Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, May 4, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 75% | 117 | 134 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 25% | 107 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 102 | |||
28 | Pistons | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nets | 35% | 114 | 118 | |
6 | Bucks | 65% | 120 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 127 | |||
12 | Heat | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Warriors | 49% | 114 | 103 | |
19 | Pelicans | 51% | 115 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 103 | |||
29 | Thunder | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 26% | 104 | 100 | |
2 | Clippers | 74% | 113 | 105 |
Monday, May 3, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 38% | 102 | 119 | |
27 | Pistons | 62% | 106 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 141 | |||
23 | Wizards | 154 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Warriors | 49% | 114 | 123 | |
21 | Pelicans | 51% | 115 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Trail Blazers | 114 | |||
17 | Hawks | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 65% | 111 | 106 | |
20 | Bulls | 35% | 106 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Knicks | 118 | |||
15 | Grizzlies | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 23% | 104 | 99 | |
1 | Jazz | 77% | 114 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nuggets | 89 | |||
7 | Lakers | 93 |
Sunday, May 2, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 36% | 114 | 114 | |
9 | Bucks | 64% | 119 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 129 | |||
8 | Celtics | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 56% | 109 | 121 | |
22 | Hornets | 44% | 107 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 111 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Knicks | 68% | 112 | 122 | |
26 | Rockets | 32% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Suns | 123 | |||
29 | Thunder | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 76ers | 65% | 113 | 113 | |
19 | Spurs | 35% | 108 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 121 | |||
6 | Lakers | 114 |
Saturday, May 1, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 94 | |
22 | Hornets | 66% | 110 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Warriors | 113 | |||
26 | Rockets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 97 | |
17 | Hawks | 59% | 113 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Heat | 124 | |||
28 | Cavaliers | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 75% | 112 | 111 | |
30 | Magic | 25% | 103 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 140 | |||
25 | Timberwolves | 136 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pacers | 75% | 116 | 152 | |
29 | Thunder | 25% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 124 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Raptors | 38% | 106 | 102 | |
1 | Jazz | 62% | 110 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 110 | |||
2 | Clippers | 104 |
Friday, April 30, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Hawks | 33% | 108 | 104 | |
6 | 76ers | 67% | 114 | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Spurs | 140 | |||
8 | Celtics | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Wizards | 55% | 116 | 122 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 45% | 114 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 128 | |||
3 | Nets | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 19% | 102 | 75 | |
14 | Grizzlies | 81% | 115 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Bucks | 108 | |||
18 | Bulls | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 41% | 109 | 100 | |
7 | Suns | 59% | 113 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Kings | 110 | |||
5 | Lakers | 106 |
Thursday, April 29, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 65% | 108 | 115 | |
28 | Pistons | 35% | 102 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 130 | |||
18 | Pacers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 76% | 119 | 136 | |
26 | Rockets | 24% | 109 | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Warriors | 114 | |||
24 | Timberwolves | 126 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 69% | 114 | 109 | |
29 | Thunder | 31% | 107 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Raptors | 111 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 121 |
Wednesday, April 28, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 109 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 67% | 112 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hawks | 83 | |||
9 | 76ers | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 58% | 113 | 107 | |
24 | Wizards | 42% | 111 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 111 | |||
8 | Celtics | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 40% | 105 | 94 | |
17 | Knicks | 60% | 109 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 111 | |||
13 | Heat | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 113 | 130 | |
12 | Grizzlies | 62% | 117 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 112 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 35% | 107 | 101 | |
6 | Suns | 65% | 113 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 154 | |||
23 | Kings | 105 |
Tuesday, April 27, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Thunder | 17% | 99 | 119 | |
7 | Celtics | 83% | 113 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 114 | |||
22 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 117 | 133 | |
17 | Pacers | 47% | 116 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Nets | 116 | |||
15 | Raptors | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 48% | 115 | 114 | |
26 | Rockets | 52% | 116 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 133 | |||
12 | Warriors | 103 |
Monday, April 26, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hawks | 86 | |||
28 | Pistons | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Lakers | 84% | 111 | 114 | |
30 | Magic | 16% | 97 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Thunder | 90 | |||
8 | 76ers | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 55% | 115 | 146 | |
24 | Wizards | 45% | 113 | 143 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 118 | |||
18 | Knicks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 26% | 104 | 96 | |
16 | Raptors | 74% | 113 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 110 | |||
14 | Heat | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 71% | 117 | 104 | |
25 | Timberwolves | 29% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 103 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 35% | 108 | 96 | |
3 | Nuggets | 65% | 113 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Mavericks | 106 | |||
23 | Kings | 113 |
Sunday, April 25, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 38% | 110 | 110 | |
22 | Wizards | 62% | 115 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 120 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 63% | 111 | 104 | |
23 | Hornets | 37% | 107 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Suns | 119 | |||
4 | Nets | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Bucks | 52% | 115 | 104 | |
15 | Hawks | 48% | 114 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pacers | 131 | |||
30 | Magic | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Kings | 27% | 111 | 113 | |
12 | Warriors | 73% | 120 | 117 |
Saturday, April 24, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Spurs | 110 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Raptors | 103 | |||
18 | Knicks | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 76ers | 38% | 110 | 94 | |
4 | Bucks | 62% | 115 | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 109 | |||
17 | Pacers | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Bulls | 38% | 104 | 101 | |
14 | Heat | 62% | 109 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Lakers | 93 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 21% | 107 | 101 | |
1 | Jazz | 79% | 119 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Rockets | 116 | |||
3 | Nuggets | 129 |
Friday, April 23, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 43% | 113 | 130 | |
11 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 115 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 103 | |||
15 | Hawks | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 33% | 111 | 104 | |
5 | Nets | 67% | 117 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Cavaliers | 102 | |||
22 | Hornets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Clippers | 67% | 114 | 109 | |
26 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Wizards | 129 | |||
29 | Thunder | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 45% | 112 | 97 | |
12 | Warriors | 55% | 114 | 118 |
Thursday, April 22, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 86 | |||
7 | Celtics | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 71% | 115 | 135 | |
29 | Magic | 29% | 107 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 76ers | 117 | |||
5 | Bucks | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 30% | 103 | 91 | |
18 | Spurs | 70% | 111 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Hornets | 91 | |||
21 | Bulls | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Lakers | 43% | 108 | 110 | |
10 | Mavericks | 57% | 111 | 115 |
Wednesday, April 21, 2021
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Pistons | 117 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Bulls | 54% | 110 | 105 | |
27 | Cavaliers | 46% | 108 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | Thunder | 116 | |||
16 | Pacers | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Suns | 48% | 110 | 116 | |
4 | 76ers | 52% | 111 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Nets | 103 | |||
17 | Raptors | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Warriors | 59% | 118 | 114 | |
24 | Wizards | 41% | 115 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hawks | 127 | |||
19 | Knicks | 137 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jazz | 70% | 115 | 112 | |
26 | Rockets | 30% | 108 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 107 | |||
18 | Spurs | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 49% | 108 | 105 | |
2 | Clippers | 51% | 109 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Nuggets | 106 | |||
11 | Trail Blazers | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 43% | 115 | 125 | |
22 | Kings | 57% | 118 | 128 |