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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
January 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls55%9589
27Bobcats45%9387
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
43.9
30.6
28
65%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
6-12
50%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.4
42.3
39.4
4
29%
3
3
4
2
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-8
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
39.6
34.8
11
33%
10
8
1
1
1
3
1
9
3-6
50%
4-14
5-10
29%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.4
28.7
29.4
12
51%
8
3
1
1
1
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
2-4
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.2
24.6
22.5
10
56%
4
2
0
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
27.6
30.0
13
56%
7
2
0
1
1
2
0
7
5-6
83%
4-9
5-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
25.0
20.5
9
56%
5
1
3
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.6
4.2
13.7
2
100%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
4.2
6.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
4.0
0
0-0
41%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
2.0
0
0-0
47%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.1
37.6
32.8
32
60%
13
1
0
1
3
3
3
10
1-2
50%
14-25
8-16
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.1
37.3
32.8
11
43%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
5-12
5-11
42%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
33.3
29.6
8
29%
3
11
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 26.9
27.2
30.3
6
43%
6
5
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.3
22.0
21.8
6
27%
4
0
1
1
1
3
3
1
0-0
-
3-10
3-5
30%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.7
26.1
19.8
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-3
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.3
20.8
15.5
7
61%
8
0
0
0
1
0
2
6
3-4
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.3
14.7
17.0
15
84%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
3-4
75%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.0
10.7
12.6
2
33%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.4
10.3
12.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.7
13.8
1
2-4
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.8
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.0
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.7
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.