Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 11, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Knicks | - | - | 90 | |
 | Pistons | - | - | 84 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Magic | - | - | 116 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | Bulls | - | - | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | Lakers | - | - | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, October 11, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 43% | 108 | 106 |
 | 6 | Heat | 57% | 110 | 93 |
Friday, October 9, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 34% | 106 | 111 |
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 112 | 108 |
Tuesday, October 6, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 46% | 108 | 102 |
| 8 | Heat | 54% | 110 | 96 |
Sunday, October 4, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 49% | 109 | 104 |
| 9 | Heat | 51% | 110 | 115 |
Friday, October 2, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 30% | 104 | 114 |
| 3 | Lakers | 70% | 111 | 124 |
Wednesday, September 30, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 38% | 106 | 98 |
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 110 | 116 |
Sunday, September 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 47% | 107 | 113 |
| 5 | Heat | 53% | 108 | 125 |
Saturday, September 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Lakers | 67% | 112 | 117 |
Friday, September 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 32% | 104 | 108 |
| 2 | Celtics | 68% | 111 | 121 |
Thursday, September 24, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 114 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 108 |
Wednesday, September 23, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 46% | 107 | 109 |
| 5 | Heat | 54% | 109 | 112 |
Tuesday, September 22, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 47% | 107 | 106 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 114 |
Sunday, September 20, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 34% | 105 | 103 |
| 5 | Lakers | 66% | 111 | 105 |
Saturday, September 19, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 42% | 106 | 117 |
| 4 | Heat | 58% | 109 | 106 |