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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers69%10084
27Hornets31%9377
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
40.3
36.6
22
62%
9
1
2
1
1
2
1
8
2-2
100%
10-16
9-17
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
36.5
33.4
2
13%
4
12
3
1
0
8
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
0-3
0%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
36.1
32.3
10
48%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
31.9
33.7
14
51%
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
3-6
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
51%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
25.9
15.5
8
80%
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
32.0
28.4
19
70%
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
5-6
83%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
23.4
23.9
5
31%
0
7
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
1-4
25%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
13.9
10.3
4
100%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
8.5
0
1-3
43%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
3.0
0
0-1
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.2
43.3
36.6
21
60%
4
4
2
1
0
3
1
3
9-10
90%
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.3
29.9
25.8
12
70%
10
0
0
1
0
3
3
7
4-8
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
54%
0-0
-
DaJuan Summers
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
29.8
21.9
8
45%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 25.8
20.5
28.5
2
13%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25.9
12.0
16.0
2
20%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
26.5
20.3
8
58%
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.7
23.8
20.7
12
40%
6
3
1
0
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
6-15
4-8
40%
48%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.0
21.8
20.4
3
40%
2
6
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 26.8
20.2
11.8
8
80%
5
2
2
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
46%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.3
10.2
21.6
1
27%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Trey Johnson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.4
2.1
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
10.0
0
2-3
48%
Carldell Johnson
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.0
7.9
0
1-1
38%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.5
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.