
57%
68%
0-0
-
Landry Shamet
G · 6'5" 188 · 24.1
27.9
28.7
17
82%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 32.1
18.3
20.2
11
65%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 29.0
11.9
21.9
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.7
5.1
19.7
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bruce Brown
G · 6'5" 202 · 24.7
4.7
20.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Alize Johnson
F · 6'8" 216 · 25.0
3.2
16.8
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Nicolas Claxton
F · 6'11" 220 · 22.0
21.5
1
3-5
57%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 26.0
10.4
0
1-1
48%
Reggie Perry
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 21.1
3.2
0
0-1
52%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 31.7
Chris Chiozza
G · 5'11" 175 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 30.9
36.2
31.5
18
51%
5
4
1
1
1
4
2
3
1-4
25%
4-8
6-10
50%
56%
3-8
38%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 29.7
36.1
32.9
26
61%
11
6
2
1
0
0
1
10
1-1
100%
8-14
6-11
57%
52%
3-7
43%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 26.4
35.7
20.7
49
63%
8
4
1
1
3
1
1
7
3-6
50%
17-28
5-9
61%
63%
4-8
50%
Donte DiVincenzo
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.2
30.2
24.4
0
0%
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
53%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 33.1
25.5
28.7
4
29%
6
0
1
1
5
2
2
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-6
50%
60%
0-3
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
23.5
21.3
3
75%
2
2
3
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
60%
1-2
50%
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 36.0
23.4
22.5
3
150%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
18.8
22.7
12
81%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 32.9
10.7
14.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 26.2
22.1
1
4-7
54%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'7" 205 · 28.8
7.4
0
1-2
58%
Jordan Nwora
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
3.8
0
0-1
54%
Rodions Kurucs
F · 6'8" 200 · 23.2
3.0
0
0-0
56%
Mamadi Diakite
F · 6'9" 228 · 24.3
2.7
0
0-1
56%
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.0
2.5
0
0-0
54%
Justin Jackson
F · 6'8" 220 · 26.1
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.