Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
		Wizards			105	99.1	106	112.4
		Heat			110	103.8	106	100.3

Scoring Opportunities

WAS

+13

-18

101

MIA

+13

-9

110

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.0%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 31	32.5	16	62%	12	0	2	0	2	3	3	9	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 32	31.7	18	60%	13	1	0	4	1	1	4	9	4-5	80%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	30.4	14	70%	6	3	1	2	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 31	29.6	13	46%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	26.0	14	54%	4	7	1	0	4	3	0	4	5-7	71%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 30	22.0	10	71%	4	5	2	0	3	1	0	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 20	17.6	9	38%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	17.4	6	50%	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	15.6	5	36%	3	1	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 30	11.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 27	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Toure' Murry F · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #42 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	237	105	52%	54	19	8	9	18	0	12	42	25-31	81%	28-62	45%	8-24	33%

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Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 31	32.5	16	62%	12	0	2	0	2	3	3	9	6-6	100%	2-6	33%	2-4	50%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 32	31.7	18	60%	13	1	0	4	1	1	4	9	4-5	80%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	30.4	14	70%	6	3	1	2	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Gary Neal G · 6'4" 210 · 31	29.6	13	46%	2	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	5-11	45%	1-3	33%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 25	26.0	14	54%	4	7	1	0	4	3	0	4	5-7	71%	3-8	38%	1-2	50%

Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 30	22.0	10	71%	4	5	2	0	3	1	0	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 20	17.6	9	38%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	3-4	75%	3-6	50%	0-4	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 34	17.4	6	50%	4	0	0	0	1	6	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-3	67%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	15.6	5	36%	3	1	0	1	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Jared Dudley F · 6'7" 240 · 30	11.6	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Josh Harrellson F-C · 6'10" 275 · 27	2.8	0	0%	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ish Smith G · 6'0" 175 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Toure' Murry F · 6'5" 195 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nene #42 · C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Alan Anderson #6 · F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DeJuan Blair #45 · C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	237	105	52%	54	19	8	9	18	0	12	42	25-31	81%	28-62	45%	8-24	33%

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Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 32	34.4	13	41%	7	2	0	0	2	2	2	5	3-4	75%	2-5	40%	2-9	22%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	28.4	10	38%	3	6	1	0	1	0	0	3	4-5	80%	3-11	27%	0-0	-
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	26.4	4	29%	5	2	2	0	0	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	25.0	6	27%	4	4	0	0	1	4	1	3	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	19.9	10	45%	8	0	0	4	1	4	4	4	0-1	0%	5-11	45%	0-0	-

Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	24.9	28	74%	9	1	1	1	1	1	0	9	9-12	75%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	23.0	13	59%	2	4	2	0	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	4-8	50%	0-1	0%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	17.1	14	88%	2	0	2	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	2-3	67%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	15.9	5	36%	6	1	0	1	0	1	3	3	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	13.7	5	125%	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Amar'e Stoudemire F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	7.9	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	3.5	2	100%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Greg Whittington F · 6'9" 210 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Keith Benson F-C · 6'11" 230 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Briante Weber G · 6'2" 165 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	50%	49	24	8	7	9	0	10	39	26-33	79%	30-69	43%	8-24	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.04 52.0%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

59%

MIA

47%

Midrange

WAS

33%

MIA

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

12.0

33%

50%

MIA

12.0

33%

50%

Free Throws

WAS

81%

MIA

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gortat	18	60%	9.0 / 15
K. Humphries	16	62%	8.0 / 13
O. Porter Jr.	14	70%	7.0 / 10
J. Wall	14	54%	7.0 / 13
G. Neal	13	46%	6.5 / 14
R. Sessions	10	71%	5.0 / 7
K. Oubre	9	38%	4.5 / 12
D. Gooden	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Temple	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. Dudley	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Harrellson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Green	28	74%	14.0 / 19
T. Johnson	14	88%	7.0 / 8
C. Bosh	13	41%	6.5 / 16
M. Chalmers	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Wade	10	38%	5.0 / 13
H. Whiteside	10	45%	5.0 / 11
G. Dragic	6	27%	3.0 / 11
C. Andersen	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. McRoberts	5	125%	2.5 / 2
L. Deng	4	29%	2.0 / 7
U. Haslem	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Stoudemire	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 108.9 24 97.7	WAS 99.1 MIA 103.8 +4.7
Pace	4 103.4 21 97.4	WAS 112.4 +12.1 MIA 100.3
Avg. Poss. Time	27 13.5 11 15.0	WAS 12.8 −1.5 MIA 14.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 52.2% 29 45.3%	WAS 46.5% +1.3% MIA 45.2%
TO %	5 14.8% 10 15.6%	WAS 15.3% MIA 8.5% −6.8%
ORB %	26 21.4% 19 23.8%	WAS 23.5% +4.3% MIA 19.2%
FTrt	19 31.7 13 36.1	WAS 36.0 +0.5 MIA 35.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 66.0% 16 59.8%	WAS 52.8% MIA 63.2% +10.4%
STL %	20 8.6% 33 7.4%	WAS 7.5% MIA 7.5%
BLK %	19 8.0% 13 8.6%	WAS 13.0% +1.7% MIA 11.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Pre-season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 55.7% 28 49.0%	WAS 52.0% +2.5% MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%	6 61.6% 21 56.2%	WAS 58.6% +11.5% MIA 47.1%
Mid FG%	3 43.8% 27 35.7%	WAS 33.3% MIA 40.0% +6.7%
3P %	18 34.1% 29 29.4%	WAS 33.3% MIA 33.3%
FT %	7 77.7% 19 73.4%	WAS 80.6% +1.8% MIA 78.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	9 35.5% 10 35.5%	WAS 33.7% MIA 36.6% +2.8%
Mid Att. %	19 35.6% 25 37.1%	WAS 38.4% MIA 37.6% −0.7%
3P Att. %	24 28.9% 27 27.4%	WAS 27.9% +2.1% MIA 25.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	106	106
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	105	110
Rebounds	54	49
Assists	19	24
Steals	8	8
Blocks	9	7
Turnovers (Team)	18 (0)	9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (1)	10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	42 (3)	39 (2)
Field Goals	36-86	38-93
At-the-Rim FG	17-29	16-34
Midrange FG	11-33	14-35
2-Point FG	28-62	30-69
3-Point FG	8-24	8-24
Free Throws	25-31	26-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

No boxscore predictions available for this game.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Pre-season Avg

Pre-season Avg