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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 25, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder
103
3076ers
91
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.3
44
26
32
14
10
2
1
1
3
1
13
7-7
100%
11-13
6-11
85%
55%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
33
31
25
11
1
1
1
5
5
3
8
1-2
50%
12-16
6-12
75%
56%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
31
27
11
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
2-5
40%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.8
29
33
5
2
5
1
1
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
1-6
6-11
17%
52%
0-3
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.2
21
23
3
7
1
0
1
0
3
2
5
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.2
26
20
12
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
5-5
2-4
100%
58%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.5
21
18
2
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-3
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
20
25
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
51%
1-5
20%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.5
8
17
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
52%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.3
7
16
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
1
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 32.1
3
0
0-0
43%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 26.9
2
0
0-0
56%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
36
33
13
10
3
8
2
0
3
6
4
2-3
67%
4-11
6-12
36%
50%
1-6
17%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
34
33
15
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
7-8
88%
4-8
5-12
50%
44%
0-3
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
33
28
19
5
1
3
1
1
1
3
2
4-5
80%
6-9
3-6
67%
51%
1-7
14%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
33
33
8
3
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
0-1
0%
4-10
6-13
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.7
32
30
14
6
3
0
0
1
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.0
17
17
5
7
1
1
0
0
1
6
1
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
17
7
9
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.8
15
22
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
13
20
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
10
12
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
6
0
1-1
49%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.4
3
0
0-1
41%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.8
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.