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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
May 4, 2021
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks
127
12Heat
113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.0
33
31
12
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
57%
2-3
67%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 29.1
33
27
36
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
10-18
56%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 22.2
30
35
23
12
8
0
1
0
7
1
11
2-5
40%
3-5
7-12
60%
57%
5-10
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.6
23
26
17
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.7
18
17
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
29
20
7
10
3
3
1
2
0
5
5
1-1
100%
3-4
3-4
75%
66%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.5
24
8
4
4
3
3
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Jalen Brunson
G · 6'2" 198 · 24.7
18
22
19
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
55%
2-5
40%
Nicolo Melli
F · 6'9" 236 · 30.3
15
9
0
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 28.5
7
16
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-1
0%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 36.9
6
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Bey
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.2
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Nate Hinton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 29.3
25
0
1-1
56%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 32.7
8
0
2-3
57%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 25.8
Tyrell Terry
G · 6'3" 160 · 20.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Duncan Robinson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
38
26
19
9
3
2
0
0
1
1
8
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
65%
4-11
36%
Kendrick Nunn
G · 6'3" 193 · 25.8
32
33
14
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
55%
2-7
29%
Bam Adebayo
C-F · 6'10" 255 · 23.8
30
32
11
9
11
2
1
0
3
3
6
3-6
50%
4-10
7-12
40%
58%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 35.8
26
27
18
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
52%
4-7
57%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 37.3
22
18
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 35.0
27
27
19
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
7-8
88%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
2-6
33%
KZ Okpala
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.0
20
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 25.1
15
17
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
66%
2-3
67%
Gabe Vincent
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.9
12
6
14
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
4-5
80%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 31.7
12
13
6
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Precious Achiuwa
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.6
6
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 31.6
30
2
6-10
53%
Tyler Herro
G · 6'6" 195 · 21.3
8
0
1-2
51%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 33.0
3
0
0-0
55%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 40.9
3
0
0-1
46%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.