Final Win Prob. pScore
145%100
112
355%102
95
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo Thunder
120.49394.0
MIA logo Heat
102.29392.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC112
95
Q4 - 0:12.0MIADouglas P.FOUL (P1.T2)112
95
Q4 - 0:31.0MIADouglas 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)112
95
Q4 - 0:35.0OKCLewis STEAL (1 STL)112
93
Q4 - 0:56.0MIABeasley 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)112
93
Q4 - 1:06OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)112
91
Q4 - 1:29MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T21)112
91
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Lewis FOR Andersen112
91
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Beasley FOR Allen112
91
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Douglas FOR Bosh112
91
Q4 - 1:46MIASUB: Haslem FOR James112
91
Q4 - 1:46OKCSUB: Sefolosha FOR Ibaka112
91
Q4 - 1:46OKCSUB: Adams FOR Durant112
91
Q4 - 1:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)112
91
Q4 - 1:46OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)112
91
Q4 - 1:46OKCIbaka 1' Tip Shot (22 PTS)112
91
Q4 - 1:47OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
91
Q4 - 2:06OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
91
Q4 - 2:07MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot110
91
Q4 - 2:30OKCIbaka 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Lamb 4 AST)110
91
Q4 - 2:55MIAAndersen 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)108
91
Q4 - 3:05OKCJackson L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)108
89
Q4 - 3:05MIAHEAT Rebound108
89
Q4 - 3:06MIAMISS James 10' Fadeaway Jumper108
89
Q4 - 3:17MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)108
89
Q4 - 3:18OKCMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot108
89
Q4 - 3:39MIAJames 2' Driving Reverse Layup (34 PTS)108
89
Q4 - 4:03OKCJackson 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)108
87
Q4 - 4:17OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)106
87
Q4 - 4:30MIAAndersen 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)106
87
Q4 - 4:31MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)106
85
Q4 - 4:32MIAMISS Cole 15' Jump Shot106
85
Q4 - 4:46OKCLamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Durant 5 AST)106
85
Q4 - 5:09MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)103
85
Q4 - 5:38OKCLamb 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)103
82
Q4 - 5:53MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)101
82
Q4 - 5:53MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)101
81
Q4 - 5:53MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade101
80
Q4 - 5:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)101
80
Q4 - 5:53OKCJones S.FOUL (P5.T3)101
80
Q4 - 6:08MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Jackson: Tip to Bosh101
80
Q4 - 6:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
80
Q4 - 6:16OKCMISS Durant 31' 3PT Jump Shot101
80
Q4 - 6:37MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)101
80
Q4 - 6:50MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)101
78
Q4 - 6:51OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup101
78
Q4 - 7:16MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)101
78
Q4 - 7:16OKCSUB: Jackson FOR Fisher101
77
Q4 - 7:16OKCSUB: Ibaka FOR Collison101
77
Q4 - 7:16MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)101
77
Q4 - 7:16OKCDurant S.FOUL (P3.T2)101
76
Q4 - 7:28MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
76
Q4 - 7:29OKCWade BLOCK (2 BLK)101
76
Q4 - 7:45OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
76
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
76
Q4 - 8:00OKCDurant Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T14)101
76
Q4 - 8:08MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T20)101
76
Q4 - 8:23OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)101
76
Q4 - 8:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)98
76
Q4 - 8:45MIASUB: Andersen FOR Cole98
75
Q4 - 8:45MIAHEAT Rebound98
75
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 298
75
Q4 - 8:45OKCCollison Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)98
75
Q4 - 8:49MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
75
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot98
75
Q4 - 8:5898
75
Q4 - 9:08OKCCollison 2' Tip Shot (3 PTS)98
75
Q4 - 9:09OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)96
75
Q4 - 9:10OKCMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot96
75
Q4 - 9:25MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T1)96
75
Q4 - 9:25MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T19)96
75
Q4 - 9:42OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
75
Q4 - 10:03OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
75
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot96
75
Q4 - 10:14OKCAllen STEAL (1 STL)96
75
Q4 - 10:18MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T18)96
75
Q4 - 10:32OKCCole STEAL (1 STL)96
75
Q4 - 10:44OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)96
75
Q4 - 10:46MIAMISS James 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot96
75
Q4 - 11:05OKCDurant 15' Turnaround Fadeaway (33 PTS)96
75
Q4 - 11:14OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)94
75
Q4 - 11:15MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
75
Q4 - 11:39OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Lamb 3 AST)94
75
Q4 - 12:0091
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA91
75
Q3 - 0:00.091
75
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC91
75
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)91
75
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)88
75
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
74
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 288
74
Q3 - 0:02.0OKCJones S.FOUL (P4.T4)88
74
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCSUB: Collison FOR Ibaka88
74
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)88
74
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCThunder Rebound88
74
Q3 - 0:04.0OKCMISS Durant 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
74
