Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	10	Spurs	36%	100	101	112.2	90	89.8
	2	Heat	64%	105	113	122.8	92	92.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marco Belinelli F · 6'5" 210 · 28	31.0	12	55%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 32	27.2	15	75%	1	3	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-3	100%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	26.8	6	43%	2	2	2	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	24.4	23	77%	3	0	2	1	1	3	1	2	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	24.1	11	55%	1	7	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	24.6	3	21%	1	1	0	1	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	17.3	3	25%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 27	15.2	6	100%	6	2	1	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	15.2	7	88%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 27	14.8	7	58%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Othyus Jeffers G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28	9.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34	9.6	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danny Green #4 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	59%	28	24	8	4	12	0	6	22	19-23	83%	32-54	59%	6-22	27%

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10 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marco Belinelli F · 6'5" 210 · 28	31.0	12	55%	3	3	1	0	1	1	1	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Boris Diaw C · 6'8" 250 · 32	27.2	15	75%	1	3	0	0	3	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-7	43%	3-3	100%
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 22	26.8	6	43%	2	2	2	1	0	2	1	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 38	24.4	23	77%	3	0	2	1	1	3	1	2	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	24.1	11	55%	1	7	1	0	2	2	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	1-2	50%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 36	24.6	3	21%	1	1	0	1	2	2	0	1	1-1	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 25	17.3	3	25%	2	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 27	15.2	6	100%	6	2	1	1	0	1	1	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	15.2	7	88%	4	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Nando De Colo G · 6'5" 195 · 27	14.8	7	58%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Othyus Jeffers G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28	9.8	5	63%	2	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34	9.6	3	50%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danny Green #4 · G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	59%	28	24	8	4	12	0	6	22	19-23	83%	32-54	59%	6-22	27%

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2 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	32.6	16	89%	1	7	0	0	2	2	1	0	2-2	100%	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 29	27.7	18	60%	7	6	1	0	4	4	0	7	1-1	100%	7-12	58%	1-3	33%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 30	25.6	24	100%	5	3	1	0	1	1	1	4	5-5	100%	8-8	100%	1-2	50%
Ray Allen G · 6'5" 205 · 39	25.4	10	83%	3	3	1	0	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 35	19.3	0	0%	2	0	0	2	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%

Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 25	27.4	11	55%	5	2	0	0	3	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 32	23.7	8	44%	3	5	1	0	2	3	0	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 25	19.6	12	67%	4	2	1	0	1	3	0	4	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	16.6	8	80%	5	0	0	2	1	2	2	3	2-2	100%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 26	12.9	3	50%	2	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Rashard Lewis F · 6'10" 235 · 34	4.6	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Roger Mason Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 33	4.6	3	75%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Toney Douglas #0 · G · 6'2" 195 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
James Jones #22 · G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	65%	37	28	6	5	14	0	7	30	19-20	95%	35-55	64%	8-19	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.17 58.7%

MIA

1.30 64.9%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

17

25

68%

MIA

18

22

82%

Midrange

SAS

15

29

52%

MIA

17

33

52%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

6

9.0

22

27%

41%

MIA

8

12.0

19

42%

63%

Free Throws

SAS

19

23

83%

MIA

19

20

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	23	77%	11.5 / 15
B. Diaw	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Belinelli	12	55%	6.0 / 11
T. Parker	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Ayres	7	88%	3.5 / 4
N. De Colo	7	58%	3.5 / 6
C. Joseph	6	43%	3.0 / 7
A. Baynes	6	100%	3.0 / 3
O. Jeffers	5	63%	2.5 / 4
M. Ginobili	3	21%	1.5 / 7
P. Mills	3	25%	1.5 / 6
M. Bonner	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	24	100%	12.0 / 12
L. James	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. Chalmers	16	89%	8.0 / 9
M. Beasley	12	67%	6.0 / 9
N. Cole	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Allen	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Wade	8	44%	4.0 / 9
C. Andersen	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Oden	3	50%	1.5 / 3
R. Mason Jr.	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Battier	0	-	0.0 / 1
R. Lewis	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 110.3 4 110.7	SAS 112.2 MIA 122.8 +10.6
Pace	10 95.2 26 91.5	SAS 89.8 MIA 92.2 +2.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.1 9 15.8	SAS 16.0 MIA 15.6 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 53.7% 1 55.4%	SAS 53.9% MIA 63.5% +9.6%
TO %	12 14.7% 20 15.4%	SAS 12.2% −2.3% MIA 14.5%
ORB %	24 22.8% 29 20.6%	SAS 16.7% MIA 24.1% +7.4%
FTrt	30 24.0 9 30.0	SAS 30.3 +3.3 MIA 27.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.1% 13 58.8%	SAS 63.2% MIA 65.1% +1.9%
STL %	19 7.7% 1 9.7%	SAS 8.9% +2.4% MIA 6.5%
BLK %	17 7.7% 11 8.1%	SAS 7.3% MIA 9.3% +2.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 56.0% 1 57.5%	SAS 58.7% MIA 64.9% +6.2%
Rim FG%	3 63.1% 1 66.7%	SAS 68.0% MIA 81.8% +13.8%
Mid FG%	12 40.6% 1 42.8%	SAS 51.7% +0.2% MIA 51.5%
3P %	1 39.7% 12 36.4%	SAS 27.3% MIA 42.1% +14.8%
FT %	4 78.6% 15 76.0%	SAS 82.6% MIA 95.0% +12.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	12 36.5% 9 38.3%	SAS 32.9% +3.2% MIA 29.7%
Mid Att. %	13 37.8% 4 32.5%	SAS 38.2% −6.4% MIA 44.6%
3P Att. %	16 25.7% 6 29.2%	SAS 28.9% +3.3% MIA 25.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	SAS	MIA
Possessions	90	92
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	101	113
Rebounds	28	37
Assists	24	28
Steals	8	6
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (2)	7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (0)	30 (1)
Field Goals	38-76	43-74
At-the-Rim FG	17-25	18-22
Midrange FG	15-29	17-33
2-Point FG	32-54	35-55
3-Point FG	6-22	8-19
Free Throws	19-23	19-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg