Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Friday, October 16, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Celtics			95	94.1	101	109.1
		Knicks			101	101.0	100	93.3

Scoring Opportunities

BOS

+17

-18

100

NYK

+18

-7

111

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.95 47.5%

NYK

0.90 45.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	24.1	13	65%	1	5	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
David Lee C · 6'9" 245 · 32	23.0	4	25%	5	1	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	21.6	7	50%	8	3	1	1	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	16.2	8	67%	3	0	1	0	5	0	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	14.7	4	40%	6	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	21.4	7	44%	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	20.0	11	61%	4	3	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24	19.2	5	25%	10	1	0	1	1	3	2	8	3-6	50%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	15.9	10	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	15.4	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	13.8	12	60%	4	2	0	1	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	12.0	6	60%	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	11.8	2	14%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Levi Randolph G · 6'5" 205 · 23	0.4	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Coty Clarke F · 6'7" 225 · 23	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 22	\| NWT - Illness
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	\| DND - Sore Left Knee
Malcolm Miller F · 6'7" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	230	95	48%	57	20	4	7	18	0	11	46	21-30	70%	25-62	40%	8-21	38%

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Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	24.1	13	65%	1	5	0	0	2	1	0	1	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
David Lee C · 6'9" 245 · 32	23.0	4	25%	5	1	0	1	1	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	21.6	7	50%	8	3	1	1	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 28	16.2	8	67%	3	0	1	0	5	0	0	3	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-1	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	14.7	4	40%	6	0	0	0	0	2	0	6	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	21.4	7	44%	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-3	0%	2-4	50%
Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	20.0	11	61%	4	3	1	0	3	1	0	4	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Jared Sullinger C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24	19.2	5	25%	10	1	0	1	1	3	2	8	3-6	50%	1-7	14%	0-1	0%
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	15.9	10	100%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	15.4	3	38%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	13.8	12	60%	4	2	0	1	1	3	3	1	2-2	100%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Jordan Mickey C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	12.0	6	60%	6	0	0	2	1	0	3	3	2-4	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	11.8	2	14%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Levi Randolph G · 6'5" 205 · 23	0.4	3	150%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Coty Clarke F · 6'7" 225 · 23	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 22	\| NWT - Illness
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	\| DND - Sore Left Knee
Malcolm Miller F · 6'7" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	230	95	48%	57	20	4	7	18	0	11	46	21-30	70%	25-62	40%	8-21	38%

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New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 31	22.6	8	29%	4	2	1	1	2	0	2	2	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-3	0%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 34	21.6	5	42%	3	5	1	0	0	3	0	3	3-3	100%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	18.5	5	31%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	1-2	50%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 28	14.2	4	25%	7	0	1	0	3	3	5	2	0-2	0%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 30	8.1	8	67%	5	1	1	0	0	0	0	5	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-2	50%

Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 24	27.4	19	59%	5	0	1	1	1	2	1	4	2-4	50%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Langston Galloway G · 6'2" 200 · 24	25.7	6	38%	2	5	3	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	2-4	50%
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 32	22.0	10	63%	5	3	2	0	0	1	1	4	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	2-3	67%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26	22.0	13	65%	11	1	2	2	0	3	4	7	3-3	100%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Cleanthony Early F · 6'8" 210 · 24	21.8	10	71%	2	0	0	2	0	5	1	1	0-0	-	2-5	40%	2-2	100%
Jerian Grant G · 6'4" 198 · 23	18.6	8	80%	2	3	0	0	1	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26	11.8	2	13%	3	3	0	0	0	2	3	0	0-0	-	1-8	13%	0-0	-
DaJuan Summers F · 6'8" 240 · 28	5.7	3	38%	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-1	100%
Kristaps Porziņģis F-C · 7'2" 240 · 20	\| DND - Strained Left Quad
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thanasis Antetokounmpo F · 6'7" 219 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	45%	52	24	12	7	7	0	18	34	15-19	79%	25-75	33%	12-25	48%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	NYK
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	NYK

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

0.95 47.5%

NYK

0.90 45.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

50%

NYK

40%

Midrange

BOS

32%

NYK

29%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

12.0

38%

57%

NYK

18.0

48%

72%

Free Throws

BOS

70%

NYK

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
I. Thomas	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Zeller	12	60%	6.0 / 10
E. Turner	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Young	10	100%	5.0 / 5
A. Johnson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
A. Bradley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Hunter	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Mickey	6	60%	3.0 / 5
J. Sullinger	5	25%	2.5 / 10
D. Lee	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Crowder	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Jerebko	3	38%	1.5 / 4
L. Randolph	3	150%	1.5 / 1
K. Olynyk	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Williams	19	59%	9.5 / 16
K. O'Quinn	13	65%	6.5 / 10
S. Vujacic	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Early	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Anthony	8	29%	4.0 / 14
A. Afflalo	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Grant	8	80%	4.0 / 5
L. Galloway	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Calderon	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Thomas	5	31%	2.5 / 8
R. Lopez	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Summers	3	38%	1.5 / 4
K. Seraphin	2	13%	1.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 103.7 23 98.5	BOS 94.1 NYK 101.0 +6.9
Pace	9 100.6 13 99.6	BOS 109.1 +15.8 NYK 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	28 13.4 12 14.9	BOS 13.2 −2.2 NYK 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 49.4% 18 48.0%	BOS 44.6% +1.6% NYK 43.0%
TO %	13 16.2% 8 15.2%	BOS 17.2% NYK 7.7% −9.5%
ORB %	9 26.1% 22 22.3%	BOS 24.4% NYK 28.1% +3.7%
FTrt	24 28.1 32 24.1	BOS 36.1 +17.1 NYK 19.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 65.3% 15 60.1%	BOS 60.6% NYK 64.9% +4.3%
STL %	6 10.4% 27 7.6%	BOS 4.0% NYK 12.0% +8.0%
BLK %	9 9.6% 6 10.6%	BOS 9.3% NYK 11.3% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 51.5% 22 50.1%	BOS 47.5% +2.4% NYK 45.1%
Rim FG%	10 60.3% 27 54.1%	BOS 50.0% +10.0% NYK 40.0%
Mid FG%	34 31.9% 6 40.3%	BOS 32.4% +3.5% NYK 28.9%
3P %	6 36.4% 5 36.7%	BOS 38.1% NYK 48.0% +9.9%
FT %	27 70.5% 9 76.6%	BOS 70.0% NYK 78.9% +8.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.1% 32 28.8%	BOS 33.7% +3.7% NYK 30.0%
Mid Att. %	8 33.1% 36 46.3%	BOS 41.0% −4.0% NYK 45.0%
3P Att. %	28 26.8% 35 24.9%	BOS 25.3% +0.3% NYK 25.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	NYK
Possessions	101	100
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.7
Points	95	101
Rebounds	57	52
Assists	20	24
Steals	4	12
Blocks	7	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	7 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (6)	18 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	46 (2)	34 (1)
Field Goals	33-83	37-100
At-the-Rim FG	14-28	12-30
Midrange FG	11-34	13-45
2-Point FG	25-62	25-75
3-Point FG	8-21	12-25
Free Throws	21-30	15-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg