Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, October 12, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Trail Blazers			88	89.8	98	88.9
		Jazz			81	82.7	98	109.2

Scoring Opportunities

POR

-14

UTA

+11

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.93 46.3%

UTA

0.84 42.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 25	37.3	15	50%	4	3	1	2	0	1	0	4	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	33.2	16	36%	7	5	0	1	5	4	1	6	2-2	100%	4-14	29%	2-7	29%
Allen Crabbe G · 6'6" 215 · 24	31.2	7	39%	2	4	2	0	1	5	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Meyers Leonard F · 7'1" 255 · 24	31.0	19	73%	8	2	1	2	2	3	0	8	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Mason Plumlee C · 7'0" 254 · 26	25.6	7	88%	7	1	0	1	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 22	20.1	11	46%	2	0	3	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 23	17.4	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	15.9	5	125%	7	1	0	2	0	4	0	7	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 25	14.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 20	13.6	3	38%	6	0	0	0	1	1	4	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Omari Johnson F · 6'9" 220 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cliff Alexander F · 6'8" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luis Montero · 6'7" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	46%	50	18	8	8	14	0	6	44	20-26	77%	22-50	44%	8-28	29%

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Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 25	37.3	15	50%	4	3	1	2	0	1	0	4	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	0-4	0%
CJ McCollum G · 6'3" 190 · 24	33.2	16	36%	7	5	0	1	5	4	1	6	2-2	100%	4-14	29%	2-7	29%
Allen Crabbe G · 6'6" 215 · 24	31.2	7	39%	2	4	2	0	1	5	0	2	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Meyers Leonard F · 7'1" 255 · 24	31.0	19	73%	8	2	1	2	2	3	0	8	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	4-7	57%
Mason Plumlee C · 7'0" 254 · 26	25.6	7	88%	7	1	0	1	1	2	0	7	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 22	20.1	11	46%	2	0	3	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-4	25%
Pat Connaughton G · 6'5" 209 · 23	17.4	0	0%	5	1	1	0	1	4	0	5	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-2	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26	15.9	5	125%	7	1	0	2	0	4	0	7	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Tim Frazier G · 6'1" 170 · 25	14.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Noah Vonleh F · 6'9" 245 · 20	13.6	3	38%	6	0	0	0	1	1	4	2	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Damian Lillard G · 6'2" 200 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Omari Johnson F · 6'9" 220 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Cliff Alexander F · 6'8" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luis Montero · 6'7" 185 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	46%	50	18	8	8	14	0	6	44	20-26	77%	22-50	44%	8-28	29%

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Utah Jazz

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Alec Burks G · 6'5" 214 · 24	34.5	19	59%	8	3	0	0	2	3	3	5	7-8	88%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Gordon Hayward F · 6'8" 226 · 26	33.5	10	29%	3	1	1	0	2	4	0	3	3-6	50%	2-11	18%	1-4	25%
Derrick Favors F · 6'10" 265 · 24	30.4	9	28%	10	1	2	3	1	4	5	5	5-10	50%	2-11	18%	0-0	-
Rudy Gobert C · 7'1" 258 · 23	19.4	3	50%	7	0	0	1	2	5	0	7	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 23	18.8	8	40%	2	0	1	0	1	0	0	2	3-5	60%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%

Rodney Hood G · 6'8" 206 · 23	25.3	13	43%	5	1	1	0	3	1	0	5	6-6	100%	2-7	29%	1-5	20%
Joe Ingles F-G · 6'8" 220 · 28	20.2	8	50%	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-6	33%
Elijah Millsap G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28	16.8	3	38%	3	1	1	0	0	2	0	3	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Raul Neto G · 6'1" 179 · 23	9.9	2	50%	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Chris Johnson F · 6'6" 206 · 25	8.5	2	100%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trevor Booker F · 6'8" 228 · 28	7.8	2	100%	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tibor Pleiss C · 7'3" 256 · 26	6.2	2	100%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trey Lyles F · 6'10" 234 · 20	5.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jeff Withey · 7'0" 231 · 26	3.9	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Grant Jerrett F · 6'10" 232 · 22	\| DND - Right shoulder surgery
Bryce Cotton G · 6'1" 165 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Danté Exum G · 6'5" 214 · 20	\| DND - Left ACL surgery
Jack Cooley C · 6'10" 274 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Treveon Graham G-F · 6'5" 219 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
JJ O'Brien F · 6'7" 220 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	81	42%	47	13	9	4	14	0	9	38	28-41	68%	19-55	35%	5-22	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA
Clock	Team	Event	POR	UTA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

