Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 8, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Warriors			101	95.3	106	103.3
		Trail Blazers			118	110.3	107	109.9

Scoring Opportunities

GSW

+11

-18

POR

+20

-16

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.0%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	25.8	30	71%	2	7	1	1	2	1	1	1	12-15	80%	0-3	0%	6-11	55%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 26	24.2	14	58%	1	0	0	1	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 26	21.1	14	70%	8	4	2	0	1	4	0	8	5-7	71%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 31	20.9	8	100%	4	3	1	3	1	5	0	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.5	5	42%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29	15.0	2	20%	7	0	0	1	0	2	3	4	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	14.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30	14.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 23	13.9	4	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 30	13.7	6	50%	1	2	1	0	2	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 33	12.1	8	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28	10.6	2	17%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	0-0	-
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 26	10.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 33	10.2	2	33%	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 25	10.2	6	60%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Chris Babb G · 6'5" 225 · 26	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 20	\| DND - Hip surgery
Tony Mitchell · 6'8" 216 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	38	20	7	8	18	0	8	30	27-34	79%	19-49	39%	12-32	38%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	25.8	30	71%	2	7	1	1	2	1	1	1	12-15	80%	0-3	0%	6-11	55%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 26	24.2	14	58%	1	0	0	1	3	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 26	21.1	14	70%	8	4	2	0	1	4	0	8	5-7	71%	3-3	100%	1-4	25%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 31	20.9	8	100%	4	3	1	3	1	5	0	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 23	19.5	5	42%	3	0	0	1	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%

Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29	15.0	2	20%	7	0	0	1	0	2	3	4	2-4	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	14.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30	14.3	0	0%	3	0	0	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 23	13.9	4	100%	3	1	0	1	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 30	13.7	6	50%	1	2	1	0	2	0	1	0	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 33	12.1	8	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	0-1	0%
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28	10.6	2	17%	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	0-0	-
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 26	10.4	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 33	10.2	2	33%	0	1	0	0	3	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 25	10.2	6	60%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-2	100%
Chris Babb G · 6'5" 225 · 26	3.6	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 20	\| DND - Hip surgery
Tony Mitchell · 6'8" 216 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	51%	38	20	7	8	18	0	8	30	27-34	79%	19-49	39%	12-32	38%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	28.0	19	59%	1	5	1	1	1	2	1	0	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	1-3	33%
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 25	28.0	22	44%	6	3	1	0	0	5	2	4	15-17	88%	2-12	17%	1-6	17%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 25	24.9	11	61%	8	2	1	0	4	3	4	4	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Meyers Leonard F · 7'1" 255 · 24	24.1	8	67%	6	0	1	0	2	3	1	5	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
Mason Plumlee C · 7'0" 254 · 26	21.5	9	50%	7	1	1	0	1	3	3	4	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-0	-

Allen Crabbe G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23	25.4	25	96%	1	4	2	0	1	1	0	1	2-3	67%	4-6	67%	5-6	83%
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 20	23.1	2	20%	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	20.7	6	50%	9	2	2	1	0	0	1	8	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 25	20.0	4	67%	3	6	2	0	3	3	0	3	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 23	15.0	10	71%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	5.8	2	20%	2	0	0	1	2	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Omari Johnson F · 6'9" 220 · 26	3.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luis Montero · 6'7" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cliff Alexander F · 6'8" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	53%	48	25	11	3	16	0	12	36	28-36	78%	27-60	45%	12-28	43%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	POR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

1.02 51.0%

POR

1.06 53.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

67%

POR

44%

Midrange

GSW

23%

POR

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

18.0

38%

56%

POR

18.0

43%

64%

Free Throws

GSW

79%

POR

78%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Curry	30	71%	15.0 / 21
K. Thompson	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Green	14	70%	7.0 / 10
A. Bogut	8	100%	4.0 / 4
L. Barbosa	8	50%	4.0 / 8
S. Livingston	6	50%	3.0 / 6
I. Clark	6	60%	3.0 / 5
H. Barnes	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. McAdoo	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Thompson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Speights	2	17%	1.0 / 6
B. Gordon	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Iguodala	0	-	0.0 / 3
B. Rush	0	-	0.0 / 3
F. Ezeli	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Crabbe	25	96%	12.5 / 13
D. Lillard	22	44%	11.0 / 25
C. McCollum	19	59%	9.5 / 16
A. Aminu	11	61%	5.5 / 9
P. Connaughton	10	71%	5.0 / 7
M. Plumlee	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Leonard	8	67%	4.0 / 6
E. Davis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Frazier	4	67%	2.0 / 3
N. Vonleh	2	20%	1.0 / 5
C. Kaman	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 103.9 15 101.4	GSW 95.3 POR 110.3 +15.0
Pace	3 104.0 11 99.7	GSW 103.3 POR 109.9 +6.6
Avg. Poss. Time	30 13.2 15 14.7	GSW 13.9 POR 13.1 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 51.4% 7 49.6%	GSW 45.7% POR 51.1% +5.4%
TO %	21 17.1% 18 17.0%	GSW 17.2% POR 16.1% −1.1%
ORB %	27 21.1% 13 25.2%	GSW 18.2% POR 28.6% +10.4%
FTrt	2 42.4 27 26.5	GSW 42.0 +1.1 POR 40.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 66.7% 31 55.1%	GSW 64.5% +0.4% POR 64.1%
STL %	21 8.5% 22 8.4%	GSW 6.6% POR 10.3% +3.7%
BLK %	5 10.7% 21 7.9%	GSW 13.3% +7.2% POR 6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.2% 13 51.3%	GSW 51.0% POR 53.2% +2.2%
Rim FG%	4 63.9% 25 55.4%	GSW 66.7% +22.3% POR 44.4%
Mid FG%	10 39.6% 13 38.9%	GSW 22.6% POR 45.5% +22.9%
3P %	7 36.1% 13 35.5%	GSW 37.5% POR 42.9% +5.4%
FT %	32 68.2% 21 73.0%	GSW 79.4% +1.6% POR 77.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	28 30.2% 13 34.7%	GSW 22.2% POR 30.7% +8.5%
Mid Att. %	27 39.5% 5 30.9%	GSW 38.3% POR 37.5% −0.8%
3P Att. %	18 30.2% 8 34.4%	GSW 39.5% +7.7% POR 31.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	POR
Possessions	106	107
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	101	118
Rebounds	38	48
Assists	20	25
Steals	7	11
Blocks	8	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	16 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	12 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (2)	36 (5)
Field Goals	31-81	39-88
At-the-Rim FG	12-18	12-27
Midrange FG	7-31	15-33
2-Point FG	19-49	27-60
3-Point FG	12-32	12-28
Free Throws	27-34	28-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg