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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 21, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Trail Blazers74%10191
30Pistons26%9294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.1
42.3
21.6
14
42%
9
3
1
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
1-7
14%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.6
38.2
32.8
20
80%
1
9
2
1
0
2
0
1
7-8
88%
5-5
3-7
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.3
35.9
31.8
8
37%
6
2
2
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
34.4
38.6
25
61%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
7-8
88%
9-17
9-18
53%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 37.8
26.2
17.2
2
50%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 31.8
19.0
23.0
8
31%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
0-3
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.2
18.3
13.1
10
63%
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-3
57%
57%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.3
16.0
17.0
4
50%
4
1
1
0
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.5
4.8
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.6
4.1
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'11" 210 · 26.5
0.9
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.5
34.8
1
4-8
52%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.6
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 24.0
Armon Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 31.9
38.5
35.9
17
54%
2
0
0
1
3
1
1
1
4-4
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
46%
1-2
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.8
38.0
16.1
28
74%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
8-9
89%
4-10
2-5
40%
42%
4-5
80%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.1
36.7
34.2
14
55%
3
3
0
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
3-7
4-9
43%
42%
1-3
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.6
31.4
31.6
10
64%
8
1
2
1
1
4
3
5
4-4
100%
3-6
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.4
17.3
16.8
2
100%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.9
25.6
15.5
7
36%
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
4
1-4
25%
3-8
2-3
38%
47%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 24.9
21.5
27.9
11
62%
5
0
0
1
2
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.0
18.6
8.5
2
35%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.3
12.5
15.1
3
44%
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
38%
0-1
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.8
32.4
1
4-8
44%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.6
9.9
0
1-2
42%
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.0
4.7
0
1-2
45%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.3
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.