Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, October 17, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Wizards			105	106.1	99	93.1
		Bucks			101	104.1	97	103.6

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+17

-14

102

MIL

+16

-14

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

MIL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 30	27.1	6	43%	2	11	1	1	4	2	2	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 32	23.9	16	89%	6	2	0	1	1	4	1	5	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	23.4	13	50%	3	2	3	1	2	2	1	2	7-7	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	21.2	18	82%	2	3	1	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 31	19.4	2	33%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 20	24.6	7	25%	3	2	3	0	1	4	1	2	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 31	21.4	14	64%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 27	20.9	2	14%	1	5	1	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	18.8	8	67%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	17.6	12	55%	14	1	1	2	0	4	5	9	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 27	9.9	0	0%	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Toure' Murry F · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Wall #2 · G · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #1 · F · 6'7" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	105	52%	48	31	11	7	14	0	14	34	23-26	88%	29-59	49%	8-29	28%

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Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 30	27.1	6	43%	2	11	1	1	4	2	2	0	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 32	23.9	16	89%	6	2	0	1	1	4	1	5	2-2	100%	7-8	88%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	23.4	13	50%	3	2	3	1	2	2	1	2	7-7	100%	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	21.2	18	82%	2	3	1	0	3	1	1	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	4-7	57%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 31	19.4	2	33%	3	2	0	0	0	3	0	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 20	24.6	7	25%	3	2	3	0	1	4	1	2	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 31	21.4	14	64%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 27	20.9	2	14%	1	5	1	0	2	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	18.8	8	67%	4	0	0	0	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-5	40%
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	17.6	12	55%	14	1	1	2	0	4	5	9	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 27	9.9	0	0%	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Toure' Murry F · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Wall #2 · G · 6'4" 210 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Garrett Temple #17 · G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Dudley #1 · F · 6'7" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	228	105	52%	48	31	11	7	14	0	14	34	23-26	88%	29-59	49%	8-29	28%

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Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Greg Monroe C · 6'11" 265 · 25	24.1	13	65%	6	2	3	0	2	2	1	5	3-6	50%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Michael Carter-Williams G · 6'6" 190 · 24	22.4	4	40%	3	5	1	1	3	2	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Khris Middleton F · 6'7" 222 · 24	22.0	21	75%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	6-8	75%	3-6	50%
Johnny O'Bryant III F · 6'9" 257 · 22	21.3	2	17%	5	0	0	0	3	5	2	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Giannis Antetokounmpo G · 6'11" 243 · 21	19.6	12	75%	3	1	0	2	0	2	2	1	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	2-2	100%

Chris Copeland F · 6'9" 239 · 32	26.7	16	50%	6	2	0	0	0	1	1	5	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	2-9	22%
John Henson C · 6'11" 229 · 25	18.4	12	67%	13	0	0	0	1	1	4	9	0-2	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Rashad Vaughn G · 6'6" 202 · 19	17.6	6	33%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3-4	75%	0-2	0%	1-5	20%
O.J. Mayo G · 6'5" 210 · 28	15.9	5	36%	1	5	2	1	0	2	0	1	1-2	50%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 27	13.7	6	50%	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Jorge Gutierrez G · 6'3" 189 · 27	12.0	4	50%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Landry F · 6'7" 230 · 30	12.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-2	0%	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 29	8.8	0	0%	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Josh Powell F · 6'9" 240 · 33	5.5	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Tyler Ennis #11 · G · 6'3" 194 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jabari Parker #12 · F · 6'8" 250 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Damien Inglis #17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Miles Plumlee #18 · C · 6'11" 249 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	50%	48	25	6	4	14	0	12	36	16-28	57%	29-59	49%	9-28	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.03 51.5%

MIL

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

55%

MIL

50%

Midrange

WAS

42%

MIL

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

12.0

28%

41%

MIL

13.5

32%

48%

Free Throws

WAS

88%

MIL

57%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Gortat	16	89%	8.0 / 9
G. Neal	14	64%	7.0 / 11
O. Porter Jr.	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Blair	12	55%	6.0 / 11
D. Gooden	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Oubre	7	25%	3.5 / 14
R. Sessions	6	43%	3.0 / 7
K. Humphries	2	33%	1.0 / 3
I. Smith	2	14%	1.0 / 7
J. Harrellson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Middleton	21	75%	10.5 / 14
C. Copeland	16	50%	8.0 / 16
G. Monroe	13	65%	6.5 / 10
G. Antetokounmpo	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Henson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
R. Vaughn	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Bayless	6	50%	3.0 / 6
O. Mayo	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Carter-Williams	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Gutierrez	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. O'Bryant III	2	17%	1.0 / 6
M. Landry	0	-	0.0 / 3
G. Vasquez	0	-	0.0 / 2
J. Powell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 108.9 10 103.4	WAS 106.1 +1.9 MIL 104.1
Pace	4 103.4 18 98.0	WAS 93.1 MIL 103.6 +10.6
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.5 22 14.1	WAS 15.5 MIL 13.9 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 52.2% 6 49.7%	WAS 46.6% MIL 48.9% +2.3%
TO %	5 14.8% 27 18.0%	WAS 12.3% −0.1% MIL 12.4%
ORB %	26 21.4% 15 25.0%	WAS 28.0% +1.9% MIL 26.1%
FTrt	19 31.7 15 35.3	WAS 29.5 MIL 32.2 +2.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 66.0% 29 56.3%	WAS 83.8% +18.0% MIL 65.8%
STL %	20 8.6% 30 7.4%	WAS 11.1% +4.9% MIL 6.2%
BLK %	19 8.0% 4 10.9%	WAS 11.9% +5.1% MIL 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 55.7% 5 52.5%	WAS 51.5% +2.0% MIL 49.5%
Rim FG%	6 61.6% 7 61.5%	WAS 54.5% +4.5% MIL 50.0%
Mid FG%	3 43.8% 16 38.3%	WAS 42.3% MIL 48.1% +5.8%
3P %	18 34.1% 24 32.0%	WAS 27.6% MIL 32.1% +4.5%
FT %	7 77.7% 23 72.1%	WAS 88.5% +31.4% MIL 57.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 35.5% 4 38.4%	WAS 37.5% +0.7% MIL 36.8%
Mid Att. %	19 35.6% 20 35.9%	WAS 29.5% −1.5% MIL 31.0%
3P Att. %	24 28.9% 33 25.7%	WAS 33.0% +0.8% MIL 32.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIL
Possessions	99	97
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	105	101
Rebounds	48	48
Assists	31	25
Steals	11	6
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (3)	12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (4)	36 (0)
Field Goals	37-88	38-87
At-the-Rim FG	18-33	16-32
Midrange FG	11-26	13-27
2-Point FG	29-59	29-59
3-Point FG	8-29	9-28
Free Throws	23-26	16-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg