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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
January 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Mavericks40%10085
12Raptors60%10393
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.2
37.7
32.9
21
56%
1
6
0
2
0
8
0
1
1-2
50%
7-13
6-12
54%
47%
2-5
40%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
34.1
25.4
13
55%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
30.9
29.0
6
27%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
21.0
14.0
7
90%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
17.4
15.7
4
52%
7
0
1
0
0
3
3
4
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
25.2
16.2
13
71%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
3-5
60%
5-7
3-5
71%
58%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
22.2
20.3
8
54%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
1-2
50%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
17.8
18.7
8
80%
7
1
0
1
0
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
14.3
16.8
3
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
1-3
33%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
11.2
17.7
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.1
7.9
6.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
0.4
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
0.9
0
0-0
47%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
37.8
37.7
40
71%
3
3
1
1
1
4
1
2
9-14
64%
14-21
8-16
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 27.8
35.0
34.6
3
13%
4
5
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
0-6
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 26.7
31.3
24.5
9
64%
6
0
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-6
4-6
50%
58%
1-1
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.7
25.7
19.5
12
63%
10
0
0
0
0
4
2
8
6-8
75%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.0
19.2
27.8
3
21%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.0
33.5
19.1
17
54%
2
7
3
0
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
3-7
43%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.1
21.9
17.8
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.9
19.1
24.4
6
43%
5
1
0
1
0
2
4
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 30.6
16.5
20.4
0
0%
5
1
3
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 30.6
6.9
0
0-0
43%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 25.1
4.6
0
0-0
52%
Dwight Buycks
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.9
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 28.2
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.