Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Nuggets			114	109.6	104	97.5
		Warriors			103	101.0	102	109.3

Scoring Opportunities

DEN

+13

-15

102

GSW

+17

-14

105

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.3%

GSW

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	29.0	14	54%	5	1	1	0	2	0	0	5	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	24.9	13	59%	5	4	0	1	0	4	2	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.6	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 20	24.6	16	50%	2	9	1	0	2	2	0	2	4-6	67%	3-10	30%	2-3	67%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 26	23.8	22	92%	12	1	0	2	0	3	1	11	2-3	67%	10-12	83%	0-0	-

Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	24.2	10	63%	9	1	0	0	1	4	2	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 23	22.5	4	33%	6	3	0	0	3	1	1	5	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25	21.5	2	17%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 34	17.9	16	89%	0	4	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 21	12.0	5	63%	4	1	1	0	3	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	6.3	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	\| DND - Left Patellar Tendon Repair
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 28	\| DND - Right Knee Bone Bruise
Oleksiy Pecherov F-C · 7'0" 234 · 30	\| DND - Right Soleus Strain
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	\| DND - Left Hamstring Strain
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	236	114	55%	48	29	5	3	15	0	8	40	15-25	60%	36-70	51%	9-21	43%

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Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 27	29.0	14	54%	5	1	1	0	2	0	0	5	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	1-7	14%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	24.9	13	59%	5	4	0	1	0	4	2	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-3	67%
Gary Harris G · 6'4" 210 · 21	24.6	6	50%	2	3	1	0	0	4	1	1	0-1	0%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Emmanuel Mudiay G · 6'3" 200 · 20	24.6	16	50%	2	9	1	0	2	2	0	2	4-6	67%	3-10	30%	2-3	67%
Kenneth Faried C · 6'8" 228 · 26	23.8	22	92%	12	1	0	2	0	3	1	11	2-3	67%	10-12	83%	0-0	-

Joffrey Lauvergne C · 6'11" 260 · 24	24.2	10	63%	9	1	0	0	1	4	2	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Nick Johnson G · 6'3" 202 · 23	22.5	4	33%	6	3	0	0	3	1	1	5	0-1	0%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Will Barton F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25	21.5	2	17%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 34	17.9	16	89%	0	4	0	0	3	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-6	67%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 21	12.0	5	63%	4	1	1	0	3	2	1	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Erick Green G · 6'4" 185 · 24	6.3	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27	4.5	2	33%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-4	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 21	\| DND - Left Patellar Tendon Repair
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 28	\| DND - Right Knee Bone Bruise
Oleksiy Pecherov F-C · 7'0" 234 · 30	\| DND - Right Soleus Strain
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 32	\| DND - Left Hamstring Strain
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	236	114	55%	48	29	5	3	15	0	8	40	15-25	60%	36-70	51%	9-21	43%

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Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 28	26.4	14	47%	1	7	1	0	4	4	0	1	3-5	60%	4-5	80%	1-8	13%
Draymond Green F · 6'6" 230 · 26	24.9	15	44%	9	0	0	2	1	4	3	6	5-8	63%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 26	23.6	8	36%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	1-3	33%
Andrew Bogut C · 7'0" 260 · 31	20.2	3	75%	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	5	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Harrison Barnes F · 6'7" 225 · 23	11.9	5	63%	2	1	2	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Andre Iguodala G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32	19.7	10	83%	3	3	1	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 30	16.1	6	75%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 33	15.2	16	73%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	5-6	83%	4-4	100%	1-4	25%
Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30	14.8	5	42%	2	0	1	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Festus Ezeli C · 6'11" 265 · 26	14.1	1	13%	2	1	0	1	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	0-0	-
James Michael McAdoo · 6'9" 230 · 23	12.8	0	0%	6	1	0	0	0	1	2	4	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marreese Speights F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28	10.3	11	55%	3	0	0	1	3	4	1	2	2-3	67%	3-8	38%	1-1	100%
Ian Clark G · 6'3" 175 · 25	9.0	6	60%	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-2	0%
Jason Thompson F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29	9.0	0	0%	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Chris Babb G · 6'5" 225 · 26	6.3	0	0%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Jarell Eddie G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24	5.7	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Ben Gordon G · 6'3" 205 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kevon Looney F · 6'9" 222 · 20	\| DND - Right Hip Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	48%	43	23	7	7	14	0	11	32	26-38	68%	28-58	48%	7-29	24%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	GSW

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.3%

GSW

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

59%

GSW

60%

Midrange

DEN

45%

GSW

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13.5

43%

64%

GSW

10.5

24%

36%

Free Throws

DEN

60%

GSW

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Faried	22	92%	11.0 / 12
E. Mudiay	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Nelson	16	89%	8.0 / 9
D. Gallinari	14	54%	7.0 / 13
W. Chandler	13	59%	6.5 / 11
J. Lauvergne	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Harris	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Jokić	5	63%	2.5 / 4
N. Johnson	4	33%	2.0 / 6
W. Barton	2	17%	1.0 / 6
E. Green	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Hickson	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Barbosa	16	73%	8.0 / 11
D. Green	15	44%	7.5 / 17
S. Curry	14	47%	7.0 / 15
M. Speights	11	55%	5.5 / 10
A. Iguodala	10	83%	5.0 / 6
K. Thompson	8	36%	4.0 / 11
S. Livingston	6	75%	3.0 / 4
I. Clark	6	60%	3.0 / 5
H. Barnes	5	63%	2.5 / 4
B. Rush	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Bogut	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Eddie	3	50%	1.5 / 3
F. Ezeli	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. McAdoo	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Babb	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 101.4 8 103.9	DEN 109.6 +8.6 GSW 101.0
Pace	14 98.6 3 104.0	DEN 97.5 GSW 109.3 +11.8
Avg. Poss. Time	17 14.5 30 13.2	DEN 14.8 GSW 13.2 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	16 48.1% 3 51.4%	DEN 54.4% +10.1% GSW 44.3%
TO %	17 17.0% 21 17.1%	DEN 13.6% GSW 11.9% −1.7%
ORB %	7 26.3% 27 21.1%	DEN 20.0% GSW 21.6% +1.6%
FTrt	20 31.5 2 42.4	DEN 27.5 GSW 43.7 +16.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 56.4% 5 66.7%	DEN 64.4% GSW 65.7% +1.3%
STL %	12 9.3% 21 8.5%	DEN 4.8% GSW 6.9% +2.1%
BLK %	33 5.4% 5 10.7%	DEN 5.2% GSW 10.0% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	16 50.9% 3 54.2%	DEN 55.3% +7.2% GSW 48.1%
Rim FG%	23 55.8% 4 63.9%	DEN 59.4% GSW 60.0% +0.6%
Mid FG%	18 38.0% 10 39.6%	DEN 44.7% +5.3% GSW 39.4%
3P %	21 33.3% 7 36.1%	DEN 42.9% +18.8% GSW 24.1%
FT %	25 71.0% 32 68.2%	DEN 60.0% GSW 68.4% +8.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 37.9% 28 30.2%	DEN 35.2% +6.4% GSW 28.7%
Mid Att. %	15 34.7% 27 39.5%	DEN 41.8% GSW 37.9% −3.8%
3P Att. %	26 27.4% 18 30.2%	DEN 23.1% GSW 33.3% +10.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	GSW
Possessions	104	102
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	114	103
Rebounds	48	43
Assists	29	23
Steals	5	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	11 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (1)	32 (7)
Field Goals	45-91	35-87
At-the-Rim FG	19-32	15-25
Midrange FG	17-38	13-33
2-Point FG	36-70	28-58
3-Point FG	9-21	7-29
Free Throws	15-25	26-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg