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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings
114
19Pelicans
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
42
30
41
8
5
0
1
0
3
3
5
4-6
67%
11-17
5-11
65%
47%
5-8
63%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
39
36
20
3
11
3
1
0
4
0
3
5-6
83%
3-9
5-9
33%
50%
3-8
38%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
36
28
11
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-1
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
29
33
18
11
6
3
2
4
3
2
9
6-9
67%
6-10
8-17
60%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
29
23
6
1
1
0
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
23
13
3
10
1
0
0
1
0
6
4
1-4
25%
1-4
1-2
25%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
23
27
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
7
11
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
7
17
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
2
9
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
6
0
1-2
52%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
4
0
0-1
44%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 20.9
37
38
16
6
2
2
2
4
4
2
4
8-11
73%
4-12
8-16
33%
53%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 28.1
30
29
15
2
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
44%
0-2
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
27
34
7
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-4
50%
1-4
5-10
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.3
25
27
9
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
2-4
3-7
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.3
11
15
0
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 23.9
27
11
14
5
2
2
0
2
0
2
3
4-5
80%
5-6
1-2
83%
54%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
26
22
17
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
6-13
4-9
46%
49%
0-2
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 21.5
24
18
12
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-6
33%
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
2-2
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
17
15
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 25.7
16
16
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 27.9
11
0
2-4
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.6
9
0
1-3
46%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
4
0
0-1
47%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 25.7
Tyshawn Taylor
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.