Final Win Prob. pScore
956%109
121
2244%107
111
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
124.79789.2
CHA logo Hornets
114.497106.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.121
111
Q4 - 0:07.2HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 1121
111
Q4 - 0:07.2HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)121
110
Q4 - 0:07.2HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point bank jump shot (Malik Monk assists)121
110
Q4 - 0:20.3HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)121
108
Q4 - 0:45.5HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)118
108
Q4 - 0:50.9HornetsVernon Carey Jr. defensive rebound118
105
Q4 - 0:52.4HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup118
105
Q4 - 0:57.7Stoppage (Out of bounds)118
105
Q4 - 0:57.7HeatHeat offensive rebound118
105
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses two point layup118
105
Q4 - 1:09Heat lineup change (Gabe Vincent, Kendrick Nunn, Precious Achiuwa, Max Strus, KZ Okpala)118
105
Q4 - 1:09HornetsCaleb Martin personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)118
105
Q4 - 1:25HornetsVernon Carey Jr. makes two point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)118
105
Q4 - 1:41HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Take) (Malik Monk draws the foul)118
103
Q4 - 1:41HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Malik Monk steals)118
103
Q4 - 2:02HornetsVernon Carey Jr. makes two point dunk (Caleb Martin assists)118
103
Q4 - 2:13HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 2:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot118
101
Q4 - 2:34HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 2:35HornetsJalen McDaniels misses two point tip dunk118
101
Q4 - 2:35HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 2:41HornetsVernon Carey Jr. misses two point jump shot118
101
Q4 - 2:55HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 2:57HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot118
101
Q4 - 3:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 3:20HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot118
101
Q4 - 3:22HornetsVernon Carey Jr. offensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 3:25HornetsGoran Dragic blocks Brad Wanamaker's two point driving floating jump shot118
101
Q4 - 3:34HornetsCaleb Martin defensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 3:37HeatGoran Dragic misses two point reverse layup118
101
Q4 - 3:46HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound118
101
Q4 - 3:48HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot118
101
Q4 - 4:13HornetsBrad Wanamaker makes two point layup118
101
Q4 - 4:15HornetsBrad Wanamaker offensive rebound118
99
Q4 - 4:18HornetsBrad Wanamaker misses two point stepback jump shot118
99
Q4 - 4:33HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
99
Q4 - 4:37HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot118
99
Q4 - 4:53Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Brad Wanamaker, Caleb Martin, Vernon Carey Jr., Malik Monk)118
99
Q4 - 4:53Heat 60 second timeout118
99
Q4 - 4:54HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)118
99
Q4 - 5:01HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound118
96
Q4 - 5:04HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot118
96
Q4 - 5:26HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point pullup jump shot118
96
Q4 - 5:41HeatGoran Dragic makes two point hook shot118
94
Q4 - 6:05HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)116
94
Q4 - 6:21HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point turnaround hook shot (Bam Adebayo assists)116
91
Q4 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound114
91
Q4 - 6:30HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot114
91
Q4 - 6:35HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound114
91
Q4 - 6:39HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot114
91
Q4 - 6:54Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, P.J. Washington, Brad Wanamaker, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)114
91
Q4 - 6:54Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)114
91
Q4 - 6:54Hornets 60 second timeout114
91
Q4 - 6:54Stoppage (Out of bounds)114
91
Q4 - 6:54HeatHeat defensive rebound114
91
Q4 - 6:54HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot114
91
Q4 - 7:05HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)114
91
Q4 - 7:11HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound114
91
Q4 - 7:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot114
91
Q4 - 7:36HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point hook shot (Miles Bridges assists)114
91
Q4 - 7:52HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)114
89
Q4 - 8:00HeatMax Strus defensive rebound111
89
Q4 - 8:01HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup111
89
Q4 - 8:17HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)111
89
Q4 - 8:32HornetsMalik Monk makes two point driving dunk (LaMelo Ball assists)111
89
Q4 - 8:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup111
87
Q4 - 9:03HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)109
87
Q4 - 9:17HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)109
