Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, May 15, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | ||||
| 20 | Timberwolves | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | ||||
| 7 | Cavaliers | ||||
Thursday, May 14, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | ||||
| 18 | 76ers | ||||
Wednesday, May 13, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 3 | Pistons | ||||
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | ||||
| 2 | Spurs | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | ||||
| 6 | Knicks | ||||
Monday, May 11, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | ||||
| 6 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 8 | Lakers | ||||
Sunday, May 10, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | ||||
| 17 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | ||||
| 18 | Timberwolves | ||||
Saturday, May 9, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pistons | ||||
| 6 | Cavaliers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
| 8 | Lakers | ||||
Friday, May 8, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Knicks | ||||
| 16 | 76ers | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | ||||
| 18 | Timberwolves | ||||
Thursday, May 7, 2026
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | ||||
| 3 | Pistons | ||||
| Win Prob. | pScore | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | ||||
| 1 | Thunder | ||||
Monday, May 4, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Timberwolves | 17% | 103 | 104 | |
| 2 | Spurs | 83% | 115 | 102 | |
Updated: May 4, 2026 11:47 PM
game detailSunday, May 3, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 28% | 106 | 102 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 72% | 114 | 114 | |
Updated: May 3, 2026 11:01 PM
game detailFriday, May 1, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 43% | 110 | 110 | |
| 11 | Raptors | 57% | 112 | 112 | |
Updated: May 1, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 98 | |
| 12 | Rockets | 66% | 109 | 78 | |
Updated: May 1, 2026 10:02 PM
game detailThursday, April 30, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 112 | 98 | |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 52% | 113 | 110 | |
Updated: May 1, 2026 12:47 AM
game detailWednesday, April 29, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 20% | 100 | 109 | |
| 4 | Pistons | 80% | 111 | 116 | |
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 25% | 106 | 120 | |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 115 | 125 | |
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 10:02 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 48% | 106 | 99 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 52% | 107 | 93 | |
Updated: Apr 30, 2026 02:01 AM
game detailTuesday, April 28, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Blazers | 18% | 106 | 95 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 82% | 117 | 114 | |
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 12:02 AM
game detailMonday, April 27, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 72% | 112 | 131 | |
| 17 | Suns | 28% | 104 | 122 | |
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:32 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 113 | |
| 9 | Nuggets | 72% | 115 | 125 | |
Updated: Apr 28, 2026 01:47 AM
game detailSunday, April 26, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 58% | 115 | 89 | |
| 18 | Raptors | 42% | 112 | 93 | |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 03:16 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 113 | 114 | |
| 14 | Blazers | 44% | 111 | 93 | |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 03:16 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 128 | |
| 10 | 76ers | 44% | 110 | 96 | |
Updated: Apr 26, 2026 10:31 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 96 | |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 115 | |
Updated: Apr 27, 2026 12:17 AM
game detailSaturday, April 25, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pistons | 48% | 107 | 105 | |
| 11 | Magic | 52% | 108 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thunder | 73% | 110 | 121 | |
| 19 | Suns | 27% | 103 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 53% | 112 | 114 | |
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 48% | 114 | 96 | |
| 10 | Timberwolves | 52% | 115 | 112 | |
Friday, April 24, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 77% | 116 | 108 | |
| 19 | 76ers | 23% | 106 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 23% | 99 | 112 | |
| 16 | Rockets | 77% | 108 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 55% | 114 | 120 | |
| 14 | Blazers | 45% | 112 | 108 | |
Thursday, April 23, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Knicks | 53% | 112 | 108 | |
| 9 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 113 | 104 | |
| 17 | Raptors | 48% | 112 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 49% | 115 | 96 | |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 51% | 116 | 113 | |
Wednesday, April 22, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 24% | 102 | 83 | |
| 3 | Pistons | 76% | 111 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 9% | 97 | 107 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 91% | 114 | 120 | |
Tuesday, April 21, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 13% | 100 | 111 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 87% | 115 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blazers | 20% | 107 | 106 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 80% | 118 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 73% | 113 | 94 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 27% | 105 | 101 | |
Monday, April 20, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 28% | 108 | 105 | |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 72% | 116 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 34% | 108 | 107 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 66% | 113 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 36% | 113 | 119 | |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 117 | 114 | |
Sunday, April 19, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 16% | 102 | 91 | |
| 2 | Celtics | 84% | 115 | 123 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 16% | 100 | 84 | |
| 1 | Thunder | 84% | 113 | 119 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 26% | 103 | 112 | |
| 4 | Pistons | 74% | 111 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Blazers | 17% | 106 | 98 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 118 | 111 | |
Saturday, April 18, 2026
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 27% | 108 | 113 | |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 73% | 116 | 126 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 33% | 112 | 105 | |
| 7 | Nuggets | 67% | 118 | 116 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 108 | 102 | |
| 6 | Knicks | 70% | 115 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Rockets | 59% | 106 | 98 | |
| 20 | Lakers | 41% | 103 | 107 | |