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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 27, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings39%10199
26Jazz61%105106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
38
30
17
15
2
0
1
1
2
2
13
6-8
75%
4-11
3-7
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
32
28
11
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-3
0%
4-9
3-5
44%
49%
1-6
17%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
28
28
19
11
1
0
1
2
1
4
7
5-6
83%
7-10
4-7
70%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
25
36
10
2
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.4
24
12
10
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-6
1-2
17%
44%
2-3
67%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
25
21
14
9
2
0
0
0
3
3
6
1-1
100%
5-7
2-4
71%
42%
1-5
20%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
20
14
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
19
11
8
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
43%
0-3
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.4
12
16
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
10
2
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
6
19
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
25
1
4-9
47%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.8
38
34
12
6
6
1
1
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.5
28
30
17
12
2
0
1
1
2
5
7
7-8
88%
5-12
5-10
42%
52%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.2
26
34
8
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
1-5
20%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.6
25
18
16
11
1
1
1
0
0
3
8
4-4
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.6
23
19
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.7
22
25
16
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
4-6
67%
6-8
6-11
75%
53%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.5
21
30
10
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
1-8
4-9
13%
48%
1-2
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.2
21
5
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.3
20
18
14
10
1
1
1
1
0
7
3
6-12
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.6
10
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.2
5
12
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.6
1
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.8
2
0
0-0
63%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.2
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.