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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 26, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs
101
3Heat
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
31
26
12
3
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-5
80%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
27
25
15
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
3-3
100%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
27
21
6
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
24
28
23
3
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
5-5
100%
9-12
5-11
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
24
29
11
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
6-11
43%
51%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
25
21
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
0-2
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
17
20
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
15
12
6
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.7
15
16
7
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
15
12
7
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
10
5
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
10
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.7
33
31
16
1
7
0
2
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
48%
2-3
67%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.1
28
37
18
7
6
1
1
0
4
0
7
1-1
100%
7-12
7-13
58%
57%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.8
26
33
24
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
8-8
6-11
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.5
25
29
10
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.4
19
20
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
27
27
11
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.0
24
20
8
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.0
20
13
12
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.6
17
17
8
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
61%
0-1
0%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.0
13
7
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.5
5
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
5
6
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.6
9
0
1-2
46%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.9
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.