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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
January 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns60%108124
3076ers40%104113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
32.4
32.7
24
79%
4
7
3
1
0
3
1
3
3-5
60%
6-9
6-11
67%
52%
3-4
75%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.4
32.4
22.8
14
42%
13
2
0
1
0
3
6
7
2-4
50%
6-15
3-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.7
28.9
32.2
15
55%
8
1
2
1
1
2
4
4
5-6
83%
5-10
3-6
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.0
27.8
30.7
30
99%
2
2
1
1
3
4
0
2
6-7
86%
6-7
3-6
86%
50%
4-5
80%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.7
22.1
31.1
7
45%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
0-0
3-5
-
49%
1-6
17%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
23.4
16.2
4
52%
3
1
3
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.4
23.4
27.2
13
78%
3
3
0
1
4
0
1
2
3-3
100%
5-6
5-10
83%
48%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.2
20.9
18.6
9
77%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.6
14.8
15.7
2
17%
0
5
2
1
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
0-0
-
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.6
13.8
6.7
6
104%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.4
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.4
2.2
0
0-0
48%
Viacheslav Kravtsov
C · 6'11" 254 · 26.4
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.1
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.3
38.9
32.6
22
50%
2
11
1
2
1
3
0
2
7-7
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
36.8
33.5
21
64%
2
3
3
2
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
8-11
6-12
73%
52%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.7
33.7
30.5
18
65%
9
1
0
1
1
4
4
5
4-4
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
33.7
32.6
21
72%
6
3
3
1
0
2
1
5
6-6
100%
6-11
5-12
55%
46%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.8
32.5
29.5
9
46%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
1-3
33%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.8
18.6
19.1
10
100%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
2-2
100%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.0
18.0
16.4
2
50%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
12.3
17.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.8
11.1
10.6
6
39%
2
1
2
0
0
3
2
0
4-4
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 24.5
4.3
11.4
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.4
0.1
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
5.7
0
1-1
51%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.8
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.0
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.