84
Q4 - 9:31HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 2106
84
Q4 - 9:31HornetsLaMelo Ball misses regular free throw 1 of 2106
83
Q4 - 9:31HeatMax Strus shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)106
83
Q4 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Goran Dragic assists)106
83
Q4 - 9:52HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
83
Q4 - 10:06HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)104
83
Q4 - 10:13HornetsJalen McDaniels personal foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)102
83
Q4 - 10:21HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound102
83
Q4 - 10:25HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot102
83
Q4 - 10:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)102
83
Q4 - 10:45HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)100
83
Q4 - 10:46HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound100
83
Q4 - 10:52HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot100
83
Q4 - 11:08HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound100
83
Q4 - 11:10HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot100
83
Q4 - 11:12HeatMax Strus offensive rebound100
83
Q4 - 11:14HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot100
83
Q4 - 11:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point stepback jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)100
83
Q4 - 11:44HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Washington steals)100
80
Q4 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Jalen McDaniels, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)100
80
Q4 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)100
80
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.100
80
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound100
80
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot100
80
Q3 - 0:01.0HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound100
80
Q3 - 0:03.4HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot100
80
Q3 - 0:07.0Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon)100
80
Q3 - 0:07.2Dewayne Dedmon kicked ball violation100
80
Q3 - 0:28.8HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup100
80
Q3 - 0:33.7HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound98
80
Q3 - 0:35.7HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup98
80
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 298
80
Q3 - 0:48.1HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 297
80
Q3 - 0:48.1HornetsCody Zeller shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)96
80
Q3 - 0:57.2HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound96
80
Q3 - 0:59.5HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot96
80
Q3 - 1:01HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound96
80
Q3 - 1:04HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot96
80
Q3 - 1:24HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound96
80
Q3 - 1:26HornetsCody Zeller misses two point floating jump shot96
80
Q3 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 296
80
Q3 - 1:44Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon)95
80
Q3 - 1:44HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 295
80
Q3 - 1:44HornetsMalik Monk personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)95
80
Q3 - 1:53HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound95
80
Q3 - 1:55HornetsCody Zeller misses regular free throw 2 of 295
80
Q3 - 1:55Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon)95
80
Q3 - 1:55HornetsCody Zeller makes regular free throw 1 of 295
80
Q3 - 1:55HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)95
79
Q3 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point tip dunk95
79
Q3 - 2:01HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound93
79
Q3 - 2:08HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot93
79
Q3 - 2:27Stoppage (Out of bounds)93
79
Q3 - 2:27HeatHeat defensive rebound93
79
Q3 - 2:27HornetsMalik Monk misses two point layup93
79
Q3 - 2:45HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound93
79
Q3 - 2:46HeatGoran Dragic misses two point jump shot93
79
Q3 - 3:03HornetsCody Zeller makes regular free throw 2 of 293
79
Q3 - 3:03Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, Malik Monk, Cody Zeller)93
78
Q3 - 3:03HornetsCody Zeller misses regular free throw 1 of 293
78
Q3 - 3:03HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Cody Zeller draws the foul)93
78
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)93
78
Q3 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)93
78
Q3 - 3:19HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound93
78
Q3 - 3:21HornetsDuncan Robinson blocks Miles Bridges's two point layup93
78
Q3 - 3:31HornetsDevonte' Graham defensive rebound93
78
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 193
78
Q3 - 3:35HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)93
78
Q3 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving dunk93
78
Q3 - 3:41HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound91
78
Q3 - 3:43HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
78
Q3 - 4:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 191
78