0.93 46.3%

UTA

0.84 42.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

54%

UTA

42%

Midrange

POR

33%

UTA

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

12.0

29%

43%

UTA

7.5

23%

34%

Free Throws

POR

77%

UTA

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Leonard	19	73%	9.5 / 13
C. McCollum	16	36%	8.0 / 22
A. Aminu	15	50%	7.5 / 15
M. Harkless	11	46%	5.5 / 12
A. Crabbe	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Plumlee	7	88%	3.5 / 4
E. Davis	5	125%	2.5 / 2
T. Frazier	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Vonleh	3	38%	1.5 / 4
P. Connaughton	0	-	0.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Jazz

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Burks	19	59%	9.5 / 16
R. Hood	13	43%	6.5 / 15
G. Hayward	10	29%	5.0 / 17
D. Favors	9	28%	4.5 / 16
T. Burke	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Ingles	8	50%	4.0 / 8
R. Gobert	3	50%	1.5 / 3
E. Millsap	3	38%	1.5 / 4
R. Neto	2	50%	1.0 / 2
C. Johnson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Booker	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Pleiss	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Lyles	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 101.4 19 100.1	POR 89.8 +7.1 UTA 82.7
Pace	11 99.7 30 94.8	POR 88.9 UTA 109.2 +20.4
Avg. Poss. Time	15 14.7 7 15.1	POR 16.2 UTA 13.2 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 49.6% 25 46.9%	POR 43.6% +9.2% UTA 34.4%
TO %	18 17.0% 7 15.1%	POR 15.2% UTA 12.8% −2.4%
ORB %	13 25.2% 23 21.9%	POR 13.6% UTA 17.0% +3.4%
FTrt	27 26.5 1 42.7	POR 33.3 UTA 53.2 +19.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	31 55.1% 34 51.1%	POR 60.0% +5.8% UTA 54.2%
STL %	22 8.4% 4 10.7%	POR 8.2% UTA 9.2% +1.0%
BLK %	21 7.9% 16 8.4%	POR 14.5% +6.5% UTA 8.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 51.3% 21 50.2%	POR 46.3% +4.1% UTA 42.2%
Rim FG%	25 55.4% 23 55.8%	POR 53.8% +11.5% UTA 42.3%
Mid FG%	13 38.9% 28 35.6%	POR 33.3% +5.7% UTA 27.6%
3P %	13 35.5% 25 31.9%	POR 28.6% +5.9% UTA 22.7%
FT %	21 73.0% 29 69.9%	POR 76.9% +8.6% UTA 68.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	13 34.7% 1 40.5%	POR 33.3% UTA 33.8% +0.4%
Mid Att. %	5 30.9% 13 34.0%	POR 30.8% −6.9% UTA 37.7%
3P Att. %	8 34.4% 34 25.5%	POR 35.9% +7.3% UTA 28.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	UTA
Possessions	98	98
Possession Minutes	26.5	21.5
Points	88	81
Rebounds	50	47
Assists	18	13
Steals	8	9
Blocks	8	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (3)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	44 (5)	38 (3)
Field Goals	30-78	24-77
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	11-26
Midrange FG	8-24	8-29
2-Point FG	22-50	19-55
3-Point FG	8-28	5-22
Free Throws	20-26	28-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg