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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Celtics25%9586
2Heat75%10493
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.4
37
33
12
6
1
0
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-9
38%
47%
2-7
29%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 21.9
29
29
12
11
1
2
1
0
2
8
3
4-4
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
48%
0-5
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.0
29
23
14
13
2
1
0
0
2
4
9
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 27.9
26
20
1
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-4
25%
0-5
3-7
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.2
7
34
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
0-2
6-12
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
27
20
8
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 23.7
25
4
11
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
2-5
40%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.9
22
19
2
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
37%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 28.7
18
21
15
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
1
5-5
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
0-0
-
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 22.8
13
18
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
7
0
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
33%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
15
0
2-4
43%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 33.7
3
0
0-0
40%
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
48%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.1
39
38
29
8
4
2
1
0
3
1
7
9-11
82%
10-15
8-13
67%
59%
0-4
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.8
34
33
16
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
6-11
71%
53%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
34
28
8
2
6
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.5
33
31
7
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.4
21
21
4
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
29
27
2
0
6
3
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.5
25
19
13
7
0
1
1
1
2
3
4
3-4
75%
5-5
2-3
100%
62%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
13
6
9
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.5
6
11
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.0
6
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
17
0
2-4
48%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
8
0
0-1
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.3
2
0
0-0
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.0
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.