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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings23%10198
6Rockets77%111119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
39
37
20
3
6
2
1
1
4
0
3
6-10
60%
4-7
5-10
57%
47%
2-9
22%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
22
31
12
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
6-8
4-8
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
22
25
4
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.4
9
32
2
4
3
1
1
2
0
0
4
0-2
0%
1-2
7-16
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
6
35
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
6-13
40%
45%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
40
25
22
11
1
0
1
0
1
4
7
5-8
63%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
3-6
50%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.9
35
13
11
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
3-7
43%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
18
10
14
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
4-6
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.3
12
5
6
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-8
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
12
6
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-3
1-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
11
17
0
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
8
3
2
1
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.3
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 25.2
35
38
19
10
4
0
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
4-8
5-8
50%
57%
3-7
43%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 25.5
33
26
6
6
8
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
1-4
25%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 24.4
33
38
24
2
9
2
1
2
3
0
2
10-10
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
52%
0-5
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.1
32
34
26
13
1
1
1
4
2
4
9
6-17
35%
10-13
7-11
77%
60%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 23.3
29
18
6
9
2
0
0
1
1
1
8
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-1
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
33
21
20
12
1
1
1
0
1
3
9
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
50%
2-5
40%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.4
30
27
13
1
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4-6
67%
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.1
10
1
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
52%
1-4
25%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.0
5
13
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.0
24
1
4-8
56%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.1
9
0
0-1
49%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 28.8
6
0
0-1
46%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.0
4
0
1-1
60%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.6
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.