Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, May 5, 2021

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Knicks	31%	104	97	94.2	103	109.8
	3	Nuggets	69%	111	113	108.7	104	97.9

Scoring Opportunities

NYK

+10

-15

DEN

+24

-13

115

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

0.99 49.5%

DEN

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

16 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 27	29.7	5	63%	5	0	2	6	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	29.6	14	41%	8	5	0	1	5	3	1	7	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 21	27.9	14	50%	3	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 30	24.0	14	70%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Elfrid Payton #6 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	16.5	6	43%	6	2	1	0	4	1	0	6	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Derrick Rose #4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	26.8	14	70%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22	24.4	18	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	7-9	78%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23	16.7	4	33%	6	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 30	15.5	0	0%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 36	11.5	2	33%	1	1	1	1	0	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	4.7	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Frank Ntilikina #11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Norvel Pelle #14 · C · 6'11" 216 · 28	4.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Harper #0 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 24	2.4	1	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Theo Pinson #21 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 25	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	42	18	6	10	15	24	6	36	18-27	67%	20-51	39%	13-35	37%

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16 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nerlens Noel #3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 27	29.7	5	63%	5	0	2	6	2	4	1	4	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26	29.6	14	41%	8	5	0	1	5	3	1	7	4-6	67%	5-10	50%	0-5	0%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 21	27.9	14	50%	3	1	0	1	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	4-8	50%
Reggie Bullock Jr. #25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 30	24.0	14	70%	2	2	1	0	1	2	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	3-7	43%
Elfrid Payton #6 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27	16.5	6	43%	6	2	1	0	4	1	0	6	0-1	0%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

Derrick Rose #4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 33	26.8	14	70%	2	3	0	0	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22	24.4	18	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	0	3	7-9	78%	1-3	33%	3-5	60%
Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23	16.7	4	33%	6	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 30	15.5	0	0%	2	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%
Taj Gibson #67 · PF · 6'9" 232 · 36	11.5	2	33%	1	1	1	1	0	5	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kevin Knox II #20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22	4.7	3	75%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-1	100%
Frank Ntilikina #11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23	4.7	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Norvel Pelle #14 · C · 6'11" 216 · 28	4.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jared Harper #0 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 24	2.4	1	50%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Theo Pinson #21 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 25	1.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Mitchell Robinson #23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Foot; surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	50%	42	18	6	10	15	24	6	36	18-27	67%	20-51	39%	13-35	37%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Facundo Campazzo #7 · PG · 5'11" 195 · 30	32.5	16	62%	9	4	5	2	1	1	2	7	4-4	100%	3-5	60%	2-7	29%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 26	29.1	32	73%	12	6	2	2	4	3	3	9	12-15	80%	10-14	71%	0-2	0%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SG · 6'10" 218 · 23	25.4	17	71%	6	3	0	0	1	3	0	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	3-6	50%
Paul Millsap #4 · PF · 6'8" 246 · 36	24.3	6	23%	6	2	1	0	0	2	3	3	0-0	-	3-10	30%	0-3	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · SF · 6'8" 235 · 26	22.1	0	0%	5	1	0	0	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-2	0%

Austin Rivers #25 · SG · 6'4" 200 · 29	28.4	25	83%	3	3	3	0	1	2	0	3	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	6-9	67%
Shaquille Harrison #3 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 28	26.8	7	44%	5	0	2	0	0	3	0	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
JaMychal Green #0 · PF · 6'9" 227 · 31	20.1	2	14%	5	3	0	1	2	2	2	3	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-3	0%
JaVale McGee #34 · C · 7'0" 270 · 33	17.8	5	42%	9	1	0	2	1	6	3	6	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24	4.7	2	33%	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Bol Bol #10 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 21	4.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Markus Howard #00 · SG · 5'11" 175 · 22	4.0	1	17%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
Will Barton #5 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left ACL; Surgery
Monté Morris #11 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 26	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PJ Dozier #35 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Adductor; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	49%	63	23	13	7	13	24	17	46	27-33	82%	25-58	43%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NYK

0.99 49.5%

DEN

0.98 49.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

58%

DEN

50%

Midrange

NYK

28%

DEN

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

19.5

37%

56%

DEN

18.0

31%

46%

Free Throws

NYK

67%

DEN

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Quickley	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Randle	14	41%	7.0 / 17
R. Barrett	14	50%	7.0 / 14
R. Bullock	14	70%	7.0 / 10
D. Rose	14	70%	7.0 / 10
E. Payton	6	43%	3.0 / 7
N. Noel	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Toppin	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Knox	3	75%	1.5 / 2
T. Gibson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
N. Pelle	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Harper	1	50%	0.5 / 1
A. Burks	0	-	0.0 / 7
F. Ntilikina	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	73%	16.0 / 22
A. Rivers	25	83%	12.5 / 15
M. Porter	17	71%	8.5 / 12
F. Campazzo	16	62%	8.0 / 13
S. Harrison	7	44%	3.5 / 8
P. Millsap	6	23%	3.0 / 13
J. McGee	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Green	2	14%	1.0 / 7
V. Cancar	2	33%	1.0 / 3
M. Howard	1	17%	0.5 / 3
A. Gordon	0	-	0.0 / 6
B. Bol	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	22 110.6 7 116.8	NYK 94.2 DEN 108.7 +14.5
Pace	30 95.9 28 97.4	NYK 109.8 +11.9 DEN 97.9
Avg. Poss. Time	1 15.3 4 15.1	NYK 13.1 −1.6 DEN 14.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 52.4% 6 55.7%	NYK 45.9% +1.6% DEN 44.3%
TO %	7 12.6% 13 13.0%	NYK 13.3% DEN 11.9% −1.4%
ORB %	17 22.0% 2 24.8%	NYK 11.5% DEN 32.1% +20.6%
FTrt	17 24.2 28 21.9	NYK 31.4 DEN 34.0 +2.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	29 54.3% 11 62.1%	NYK 54.5% DEN 62.2% +7.7%
STL %	19 7.3% 6 8.2%	NYK 5.8% DEN 12.5% +6.7%
BLK %	5 10.0% 14 9.0%	NYK 17.2% +3.5% DEN 13.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 54.6% 6 57.5%	NYK 49.5% +0.4% DEN 49.1%
Rim FG%	29 57.2% 6 63.9%	NYK 57.9% +7.9% DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%	22 40.1% 5 44.9%	NYK 28.1% DEN 37.5% +9.4%
3P %	3 39.2% 8 37.7%	NYK 37.1% +6.3% DEN 30.8%
FT %	14 78.4% 7 80.3%	NYK 66.7% DEN 81.8% +15.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 34.0% 18 33.5%	NYK 22.1% DEN 26.8% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	24 31.3% 22 28.2%	NYK 37.2% DEN 33.0% −4.2%
3P Att. %	24 34.7% 18 38.3%	NYK 40.7% +0.5% DEN 40.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NYK	DEN
Possessions	103	104
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.5
Points	97	113
Rebounds	42	63
Assists	18	23
Steals	6	13
Blocks	10	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	13 (2)
Fouls	24	24
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (4)	17 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	46 (2)
Field Goals	33-86	37-97
At-the-Rim FG	11-19	13-26
Midrange FG	9-32	12-32
2-Point FG	20-51	25-58
3-Point FG	13-35	12-39
Free Throws	18-27	27-33
Fast Break Pts	9	11
2nd Chance Pts	10	18
Points in Paint	38	46
Pts off Turnovers	16	17
Bench Points	44	42
Biggest Lead	0	31

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg