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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 2, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat56%109121
22Hornets44%107111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.7
37
32
19
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
3-6
100%
54%
3-8
38%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
34
32
20
7
10
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-3
67%
9-13
7-12
69%
57%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.8
31
25
9
7
3
3
1
2
1
2
5
2-4
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.6
28
31
18
8
8
1
2
1
0
2
6
8-9
89%
5-7
6-12
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
27
26
10
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
3
1-3
33%
0-0
1-2
-
64%
3-10
30%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
30
27
18
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
21
16
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
64%
1-6
17%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 37.3
16
20
3
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
1-2
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
13
13
14
8
0
1
0
0
2
3
5
4-5
80%
5-6
2-3
83%
59%
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
1
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
1
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.3
8
0
1-2
50%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.0
4
0
0-1
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.9
3
0
0-1
45%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Miles Bridges
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
31
35
15
4
5
0
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
2-7
4-7
29%
57%
2-5
40%
LaMelo Ball
G · 6'8" 180 · 19.7
30
26
14
6
5
4
1
1
5
0
6
2-3
67%
6-11
4-7
55%
52%
0-3
0%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 22.7
30
34
21
6
0
3
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
6-7
4-7
86%
50%
3-6
50%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.1
27
35
14
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Cody Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
7
24
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Malik Monk
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
27
18
11
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
52%
3-6
50%
Jalen McDaniels
F · 6'10" 192 · 23.2
27
17
12
9
2
0
1
0
2
3
6
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
55%
3-5
60%
Devonte' Graham
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.2
24
21
9
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
1-4
25%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 28.7
16
21
7
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Brad Wanamaker
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.8
7
17
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 28.6
5
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
0-0
-
Caleb Martin
F · 6'7" 205 · 25.6
5
7
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Vernon Carey Jr.
F-C · 6'10" 270 · 20.2
5
3
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
54%
0-0
-
Grant Riller
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.2
2
0
0-0
49%
Nick Richards
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.4
2
0
0-0
54%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 31.1
Nate Darling
G · 6'5" 200 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.