Q3 - 4:03HornetsCody Zeller shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)90
78
Q3 - 4:03HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup90
78
Q3 - 4:03HornetsCody Zeller turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)88
78
Q3 - 4:04HornetsCody Zeller defensive rebound88
78
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 3 of 388
78
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 388
78
Q3 - 4:06HeatDuncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 387
78
Q3 - 4:06HornetsMalik Monk shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)87
78
Q3 - 4:36HornetsMalik Monk makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)87
78
Q3 - 4:46HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)87
75
Q3 - 5:02Hornets lineup change (Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk, Cody Zeller)85
75
Q3 - 5:02Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler)85
75
Q3 - 5:02Heat 60 second timeout85
75
Q3 - 5:03HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point floating jump shot85
75
Q3 - 5:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)85
73
Q3 - 5:21Hornets lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)83
73
Q3 - 5:21Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)83
73
Q3 - 5:21HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (out of bounds bad pass)83
73
Q3 - 5:30HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)83
73
Q3 - 5:44HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound80
73
Q3 - 5:46HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot80
73
Q3 - 6:01HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)80
73
Q3 - 6:21HornetsMiles Bridges makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)80
73
Q3 - 6:27HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)80
70
Q3 - 6:33HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 280
70
Q3 - 6:33HeatTrevor Ariza misses regular free throw 1 of 279
70
Q3 - 6:33HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)79
70
Q3 - 6:40Stoppage (Out of bounds)79
70
Q3 - 6:57HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point dunk (Devonte' Graham assists)79
70
Q3 - 7:09HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound79
68
Q3 - 7:11HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot79
68
Q3 - 7:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
68
Q3 - 7:26HornetsDevonte' Graham misses two point driving layup79
68
Q3 - 7:36Hornets 60 second timeout79
68
Q3 - 7:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)79
68
Q3 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound76
68
Q3 - 7:42HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point jump shot76
68
Q3 - 8:00HeatKendrick Nunn personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)76
68
Q3 - 8:00HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)76
68
Q3 - 8:06HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound76
68
Q3 - 8:09HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point pullup jump shot76
68
Q3 - 8:28HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)76
68
Q3 - 8:38HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 273
68
Q3 - 8:38HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 273
67
Q3 - 8:38HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)73
66
Q3 - 8:53HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound73
66
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot73
66
Q3 - 9:06HeatTrevor Ariza makes flagrant free throw 2 of 273
66
Q3 - 9:06Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, Miles Bridges)72
66
Q3 - 9:06HeatTrevor Ariza misses flagrant free throw 1 of 272
66
Q3 - 9:06Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)72
66
Q3 - 9:06HornetsCody Martin flagrant 1 (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)72
66
Q3 - 9:20HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)72
66
Q3 - 9:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)72
63
Q3 - 9:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound69
63
Q3 - 9:45HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot69
63
Q3 - 9:57HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound69
63
Q3 - 9:58HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup69
63
Q3 - 10:10HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)69
63
Q3 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup (Trevor Ariza assists)69
63
Q3 - 10:21HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)67
63
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
63
Q3 - 10:43HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 266
63
Q3 - 10:43HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)65
63
Q3 - 11:02HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point bank jump shot65
63
Q3 - 11:06HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound65
61
Q3 - 11:08HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot65
61
Q3 - 11:16Stoppage (Out of bounds)65
61
Q3 - 11:40HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)65
61
Q3 - 11:49HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)65
58
Q3 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Cody Martin)65
58
Q3 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)65
58
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.65
58
Q2 - 0:00.0Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)65
58
Q2 - 0:00.0HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point running layup (LaMelo Ball assists)65
58
Q2 - 0:02.5HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound65
56
Q2 - 0:05.0HeatGoran Dragic misses three point stepback jump shot65
56
Q2 - 0:10.5HornetsDevonte' Graham makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)65
56
Q2 - 0:28.6HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup65
53
Q2 - 0:44.0Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier)63
53
Q2 - 0:44.0Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)63
53
Q2 - 0:44.7HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (offensive foul)63
53
Q2 - 0:44.7HornetsP.J. Washington offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)63
53
Q2 - 0:59.4HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)63
53
Q2 - 1:00HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound63
53
Q2 - 1:03HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot63
53
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 263
53
Q2 - 1:16Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington)62
53
Q2 - 1:16Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)62
53
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 262
53
Q2 - 1:16HornetsMiles Bridges personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)61
53
Q2 - 1:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 261
53
Q2 - 1:36HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 1 of 261
52
Q2 - 1:36HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)61
51
Q2 - 1:40HeatGoran Dragic makes two point driving layup61
51
Q2 - 1:47HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - 1:49HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot59
51
Q2 - 2:02Heat 60 second timeout59
51
Q2 - 2:02Stoppage (Out of bounds)59
51
Q2 - 2:02HornetsHornets defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - 2:03HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot59
51
Q2 - 2:10HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound59
51
Q2 - 2:13HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point stepback jump shot59
51
Q2 - 2:30HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)59
51
Q2 - 2:33HornetsMiles Bridges turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)57
51
Q2 - 2:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)57
51
Q2 - 3:04HornetsMiles Bridges makes regular free throw 2 of 255
51
Q2 - 3:04Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, Miles Bridges)55
50
Q2 - 3:04Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)55
50
Q2 - 3:04HornetsMiles Bridges misses regular free throw 1 of 255
50
Q2 - 3:04HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)55
50
Q2 - 3:19HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound55
50
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot55
50
Q2 - 3:40HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound55
50
Q2 - 3:43HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot55
50
Q2 - 3:55HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound55
50
Q2 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot55
50
Q2 - 4:15HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)55
50
Q2 - 4:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 255
47
Q2 - 4:26HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 254
47
Q2 - 4:26HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)53
47
Q2 - 4:29HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)53
47
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup53
47
Q2 - 4:47HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound51
47
Q2 - 4:51HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point pullup jump shot51
47
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 2 of 251
47
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 251
46
Q2 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)51
45
Q2 - 5:08HornetsTerry Rozier offensive rebound51
45
Q2 - 5:08HornetsJimmy Butler blocks Terry Rozier's two point jump shot51
45
Q2 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 251
45
Q2 - 5:20Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler)50
45
Q2 - 5:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 250
45
Q2 - 5:20HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
45
Q2 - 5:44HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)49
45
Q2 - 5:54HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)49
42
Q2 - 5:55HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound49
42
Q2 - 5:59HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup49
42
Q2 - 6:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound49
42
Q2 - 6:14HornetsDevonte' Graham misses three point jump shot49
42
Q2 - 6:23Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges)49
42
Q2 - 6:23HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)49
42
Q2 - 6:46HeatAndre Iguodala makes three point stepback jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)49
42
Q2 - 7:11HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point dunk (Malik Monk assists)46
42
Q2 - 7:22Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler)46
40
Q2 - 7:22HeatGoran Dragic personal foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)46
40
Q2 - 7:22HornetsJalen McDaniels offensive rebound46
40
Q2 - 7:24HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot46
40
Q2 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 2 of 246
40
Q2 - 7:45Hornets lineup change (Jalen McDaniels, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)45
40
Q2 - 7:45Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)45
40
Q2 - 7:45HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 245
40
Q2 - 7:45HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)44
40
Q2 - 7:56HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point layup44
40
Q2 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Goran Dragic assists)44
38
Q2 - 8:13HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 8:14HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point tip dunk42
38
Q2 - 8:14HornetsMiles Bridges offensive rebound42
38
Q2 - 8:20HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point layup42
38
Q2 - 8:29Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)42
38
Q2 - 8:29Hornets 60 second timeout42
38
Q2 - 8:41HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running dunk42
38
Q2 - 8:43HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Kendrick Nunn steals)40
38
Q2 - 8:56HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound40
38
Q2 - 8:58HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot40
38
Q2 - 9:06HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point pullup jump shot40
38
Q2 - 9:28HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)40
36
Q2 - 9:40Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Malik Monk)37
36
Q2 - 9:40HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)37
36
Q2 - 9:40HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound37
36
Q2 - 9:41HornetsAndre Iguodala blocks Malik Monk's two point layup37
36
Q2 - 9:45HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound37
36
Q2 - 9:46HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving reverse layup37
36
Q2 - 9:58HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point running layup37
36
Q2 - 10:06HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)37
34
Q2 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
34
Q2 - 10:19HornetsMalik Monk misses three point pullup jump shot35
34
Q2 - 10:26HornetsDevonte' Graham defensive rebound35
34
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo misses two point tip layup35
34
Q2 - 10:27HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
34
Q2 - 10:31HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup35
34
Q2 - 10:44HornetsDevonte' Graham turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
34
Q2 - 10:48HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound35
34
Q2 - 10:51HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot35
34
Q2 - 11:12HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 235
34
Q2 - 11:12HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 235
33
Q2 - 11:12HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)35
32
Q2 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)35
32
Q2 - 11:35HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)35
32
Q2 - 11:35HeatHeat offensive rebound35
32
Q2 - 11:35HeatAndre Iguodala misses two point jump shot35
32
Q2 - 11:50HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (out of bounds bad pass)35
32
Q2 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Bam Adebayo)35
32
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.35
32
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsHornets offensive rebound35
32
Q1 - 0:00.0HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks Malik Monk's three point jump shot35
32
Q1 - 0:01.2Stoppage (Out of bounds)35
32
Q1 - 0:02.4HeatGoran Dragic makes regular free throw 1 of 135
32
Q1 - 0:02.0Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Bam Adebayo)34
32
Q1 - 0:02.4HornetsMalik Monk shooting foul (Goran Dragic draws the foul)34
32
Q1 - 0:02.4HeatGoran Dragic makes two point running layup34
32
Q1 - 0:05.3HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 2 of 232
32
Q1 - 0:05.3HornetsDevonte' Graham makes regular free throw 1 of 232
31
Q1 - 0:05.3HeatMax Strus personal foul (Devonte' Graham draws the foul)32
30
Q1 - 0:23.6HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound32
30
Q1 - 0:25.6HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot32
30
Q1 - 0:42.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 132
30
Q1 - 0:42.0Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Bam Adebayo)32
29
Q1 - 0:42.3HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)32
29
Q1 - 0:42.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point layup32
29
Q1 - 0:45.6HeatGoran Dragic turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)32
27
Q1 - 0:56.9HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point bank jump shot (Devonte' Graham assists)32
27
Q1 - 1:12HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point reverse layup (Andre Iguodala assists)32
25
Q1 - 1:27HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving dunk (Malik Monk assists)30
25
Q1 - 1:47HeatGoran Dragic makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)30
23
Q1 - 1:58Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Bismack Biyombo, Devonte' Graham, P.J. Washington, Malik Monk)28
23
Q1 - 1:58Heat lineup change (Andre Iguodala, Kendrick Nunn, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon)28
23
Q1 - 1:58Heat 60 second timeout28
23
Q1 - 1:58HornetsHornets turnover (shot clock violation)28
23
Q1 - 1:59HornetsHornets offensive rebound28
23
Q1 - 1:59HornetsTrevor Ariza blocks Devonte' Graham's three point jump shot28
23
Q1 - 2:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)28
23
Q1 - 2:33HeatMax Strus defensive rebound26
23
Q1 - 2:38HornetsMalik Monk misses three point stepback jump shot26
23
Q1 - 2:45HornetsBismack Biyombo defensive rebound26
23
Q1 - 2:47HeatGoran Dragic misses two point layup26
23
Q1 - 3:01HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point hook shot26
23
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup26
21
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound24
21
Q1 - 3:20HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point bank jump shot24
21
Q1 - 3:43HornetsDevonte' Graham makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Bismack Biyombo assists)24
21
Q1 - 3:52Hornets lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, P.J. Washington, Malik Monk)24
19
Q1 - 3:52HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)24
19
Q1 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 224
19
Q1 - 4:03Hornets lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, Miles Bridges, Malik Monk)23
19
Q1 - 4:03HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 223
19
Q1 - 4:03HornetsMiles Bridges shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)22
19
Q1 - 4:19HornetsBismack Biyombo makes two point running dunk (Devonte' Graham assists)22
19
Q1 - 4:26HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)22
17
Q1 - 4:38HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
17
Q1 - 4:41HornetsBismack Biyombo misses regular free throw 2 of 219
17
Q1 - 4:41Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Max Strus, Dewayne Dedmon, Jimmy Butler)19
17
Q1 - 4:41HornetsBismack Biyombo makes regular free throw 1 of 219
17
Q1 - 4:41HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Bismack Biyombo draws the foul)19
16
Q1 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)19
16
Q1 - 5:09HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot (Bismack Biyombo assists)16
16
Q1 - 5:11HornetsBismack Biyombo offensive rebound16
13
Q1 - 5:14HornetsMiles Bridges misses three point jump shot16
13
Q1 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)16
13
Q1 - 5:33HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound14
13
Q1 - 5:35HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving layup14
13
Q1 - 5:48Hornets lineup change (Bismack Biyombo, Jalen McDaniels, Devonte' Graham, Terry Rozier, Miles Bridges)14
13
Q1 - 5:48Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Goran Dragic, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)14
13
Q1 - 5:48Hornets 60 second timeout14
13
Q1 - 5:48HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup (Bam Adebayo assists)14
13
Q1 - 5:52HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)12
13
Q1 - 6:12HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound12
13
Q1 - 6:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot12
13
Q1 - 6:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
13
Q1 - 6:29HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot12
13
Q1 - 6:50HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving reverse layup12
13
Q1 - 7:08HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point dunk (Miles Bridges assists)10
13
Q1 - 7:17HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound10
11
Q1 - 7:20HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot10
11
Q1 - 7:32HornetsP.J. Washington makes three point jump shot (Miles Bridges assists)10
11
Q1 - 7:39HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
8
Q1 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound10
8
Q1 - 7:51HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point layup10
8
Q1 - 8:05Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Jalen McDaniels, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges)10
8
Q1 - 8:05HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Miles Bridges draws the foul)10
8
Q1 - 8:12HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)10
8
Q1 - 8:25HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving layup (LaMelo Ball assists)8
8
Q1 - 8:33HornetsMiles Bridges defensive rebound8
6
Q1 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 18
6
Q1 - 8:34HornetsCody Martin shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)8
6
Q1 - 8:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup8
6
Q1 - 8:48HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point reverse layup (Cody Martin assists)6
6
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)6
4
Q1 - 9:09HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point cutting layup (LaMelo Ball assists)6
4
Q1 - 9:17HornetsCody Martin defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:20HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:24HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)6
