Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	26	Lakers	19%	99	102	107.4	95	102.5
	3	Heat	81%	111	109	114.7	95	88.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 34	37.5	22	65%	11	4	3	0	1	1	4	7	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Kendall Marshall G · 6'4" 200 · 22	35.8	6	43%	3	11	1	0	3	2	0	3	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	35.6	22	73%	0	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 23	25.8	7	32%	5	2	1	0	2	3	1	4	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 27	18.4	7	58%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29	33.0	19	45%	3	1	3	0	2	4	1	2	1-3	33%	6-14	43%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hill F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	22.1	8	57%	7	0	1	1	1	2	5	2	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Manny Harris G · 6'5" 185 · 24	21.3	7	44%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 25	10.5	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 34	\| DND - Torn Ulnar Lateral Ligament
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 27	\| DND - Torn Hamstring
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23	\| DND - Right Knee Bone Bruise
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steve Nash #10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kobe Bryant #24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	35	21	12	1	11	0	13	22	13-21	62%	31-63	49%	9-25	36%

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26 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 34	37.5	22	65%	11	4	3	0	1	1	4	7	4-5	80%	9-15	60%	0-0	-
Kendall Marshall G · 6'4" 200 · 22	35.8	6	43%	3	11	1	0	3	2	0	3	1-3	33%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Jodie Meeks G · 6'4" 210 · 26	35.6	22	73%	0	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	4-4	100%	3-7	43%	4-6	67%
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 23	25.8	7	32%	5	2	1	0	2	3	1	4	0-2	0%	2-6	33%	1-4	25%
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 27	18.4	7	58%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29	33.0	19	45%	3	1	3	0	2	4	1	2	1-3	33%	6-14	43%	2-6	33%
Jordan Hill F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26	22.1	8	57%	7	0	1	1	1	2	5	2	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Manny Harris G · 6'5" 185 · 24	21.3	7	44%	4	1	0	0	1	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 25	10.5	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Steve Blake G · 6'3" 172 · 34	\| DND - Torn Ulnar Lateral Ligament
Jordan Farmar G · 6'2" 180 · 27	\| DND - Torn Hamstring
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23	\| DND - Right Knee Bone Bruise
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steve Nash #10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 40	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kobe Bryant #24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	52%	35	21	12	1	11	0	13	22	13-21	62%	31-63	49%	9-25	36%

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3 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	37.3	27	64%	13	6	1	0	5	1	2	11	7-13	54%	7-11	64%	2-4	50%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	33.6	31	70%	6	0	0	1	0	1	2	4	0-0	-	14-19	74%	1-3	33%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	33.4	11	92%	3	3	1	0	3	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 39	28.4	10	63%	4	1	1	0	1	3	0	4	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	2-5	40%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	18.8	3	50%	3	5	2	0	1	0	1	2	0-3	0%	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	27.8	11	61%	1	5	1	0	2	3	0	1	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	20.3	7	50%	7	4	0	0	3	4	0	7	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	12.9	4	67%	4	0	1	1	2	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	10.7	0	0%	2	0	0	1	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 26	10.4	5	42%	5	0	0	1	0	3	4	1	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	6.4	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Toney Douglas #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dwyane Wade #3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	109	61%	48	25	7	4	18	0	12	36	11-23	48%	37-58	64%	8-20	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.03 51.5%

MIA

1.21 60.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

16

28

57%

MIA

21

26

81%

Midrange

LAL

15

35

43%

MIA

16

32

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

9

13.5

25

36%

54%

MIA

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

LAL

13

21

62%

MIA

11

23

48%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Gasol	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Meeks	22	73%	11.0 / 15
N. Young	19	45%	9.5 / 21
J. Hill	8	57%	4.0 / 7
R. Kelly	7	32%	3.5 / 11
W. Johnson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
M. Harris	7	44%	3.5 / 8
K. Marshall	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. Sacre	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	31	70%	15.5 / 22
L. James	27	64%	13.5 / 21
M. Chalmers	11	92%	5.5 / 6
N. Cole	11	61%	5.5 / 9
R. Allen	10	63%	5.0 / 8
M. Beasley	7	50%	3.5 / 7
G. Oden	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Andersen	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Battier	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 2
R. Mason Jr.	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 104.2 4 110.7	LAL 107.4 MIA 114.7 +7.4
Pace	1 98.8 26 91.5	LAL 102.5 +14.1 MIA 88.5
Avg. Poss. Time	29 14.2 9 15.8	LAL 14.0 −2.2 MIA 16.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 50.5% 1 55.4%	LAL 50.6% MIA 62.8% +12.2%
TO %	14 15.0% 20 15.4%	LAL 11.0% −6.0% MIA 17.0%
ORB %	30 20.3% 29 20.6%	LAL 26.5% MIA 35.3% +8.8%
FTrt	22 26.3 9 30.0	LAL 23.9 MIA 29.5 +5.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 63.9% 13 58.8%	LAL 52.5% MIA 55.6% +3.1%
STL %	23 7.6% 1 9.7%	LAL 12.6% +5.2% MIA 7.4%
BLK %	10 8.1% 11 8.1%	LAL 1.7% MIA 6.3% +4.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	12 53.2% 1 57.5%	LAL 51.5% MIA 60.6% +9.1%
Rim FG%	13 58.2% 1 66.7%	LAL 57.1% MIA 80.8% +23.7%
Mid FG%	20 38.5% 1 42.8%	LAL 42.9% MIA 50.0% +7.1%
3P %	3 38.1% 12 36.4%	LAL 36.0% MIA 40.0% +4.0%
FT %	17 75.7% 15 76.0%	LAL 61.9% +14.1% MIA 47.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	23 33.5% 9 38.3%	LAL 31.8% MIA 33.3% +1.5%
Mid Att. %	12 37.4% 4 32.5%	LAL 39.8% −1.3% MIA 41.0%
3P Att. %	7 29.1% 6 29.2%	LAL 28.4% +2.8% MIA 25.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	LAL	MIA
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	22.2	25.8
Points	102	109
Rebounds	35	48
Assists	21	25
Steals	12	7
Blocks	1	4
Turnovers (Team)	11 (1)	18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (2)	36 (2)
Field Goals	40-88	45-78
At-the-Rim FG	16-28	21-26
Midrange FG	15-35	16-32
2-Point FG	31-63	37-58
3-Point FG	9-25	8-20
Free Throws	13-21	11-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg