Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Thursday, October 8, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Celtics			111	102.8	108	113.9
		Real Madrid			96	88.9	108	102.7

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+18

-15

111

RMD

+18

-26

100

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.99 49.6%

RMD

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	22.3	8	100%	4	6	0	0	1	2	0	4	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 22	21.3	7	39%	5	2	1	0	2	5	2	3	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	21.2	8	67%	5	0	1	2	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 32	21.0	13	46%	11	4	1	0	2	2	2	9	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	20.8	17	61%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-4	75%

Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	24.6	15	47%	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	20.3	6	60%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	18.9	6	33%	6	0	1	0	2	5	3	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	16.2	2	17%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	16.0	14	88%	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	14.3	3	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	12.0	5	36%	2	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24	11.3	7	44%	6	1	2	0	2	3	1	5	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	\| DND - Sick
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	\| DND - Right Knee Strain
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	50%	51	26	15	4	15	0	14	37	21-28	75%	33-73	45%	8-23	35%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	22.3	8	100%	4	6	0	0	1	2	0	4	3-5	60%	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 22	21.3	7	39%	5	2	1	0	2	5	2	3	5-6	83%	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	21.2	8	67%	5	0	1	2	1	3	1	4	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 32	21.0	13	46%	11	4	1	0	2	2	2	9	3-4	75%	5-12	42%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	20.8	17	61%	3	2	2	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-10	40%	3-4	75%

Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	24.6	15	47%	4	3	1	0	1	2	1	3	2-3	67%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	20.3	6	60%	3	1	2	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	18.9	6	33%	6	0	1	0	2	5	3	3	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	0-2	0%
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	16.2	2	17%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-3	0%
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	16.0	14	88%	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	14.3	3	50%	1	0	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	12.0	5	36%	2	0	1	1	0	1	2	0	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24	11.3	7	44%	6	1	2	0	2	3	1	5	3-4	75%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	\| DND - Sick
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	\| DND - Right Knee Strain
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	111	50%	51	26	15	4	15	0	14	37	21-28	75%	33-73	45%	8-23	35%

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Madrid Real Madrid

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	0	96	48%	49	19	8	5	26	0	12	37	22-31	71%	22-48	46%	10-37	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	RMD
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	RMD

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.99 49.6%

RMD

0.95 47.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

61%

RMD

46%

Midrange

BOS

19%

RMD

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

12.0

35%

52%

RMD

15.0

27%

41%

Free Throws

BOS

75%

RMD

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bradley	17	61%	8.5 / 14
I. Thomas	15	47%	7.5 / 16
T. Rozier	14	88%	7.0 / 8
D. Lee	13	46%	6.5 / 14
J. Crowder	8	100%	4.0 / 4
T. Zeller	8	67%	4.0 / 6
M. Smart	7	39%	3.5 / 9
J. Sullinger	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Olynyk	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Jerebko	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Mickey	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Young	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Hunter	2	17%	1.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 103.7 34 88.9	BOS 102.8 +13.9 RMD 88.9
Pace	9 100.6 1 108.0	BOS 113.9 +11.1 RMD 102.7
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 23 14.0	BOS 12.6 −1.4 RMD 14.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 49.4% 33 43.5%	BOS 46.9% +3.4% RMD 43.5%
TO %	13 16.2% 36 24.1%	BOS 12.9% −8.0% RMD 20.9%
ORB %	9 26.1% 18 24.5%	BOS 27.5% +3.0% RMD 24.5%
FTrt	24 28.1 10 36.5	BOS 29.2 RMD 36.5 +7.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 65.3% 18 59.4%	BOS 63.4% +4.0% RMD 59.4%
STL %	6 10.4% 31 7.4%	BOS 13.9% +6.5% RMD 7.4%
BLK %	9 9.6% 28 6.8%	BOS 8.3% +1.5% RMD 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.98 and 2.98.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 51.5% 32 47.5%	BOS 49.6% +2.1% RMD 47.5%
Rim FG%	10 60.3% 36 46.4%	BOS 60.9% +14.5% RMD 46.4%
Mid FG%	34 31.9% 1 45.0%	BOS 18.5% RMD 45.0% +26.5%
3P %	6 36.4% 33 27.0%	BOS 34.8% +7.8% RMD 27.0%
FT %	27 70.5% 25 71.0%	BOS 75.0% +4.0% RMD 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 18 32.9%	BOS 47.9% +15.0% RMD 32.9%
Mid Att. %	8 33.1% 3 23.5%	BOS 28.1% RMD 23.5% −4.6%
3P Att. %	28 26.8% 3 43.5%	BOS 24.0% RMD 43.5% +19.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Game Totals	BOS	RMD
Possessions	108	108
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	111	96
Rebounds	51	49
Assists	26	19
Steals	15	8
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	26 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (3)	37 (2)
Field Goals	41-96	32-85
At-the-Rim FG	28-46	13-28
Midrange FG	5-27	9-20
2-Point FG	33-73	22-48
3-Point FG	8-23	10-37
Free Throws	21-28	22-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg