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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Thunder
111
4Spurs
105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
39
37
36
7
5
1
1
1
11
1
6
10-11
91%
10-18
8-15
56%
51%
2-4
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
38
34
27
2
8
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
9-14
5-11
64%
48%
3-3
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
37
31
14
9
0
2
0
5
1
2
7
0-0
-
7-13
6-11
54%
52%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
24
28
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-3
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
21
25
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.6
24
22
9
2
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.5
18
19
9
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
37%
3-4
75%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
16
18
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
14
16
1
7
0
1
0
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
9
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
3
0
0-0
47%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 32.1
3
0
0-0
38%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2
0
0-0
52%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
39
22
37
2
4
1
1
1
3
1
1
8-8
100%
13-20
4-9
65%
51%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
37
28
13
2
3
4
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
47%
1-4
25%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.7
33
28
14
13
3
2
1
1
2
3
10
2-6
33%
6-10
6-11
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
22
17
3
2
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
15
26
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
57%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
32
25
14
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
56%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
27
22
10
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-4
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.4
15
20
9
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
3-4
75%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
12
16
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
7
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
11
1
1-2
46%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
9
0
1-3
49%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
7
0
1-1
46%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.