2
Q1 - 9:25HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:28HeatLaMelo Ball blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:36Stoppage (Out of bounds)6
2
Q1 - 9:36Miles Bridges kicked ball violation6
2
Q1 - 9:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:47HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point floating jump shot6
2
Q1 - 9:56HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 9:58HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot6
2
Q1 - 10:08HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
2
Q1 - 10:10HornetsMiles Bridges misses two point driving floating jump shot6
2
Q1 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
2
Q1 - 10:52HornetsMiles Bridges makes two point driving layup4
2
Q1 - 11:05HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)4
0
Q1 - 11:15HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound2
0
Q1 - 11:17HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot2
0
Q1 - 11:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot2
0
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. P.J. Washington (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Hornets lineup change (LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, P.J. Washington, Miles Bridges, Cody Martin)0
0
Q1 - 12:00Heat lineup change (Trevor Ariza, Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo)0
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
25
33
76%
CHA
19
29
66%
Midrange
MIA
9
17
53%
CHA
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
CHA
14
21.0
33
42%
64%
Free Throws
MIA
20
27
74%
CHA
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2071%10.0 / 14
K. Nunn1973%9.5 / 13
J. Butler1875%9.0 / 12
G. Dragic1847%9.0 / 19
D. Dedmon1488%7.0 / 8
D. Robinson1045%5.0 / 11
T. Ariza964%4.5 / 7
M. Strus744%3.5 / 8
A. Iguodala350%1.5 / 3
G. Vincent375%1.5 / 2
P. Achiuwa0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Washington2181%10.5 / 13
M. Bridges1550%7.5 / 15
L. Ball1447%7.0 / 15
T. Rozier1464%7.0 / 11
J. McDaniels1286%6.0 / 7
M. Monk1161%5.5 / 9
D. Graham956%4.5 / 8
B. Biyombo788%3.5 / 4
V. Carey Jr.467%2.0 / 3
B. Wanamaker233%1.0 / 3
C. Zeller233%1.0 / 3
C. Martin0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+14
-11
100
CHA
83
+10
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
CHA
1.19 59.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
110.6
MIA 124.7 +10.3
CHA 114.4
Pace
96.7
98.5
MIA 89.2
CHA 106.2 +17.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
14.4
MIA 16.1
CHA 13.6 −2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
53.3%
MIA 57.4%
CHA 58.0% +0.6%
TO %
13.7%
14.3%
MIA 9.9% −4.3%
CHA 14.2%
ORB %
19.4%
23.5%
MIA 26.2% +5.7%
CHA 20.5%
FTrt
25.2
23.8
MIA 30.7 +3.5
CHA 27.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
67.2%
MIA 66.7%
CHA 75.0% +8.3%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
MIA 10.3% +1.0%
CHA 9.3%
BLK %
8.5%
9.9%
MIA 12.5% +10.5%
CHA 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
55.1%
MIA 59.9% +0.2%
CHA 59.7%
Rim FG%
64.8%
58.0%
MIA 75.8% +10.3%
CHA 65.5%
Mid FG%
41.8%
40.6%
MIA 52.9% +16.1%
CHA 36.8%
3P %
35.8%
36.9%
MIA 28.9%
CHA 42.4% +13.5%
FT %
79.0%
76.1%
MIA 74.1%
CHA 77.3% +3.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
36.8%
MIA 37.5% +1.7%
CHA 35.8%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
21.1%
MIA 19.3% −4.1%
CHA 23.5%
3P Att. %
43.2%
42.2%
MIA 43.2% +2.4%
CHA 40.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9797
Possession Minutes26.121.9
Points121111
Rebounds4239
Assists3030
Steals109
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)14 (1)
Fouls2220
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals45-8840-81
At-the-Rim FG25-3319-29
Midrange FG9-177-19
2-Point FG34-5026-48
3-Point FG11-3814-33
Free Throws20-2717-22
Fast Break Pts229
2nd Chance Pts109
Points in Paint6450
Pts off Turnovers2316
Bench Points4547
Biggest Lead253

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
37.3
19
73%
1
2
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-5
100%
3-8
38%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.5
20
71%
7
10
1
0
3
2
2
5
2-3
67%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
31.4
9
64%
7
3
3
2
1
2
2
5
2-4
50%
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
#22 · SF · 6'6" 230 · 32
27.9
18
75%
8
8
1
1
0
1
2
6
8-9
89%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
26.5
10
45%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-3
33%
0-0
-
3-10
30%
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
29.6
18
47%
2
2
1
1
3
3
1
1
3-3
100%
6-12
50%
1-6
17%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
20.9
7
44%
3
2
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
16.2
3
50%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
13.3
14
88%
8
0
1
0
2
4
3
5
4-5
80%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
1.1
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#5 · PF · 6'8" 243 · 22
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision | Right Foot; Soreness
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
121
60%
42
30
10
6
11
22
11
31
20-27
74%
34-50
68%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.