Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Hawks	68%	104	112	114.3	98	96.1
	29	Magic	32%	98	109	112.4	97	98.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	38.4	24	63%	6	5	3	5	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	35.9	12	55%	5	7	1	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	35.4	23	64%	5	2	3	0	4	1	0	5	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Pero Antic C · 6'11" 260 · 31	33.1	10	42%	12	1	1	0	2	2	2	10	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	23.8	17	106%	8	2	1	0	1	0	3	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	21.7	2	25%	0	6	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	20.2	10	50%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	18.1	10	56%	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	13.4	4	67%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Nunnally F · 6'7" 208 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	42	26	11	7	17	0	8	34	21-24	88%	32-58	55%	9-25	36%

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11 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 29	38.4	24	63%	6	5	3	5	3	2	2	4	5-6	83%	8-14	57%	1-3	33%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 33	35.9	12	55%	5	7	1	1	0	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 26	35.4	23	64%	5	2	3	0	4	1	0	5	7-8	88%	5-11	45%	2-3	67%
Pero Antic C · 6'11" 260 · 31	33.1	10	42%	12	1	1	0	2	2	2	10	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	1-6	17%
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 27	23.8	17	106%	8	2	1	0	1	0	3	5	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	3-4	75%

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 27	21.7	2	25%	0	6	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 24	20.2	10	50%	1	3	1	0	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 26	18.1	10	56%	4	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Elton Brand F · 6'9" 254 · 35	13.4	4	67%	1	0	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Nunnally F · 6'7" 208 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gustavo Ayon · 6'10" 250 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
John Jenkins #12 · G · 6'4" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jared Cunningham #7 · G · 6'4" 194 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	58%	42	26	11	7	17	0	8	34	21-24	88%	32-58	55%	9-25	36%

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29 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 22	34.4	19	53%	12	1	0	0	3	4	2	10	5-5	100%	7-14	50%	0-2	0%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 22	34.0	24	75%	7	7	2	1	2	3	1	6	6-7	86%	6-11	55%	2-2	100%
Glen Davis C · 6'9" 289 · 28	30.9	9	41%	2	3	1	0	1	3	1	1	1-2	50%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 32	29.6	17	71%	1	7	1	0	4	1	0	1	5-5	100%	6-9	67%	0-2	0%
Arron Afflalo F · 6'5" 210 · 28	29.5	6	33%	1	3	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-1	0%

Maurice Harkless F · 6'9" 220 · 21	22.3	12	100%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	3-3	100%	3-4	75%	1-1	100%
Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24	21.3	5	31%	3	1	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Doron Lamb G · 6'4" 200 · 22	18.9	13	108%	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	3-4	75%
E'Twaun Moore F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25	9.6	2	25%	1	1	3	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Jason Maxiell F · 6'7" 260 · 31	5.8	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 24	3.6	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 23	\| DND - Concussion
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 31	\| DND - Sprained Right Foot
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	58%	33	24	7	1	14	0	6	27	21-24	88%	35-71	49%	6-12	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	ORL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.15 57.7%

ORL

1.16 58.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

22

33

67%

ORL

19

33

58%

Midrange

ATL

10

25

40%

ORL

16

38

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

ORL

6

9.0

12

50%

75%

Free Throws

ATL

21

24

88%

ORL

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	24	63%	12.0 / 19
J. Teague	23	64%	11.5 / 18
D. Carroll	17	106%	8.5 / 8
K. Korver	12	55%	6.0 / 11
P. Antic	10	42%	5.0 / 12
S. Mack	10	50%	5.0 / 10
M. Scott	10	56%	5.0 / 9
E. Brand	4	67%	2.0 / 3
L. Williams	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Oladipo	24	75%	12.0 / 16
T. Harris	19	53%	9.5 / 18
J. Nelson	17	71%	8.5 / 12
D. Lamb	13	108%	6.5 / 6
M. Harkless	12	100%	6.0 / 6
G. Davis	9	41%	4.5 / 11
A. Afflalo	6	33%	3.0 / 9
K. O'Quinn	5	31%	2.5 / 8
E. Moore	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Nicholson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 105.6 29 101.9	ATL 114.3 +1.9 ORL 112.4
Pace	11 95.0 18 93.4	ATL 96.1 ORL 98.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.9 17 15.3	ATL 15.0 ORL 14.6 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 51.5% 20 48.7%	ATL 54.8% +1.8% ORL 53.0%
TO %	17 15.2% 15 15.0%	ATL 15.4% ORL 13.8% −1.6%
ORB %	28 21.0% 25 22.5%	ATL 22.9% +7.9% ORL 15.0%
FTrt	21 26.6 24 25.3	ATL 28.9 ORL 28.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 66.7% 21 57.1%	ATL 63.4% +4.9% ORL 58.5%
STL %	9 8.7% 15 8.1%	ATL 11.2% +4.0% ORL 7.2%
BLK %	28 6.5% 21 6.9%	ATL 9.9% +8.2% ORL 1.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 53.7% 22 51.0%	ATL 57.7% ORL 58.0% +0.3%
Rim FG%	10 59.2% 24 55.8%	ATL 66.7% +9.1% ORL 57.6%
Mid FG%	5 41.3% 10 40.7%	ATL 40.0% ORL 42.1% +2.1%
3P %	13 36.3% 21 35.3%	ATL 36.0% ORL 50.0% +14.0%
FT %	6 78.1% 12 76.3%	ATL 87.5% ORL 87.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	19 33.9% 21 33.8%	ATL 39.8% ORL 39.8%
Mid Att. %	6 34.5% 26 42.7%	ATL 30.1% −15.7% ORL 45.8%
3P Att. %	2 31.6% 22 23.5%	ATL 30.1% +15.7% ORL 14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	ORL
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	112	109
Rebounds	42	33
Assists	26	24
Steals	11	7
Blocks	7	1
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (7)	6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (1)	27 (1)
Field Goals	41-83	41-83
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	19-33
Midrange FG	10-25	16-38
2-Point FG	32-58	35-71
3-Point FG	9-25	6-12
Free Throws	21-24	21-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg