Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Blazers	45%	114	129	127.7	101	100.5
	10	Celtics	55%	116	119	116.7	102	103.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	39.2	26	62%	6	13	1	1	5	3	0	6	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	3-9	33%
Norman Powell #24 · PF · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.0	23	68%	2	3	1	1	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	4-6	67%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.6	33	75%	5	5	0	1	1	0	0	5	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	4-8	50%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 30	31.1	10	71%	4	1	1	2	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	28.9	14	70%	11	4	2	0	1	4	1	10	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-1	100%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	26.5	13	72%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	19.8	5	63%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	17.8	5	42%	5	0	2	0	1	2	2	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson #2 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #18 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	66%	36	27	8	5	9	18	3	33	22-26	85%	25-47	53%	19-38	50%

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8 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 31	39.2	26	62%	6	13	1	1	5	3	0	6	7-7	100%	5-9	56%	3-9	33%
Norman Powell #24 · PF · 6'4" 215 · 28	39.0	23	68%	2	3	1	1	0	3	0	2	3-4	75%	4-9	44%	4-6	67%
CJ McCollum #3 · SG · 6'3" 190 · 30	37.6	33	75%	5	5	0	1	1	0	0	5	5-6	83%	8-12	67%	4-8	50%
Robert Covington #23 · SF · 6'9" 225 · 30	31.1	10	71%	4	1	1	2	0	0	0	4	1-2	50%	0-0	-	3-6	50%
Jusuf Nurkić #27 · C · 6'11" 290 · 27	28.9	14	70%	11	4	2	0	1	4	1	10	1-1	100%	5-9	56%	1-1	100%

Carmelo Anthony #00 · SF · 6'8" 240 · 37	26.5	13	72%	3	0	0	0	1	4	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Anfernee Simons #1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 22	19.8	5	63%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Enes Kanter #11 · C · 6'11" 245 · 29	17.8	5	42%	5	0	2	0	1	2	2	3	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Nassir Little #9 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson #2 · SF · 6'7" 214 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Derrick Jones Jr. #5 · SF · 6'6" 210 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
TJ Leaf #18 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 24	DNP - Coach's Decision
CJ Elleby #16 · SF · 6'6" 200 · 21	DNP - Coach's Decision
Harry Giles III #4 · C · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Keljin Blevins #21 · SG · 6'6" 200 · 25	DNP - Coach's Decision
Zach Collins #33 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Stress Fracture
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	129	66%	36	27	8	5	9	18	3	33	22-26	85%	25-47	53%	19-38	50%

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10 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jayson Tatum #0 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 23	36.9	33	75%	2	5	0	1	6	2	0	2	7-7	100%	7-14	50%	4-5	80%
Marcus Smart #36 · PG · 6'3" 220 · 27	35.0	11	39%	8	8	0	0	3	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-5	20%	3-9	33%
Jaylen Brown #7 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 25	34.7	16	35%	11	4	0	0	3	4	4	7	3-4	75%	5-13	38%	1-9	11%
Evan Fournier #94 · SG · 6'7" 205 · 29	33.5	21	105%	5	3	2	0	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	5-7	71%
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 30	22.7	2	17%	4	4	0	3	2	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-

Robert Williams III #44 · C · 6'9" 249 · 24	24.0	5	83%	5	5	1	2	1	2	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Aaron Nesmith #26 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 22	20.0	16	114%	4	0	0	0	1	5	1	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-4	100%
Payton Pritchard #11 · SG · 6'1" 195 · 23	18.7	13	93%	6	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	3-5	60%
Romeo Langford #45 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	13.6	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tremont Waters #51 · PG · 5'11" 172 · 23	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Grant Williams #12 · PF · 6'7" 236 · 22	DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Kornet #40 · PF · 7'1" 250 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Semi Ojeleye #37 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Jabari Parker #20 · PF · 6'8" 250 · 26	DNP - Coach's Decision
Carsen Edwards #4 · SG · 6'0" 199 · 23	DNP - Coach's Decision
Tacko Fall #99 · C · 7'6" 289 · 26	Inactive - Coach's Decision
Kemba Walker #8 · PG · 6'1" 184 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Oblique; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	61%	45	29	3	6	18	21	10	35	13-15	87%	23-50	46%	20-39	51%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.32 65.8%

BOS

1.21 60.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

10

19

53%

BOS

13

22

59%

Midrange

POR

15

28

54%

BOS

10

28

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

19

28.5

38

50%

75%

BOS

20

30.0

39

51%

77%

Free Throws

POR

22

26

85%

BOS

13

15

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. McCollum	33	75%	16.5 / 22
D. Lillard	26	62%	13.0 / 21
N. Powell	23	68%	11.5 / 17
J. Nurkić	14	70%	7.0 / 10
C. Anthony	13	72%	6.5 / 9
R. Covington	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Simons	5	63%	2.5 / 4
E. Kanter	5	42%	2.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Tatum	33	75%	16.5 / 22
E. Fournier	21	105%	10.5 / 10
J. Brown	16	35%	8.0 / 23
A. Nesmith	16	114%	8.0 / 7
P. Pritchard	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Smart	11	39%	5.5 / 14
R. Williams	5	83%	2.5 / 3
T. Thompson	2	17%	1.0 / 6
R. Langford	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.6 10 113.5	POR 127.7 +11.1 BOS 116.7
Pace	19 98.6 17 98.7	POR 100.5 BOS 103.6 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time	6 14.9 13 14.7	POR 14.3 BOS 13.9 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 54.0% 12 54.3%	POR 62.9% +3.3% BOS 59.6%
TO %	1 10.9% 18 13.5%	POR 9.4% −6.4% BOS 15.8%
ORB %	11 23.1% 5 24.4%	POR 7.9% BOS 23.3% +15.4%
FTrt	22 23.8 23 23.4	POR 30.6 +13.7 BOS 16.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	30 51.5% 27 56.6%	POR 61.4% BOS 67.4% +6.0%
STL %	24 7.0% 13 7.8%	POR 7.9% +5.0% BOS 2.9%
BLK %	10 9.4% 4 10.3%	POR 10.0% BOS 12.8% +2.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.33 and 2.33.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 56.6% 17 56.0%	POR 65.8% +5.1% BOS 60.7%
Rim FG%	26 58.1% 10 63.1%	POR 52.6% BOS 59.1% +6.5%
Mid FG%	18 41.0% 21 40.4%	POR 53.6% +17.9% BOS 35.7%
3P %	6 38.5% 10 37.4%	POR 50.0% BOS 51.3% +1.3%
FT %	3 82.3% 16 77.5%	POR 84.6% BOS 86.7% +2.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 31.8% 24 32.8%	POR 22.4% BOS 24.7% +2.4%
Mid Att. %	10 23.4% 17 26.3%	POR 32.9% BOS 31.5% −1.5%
3P Att. %	3 44.8% 11 40.9%	POR 44.7% +0.9% BOS 43.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	BOS
Possessions	101	102
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.6
Points	129	119
Rebounds	36	45
Assists	27	29
Steals	8	3
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	9 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls	18	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	3 (3)	10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	35 (2)
Field Goals	44-85	43-89
At-the-Rim FG	10-19	13-22
Midrange FG	15-28	10-28
2-Point FG	25-47	23-50
3-Point FG	19-38	20-39
Free Throws	22-26	13-15
Fast Break Pts	16	16
2nd Chance Pts	0	10
Points in Paint	32	34
Pts off Turnovers	25	15
Bench Points	23	36
Biggest Lead	10	6

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg