Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 14, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 41% | 106 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Nets | 56% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 26% | 97 | 127 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 74% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Bulls | 56% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Bucks | 78% | 115 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 57% | 111 | 90 |
 | 18 | Pelicans | 43% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 22% | 104 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, February 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 75% | 115 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Timberwolves | 67% | 118 | 129 |
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Saturday, February 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 62% | 108 | 103 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Hornets | 40% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 46% | 110 | 123 |
| 24 | Wizards | 54% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 124 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 63% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 36% | 107 | 110 |
| 6 | Raptors | 64% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 23% | 105 | 111 |
 | 2 | Heat | 77% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 25% | 102 | 101 |
| 21 | Bulls | 75% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 36% | 105 | 99 |
 | 9 | Mavericks | 64% | 111 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 28% | 106 | 115 |
| 3 | Warriors | 72% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 16% | 102 | 105 |
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Friday, February 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 68% | 116 | 141 |
| 26 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 63% | 110 | 120 |
| 27 | Pacers | 37% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 16% | 95 | 87 |
| 7 | 76ers | 84% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 33% | 112 | 136 |
| 11 | Hawks | 67% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 27% | 104 | 102 |
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Timberwolves | 53% | 116 | 122 |
| 18 | Bulls | 47% | 115 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 27% | 105 | 99 |
| 14 | Jazz | 73% | 114 | 114 |
Thursday, February 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 73% | 114 | 132 |
| 26 | Pistons | 27% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 54% | 110 | 112 |
| 24 | Wizards | 46% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 63% | 112 | 112 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 37% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 66% | 115 | 139 |
| 29 | Rockets | 34% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 37% | 106 | 105 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 63% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 39% | 112 | 107 |
| 2 | Suns | 61% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 31% | 104 | 116 |
| 5 | Warriors | 69% | 111 | 114 |
Wednesday, February 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Spurs | 42% | 108 | 92 |
| 17 | Cavaliers | 58% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 47% | 117 | 121 |
| 16 | Hornets | 53% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 79% | 109 | 117 |
| 30 | Thunder | 21% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 57% | 112 | 85 |
| 14 | Jazz | 43% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 65% | 111 | 105 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 61% | 117 | 119 |
| 23 | Kings | 39% | 113 | 132 |
Tuesday, February 8, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 46% | 109 | 114 |
| 6 | 76ers | 54% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 25% | 109 | 112 |
| 9 | Hawks | 75% | 119 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 69% | 110 | 126 |
| 22 | Nets | 31% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 33% | 108 | 109 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 67% | 115 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 26% | 110 | 97 |
| 15 | Pelicans | 74% | 119 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 23% | 102 | 86 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 77% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 32% | 108 | 115 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 68% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 53% | 112 | 131 |
| 13 | Lakers | 47% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 106 | 113 |
| 28 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 69% | 117 | 134 |
| 27 | Kings | 31% | 110 | 114 |
Monday, February 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 54% | 113 | 116 |
| 14 | Hornets | 46% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 68% | 110 | 121 |
| 22 | Wizards | 32% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 68% | 116 | 127 |
| 21 | Bulls | 32% | 109 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 82% | 110 | 110 |
| 30 | Thunder | 18% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 41% | 108 | 104 |
| 16 | Jazz | 59% | 111 | 113 |
Sunday, February 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 59% | 112 | 119 |
| 22 | Bulls | 41% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 25% | 107 | 105 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 75% | 117 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 40% | 111 | 104 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 39% | 105 | 85 |
| 21 | Cavaliers | 61% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 75% | 111 | 116 |
| 25 | Magic | 25% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 44% | 111 | 94 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 56% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 64% | 117 | 120 |
| 29 | Rockets | 36% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 49% | 111 | 137 |
| 15 | Clippers | 51% | 112 | 113 |
Saturday, February 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 69% | 113 | 135 |
| 25 | Magic | 31% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heat | 57% | 113 | 104 |
| 12 | Hornets | 43% | 111 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 72% | 115 | 95 |
| 23 | Wizards | 28% | 107 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 41% | 106 | 115 |
| 13 | Lakers | 59% | 109 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 75% | 117 | 137 |
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 32% | 104 | 103 |
| 26 | Kings | 68% | 110 | 113 |
Friday, February 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 39% | 109 | 102 |
| 14 | Hornets | 61% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 112 | 102 |
| 28 | Pistons | 23% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 49% | 113 | 122 |
| 27 | Pacers | 51% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 41% | 110 | 114 |
| 6 | Raptors | 59% | 113 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 33% | 113 | 106 |
| 20 | Spurs | 67% | 119 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 45% | 114 | 102 |
| 17 | Jazz | 55% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 40% | 110 | 113 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 60% | 113 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 49% | 107 | 98 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 51% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 35% | 103 | 96 |
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 109 | 93 |
Thursday, February 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 67% | 113 | 112 |
| 24 | Spurs | 33% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Timberwolves | 64% | 114 | 128 |
| 27 | Pistons | 36% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 33% | 108 | 120 |
| 7 | Raptors | 67% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 55% | 115 | 115 |
| 9 | Hawks | 45% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 14% | 104 | 114 |
| 2 | Warriors | 86% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 35% | 105 | 110 |
| 18 | Clippers | 65% | 111 | 111 |
Wednesday, February 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 38% | 107 | 119 |
| 25 | Pacers | 62% | 112 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 22% | 102 | 106 |
| 5 | 76ers | 78% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 32% | 108 | 107 |
| 4 | Celtics | 68% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 57% | 109 | 120 |
| 17 | Knicks | 43% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Cavaliers | 64% | 113 | 104 |
| 29 | Rockets | 36% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 21% | 97 | 120 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 79% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 31% | 109 | 104 |
| 13 | Jazz | 69% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 59% | 116 | 101 |
| 27 | Kings | 41% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 110 | 94 |
| 21 | Lakers | 56% | 112 | 99 |
Tuesday, February 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| 27 | Pistons | 48% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 27% | 107 | 98 |
| 4 | Bucks | 73% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 39% | 105 | 106 |
| 5 | Raptors | 61% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 35% | 108 | 115 |
| 19 | Bulls | 65% | 113 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nuggets | 47% | 113 | 115 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 53% | 114 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 49% | 108 | 124 |
| 18 | Spurs | 51% | 109 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 28% | 108 | 111 |
| 1 | Suns | 72% | 117 | 121 |