Q3 - 0:26.0OKCFisher REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
74
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
74
Q3 - 0:40.0OKCDurant 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS)88
74
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS)85
74
Q3 - 1:08OKCDurant 15' Pullup Bank Shot (25 PTS)85
72
Q3 - 1:21MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)83
72
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)83
70
Q3 - 1:33OKCSUB: Fisher FOR Jackson82
70
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)82
70
Q3 - 1:33MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.PN)81
70
Q3 - 1:33OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)81
70
Q3 - 1:34OKCMISS Durant 5' Jump Shot81
70
Q3 - 1:39OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)81
70
Q3 - 1:40OKCMISS Durant 10' Jump Shot81
70
Q3 - 2:01MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)81
70
Q3 - 2:21OKCDurant 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)81
68
Q3 - 2:33MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)78
68
Q3 - 2:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)78
66
Q3 - 2:47OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot78
66
Q3 - 3:03MIAJames 13' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)78
66
Q3 - 3:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
64
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 278
64
Q3 - 3:23OKCThunder Rebound78
64
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 278
64
Q3 - 3:23MIAJames P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
64
Q3 - 3:32MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade78
64
Q3 - 3:32MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh78
64
Q3 - 3:32OKCSUB: Lamb FOR Sefolosha78
64
Q3 - 3:32OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)78
64
Q3 - 3:36MIAWade 7' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS) (James 3 AST)78
64
Q3 - 3:42MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
62
Q3 - 3:43OKCMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
62
Q3 - 3:57MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)78
62
Q3 - 4:07OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T9)78
62
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)78
62
Q3 - 4:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)78
62
Q3 - 4:41OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Durant 4 AST)78
62
Q3 - 4:52OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
62
Q3 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot76
62
Q3 - 5:05OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
62
Q3 - 5:05MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers75
62
Q3 - 5:05OKCThunder Rebound75
62
Q3 - 5:05OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 275
62
Q3 - 5:05MIAAllen P.FOUL (P1.PN)75
62
Q3 - 5:22MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)75
62
Q3 - 5:29OKCSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
62
Q3 - 5:29OKCThunder Rebound74
62
Q3 - 5:29OKCMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 1 of 274
62
Q3 - 5:29MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)74
62
Q3 - 5:33MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)74
62
Q3 - 5:49OKCSefolosha Foul Turnover (P1.T8)74
62
Q3 - 5:49OKCSefolosha Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)74
62
Q3 - 6:01MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T4)74
62
Q3 - 6:20MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (18 PTS)74
62
Q3 - 6:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
60
Q3 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot74
60
Q3 - 6:35OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
60
Q3 - 6:35MIASUB: Allen FOR Battier73
60
Q3 - 6:35OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
60
Q3 - 6:35MIABattier S.FOUL (P4.T3)72
60
Q3 - 6:39OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
60
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
60
Q3 - 6:54OKCDurant 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)72
60
Q3 - 7:23MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)70
60
Q3 - 7:48OKCIbaka 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)70
58
Q3 - 8:14MIABosh 1' Dunk (16 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)68
58
Q3 - 8:25OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
56
Q3 - 8:25OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
56
Q3 - 8:25MIABattier S.FOUL (P3.T2)66
56
Q3 - 8:28MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)66
56
Q3 - 8:34OKCChalmers STEAL (1 STL)66
56
Q3 - 8:38OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
56
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
56
Q3 - 8:57MIAHEAT Rebound66
56
Q3 - 8:58OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot66
56
Q3 - 9:09MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)66
56
Q3 - 9:22OKCJones P.FOUL (P3.T2)66
54
Q3 - 9:29OKCIbaka 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)66
54
Q3 - 9:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)66
54
Q3 - 10:00OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)66
54
Q3 - 10:00OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)65
54
Q3 - 10:00MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)64
54
Q3 - 10:11MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)64
54
Q3 - 10:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)64
52
Q3 - 10:22OKCJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sefolosha 4 AST)64
52
Q3 - 10:37OKCThunder Rebound61
52
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
52
Q3 - 10:56OKCSefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Durant 3 AST)61
52
Q3 - 11:10OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
52
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
52
Q3 - 11:27OKCJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)58
52
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)55
52
Q3 - 11:41MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)55
51
Q3 - 11:41OKCJones S.FOUL (P2.T1)55
50
Q3 - 12:0055
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
50
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
50
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot55
50
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
50
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
50
Q2 - 0:17.0OKCSUB: Jones FOR Jackson55
50
Q2 - 0:17.0OKCSUB: Fisher FOR Durant55
50
Q2 - 0:17.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)55
50
Q2 - 0:23.0OKCIbaka Tip Shot (12 PTS)55
50
Q2 - 0:24.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)53
50
Q2 - 0:25.0OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot53
50
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAWade 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 2 AST)53
50
Q2 - 1:01OKCIbaka 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Durant 2 AST)53
48
Q2 - 1:28MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
48
Q2 - 1:45OKCLamb 6' Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
46
Q2 - 1:46OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
46
Q2 - 1:47OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup49
46
Q2 - 1:53MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)49
46
Q2 - 1:57OKCDurant 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)49
46
Q2 - 2:22OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
46
Q2 - 2:23MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot46
46
Q2 - 2:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)46
46
Q2 - 2:34OKCMISS Durant 10' Jump Shot46
46
Q2 - 2:41MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier46
46
Q2 - 2:4146
46
Q2 - 2:41OKCThunder Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)46
46
Q2 - 2:57MIAJames 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)46
46
Q2 - 3:16OKCDurant 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)46
44
Q2 - 3:19OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
44
Q2 - 3:20MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
44
Q2 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
44
Q2 - 3:43OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
44
Q2 - 3:51OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
44
Q2 - 3:52MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup44
44
Q2 - 4:11OKCLamb 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)44
44
Q2 - 4:28MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#10)41
44
Q2 - 4:50OKCDurant 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 5:02MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T9)39
44
Q2 - 5:02MIAChalmers Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)39
44
Q2 - 5:15OKCSefolosha 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)39
44
Q2 - 5:31MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)37
44
Q2 - 5:31OKCIbaka S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
43
Q2 - 5:31MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 5:38MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
41
Q2 - 5:39OKCMISS Ibaka 18' Jump Shot37
41
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade37
41
Q2 - 5:50OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
41
Q2 - 5:56MIAWade 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)37
41
Q2 - 6:00MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
39
Q2 - 6:01OKCMISS Sefolosha 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
39
Q2 - 6:07MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)37
39
Q2 - 6:21OKCIbaka Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
39
Q2 - 6:22OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)35
39
Q2 - 6:23OKCMISS Lamb 6' Floating Jump Shot35
39
Q2 - 6:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
39
Q2 - 6:40OKCLamb Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)35
39
Q2 - 6:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
39
Q2 - 6:52OKCSUB: Jackson FOR Fisher35
38
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole35
38
Q2 - 6:52MIASUB: Battier FOR Andersen35
38
Q2 - 6:52MIAHEAT Rebound35
38
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 235
38
Q2 - 6:52OKCLamb S.FOUL (P1.T2)35
38
Q2 - 6:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)35
38
Q2 - 6:59OKCMISS Ibaka 12' Hook Shot35
38
Q2 - 7:16OKCSUB: Ibaka FOR Collison35
38
Q2 - 7:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
38
Q2 - 7:34OKCDurant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)35
38
Q2 - 7:39OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
38
Q2 - 7:40MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup33
38
Q2 - 7:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
38
Q2 - 7:45OKCMISS Fisher 20' Jump Shot33
38
Q2 - 7:56OKCSUB: Durant FOR Jones33
38
Q2 - 7:56MIASUB: James FOR Allen33
38
Q2 - 8:14MIAWade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)33
38
Q2 - 8:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)33
36
Q2 - 8:23OKCMISS Fisher 9' Jump Bank Shot33
36
Q2 - 8:40OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
36
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot33
36
Q2 - 8:53MIASUB: Bosh FOR Beasley33
36
Q2 - 8:53MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)33
36
Q2 - 8:53OKCLamb Tip Shot (8 PTS)33
36
Q2 - 8:54OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
36
Q2 - 8:55OKCMISS Jones 1' Driving Layup31
36
Q2 - 9:00OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
36
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Beasley 12' Jump Shot31
36
Q2 - 9:30OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)31
36
Q2 - 9:33OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
36
Q2 - 9:35OKCMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot28
36
Q2 - 9:45MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)28
36
Q2 - 10:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
34
Q2 - 10:03OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 228
34
Q2 - 10:03OKCCollison Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 10:03MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
34
Q2 - 10:16MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
34
Q2 - 10:16MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
33
Q2 - 10:16OKCJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
32
Q2 - 10:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32
Q2 - 10:27OKCMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
32
Q2 - 10:36OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32
Q2 - 10:37MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot27
32
Q2 - 10:59OKCLamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)27
32
Q2 - 11:04MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
32
Q2 - 11:22OKCLamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)24
32
Q2 - 11:43MIAAndersen 2' Layup (4 PTS)21
32
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
30
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Andersen 1' Layup21
30
Q2 - 11:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
30
Q2 - 11:47MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot21
30
Q2 - 12:0021
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
30
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Allen 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
30
Q1 - 0:02.0OKCLamb Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)21
30
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)21
30
Q1 - 0:31.0OKCFisher 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)21
28
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)18
28
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
27
Q1 - 0:41.0OKCFisher P.FOUL (P1.PN)18
26
Q1 - 0:50.0OKCSefolosha 8' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)18
26
Q1 - 1:03MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)16
26
Q1 - 1:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
24
Q1 - 1:14OKCMISS Sefolosha 17' Jump Shot16
24
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
24
Q1 - 1:32OKCSUB: Sefolosha FOR Durant16
23
Q1 - 1:32MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
23
Q1 - 1:32OKCDurant S.FOUL (P2.T4)16
22
Q1 - 1:45MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
22
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 2:04OKCDurant Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
22
Q1 - 2:04OKCSUB: Jones FOR Sefolosha15
22
Q1 - 2:04OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)15
22
Q1 - 2:04MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
22
Q1 - 2:08OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
22
Q1 - 2:09MIAMISS Allen 12' Jump Shot14
22
Q1 - 2:36MIASUB: Beasley FOR Battier14
22
Q1 - 2:36OKCDurant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
22
Q1 - 2:36MIAAndersen Violation:Defensive Goaltending13
22
Q1 - 2:36MIABattier S.FOUL (P2.T2)13
22
Q1 - 2:36OKCDurant 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
22
Q1 - 2:58MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)11
22
Q1 - 3:05MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
22
Q1 - 3:06OKCMISS Durant 16' Pullup Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 3:12OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
22
Q1 - 3:13MIAMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
22
Q1 - 3:23OKCSUB: Collison FOR Ibaka11
22
Q1 - 3:23MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers11
22
Q1 - 3:23MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh11
22
Q1 - 3:40OKCIbaka 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)11
22
Q1 - 3:55MIASUB: Allen FOR Wade9
22
Q1 - 3:55MIAChalmers Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)9
22
Q1 - 4:11MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
22
Q1 - 4:12OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot9
22
Q1 - 4:20OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
22
Q1 - 4:21MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup9
22
Q1 - 4:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
22
Q1 - 4:41OKCMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
22
Q1 - 4:48MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
22
Q1 - 5:00MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending9
22
Q1 - 5:00OKCDurant 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)9
22
Q1 - 5:05MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
22
Q1 - 5:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)7
22
Q1 - 5:23OKCFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)7
22
Q1 - 5:31OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22
Q1 - 5:37MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
22
Q1 - 5:38MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot4
22
Q1 - 5:57MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
22
Q1 - 5:58OKCMISS Durant 21' Jump Shot4
22
Q1 - 6:05OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22
Q1 - 6:06OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Jump Shot4
22
Q1 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)4
22
Q1 - 6:20OKCSUB: Fisher FOR Jackson4
21
Q1 - 6:20MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)4
21
Q1 - 6:20OKCJackson S.FOUL (P2.T3)4
20
Q1 - 6:26MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20
Q1 - 6:27OKCMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot4
20
Q1 - 6:36OKCDurant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
20
Q1 - 6:37MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 14
20
Q1 - 6:37OKCJackson S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
20
Q1 - 6:37MIAChalmers 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
20
Q1 - 6:49OKCIbaka 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Durant 1 AST)4
18
Q1 - 7:00MIABosh Violation:Kicked Ball2
18
Q1 - 7:07MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)2
18
Q1 - 7:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
15
Q1 - 7:16OKCMISS Ibaka 8' Jump Shot2
15
Q1 - 7:24OKCSUB: Lamb FOR Perkins2
15
Q1 - 7:42MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)2
15
Q1 - 8:04OKCThunder Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)2
12
Q1 - 8:04OKCSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12
Q1 - 8:05OKCWade BLOCK (1 BLK)2
12
Q1 - 8:28MIABosh 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)2
12
Q1 - 8:34MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
10
Q1 - 8:35OKCMISS Jackson 1' Driving Layup2
10
Q1 - 8:44OKCThunder Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)2
10
Q1 - 8:48MIAChalmers 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
10
Q1 - 8:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
8
Q1 - 8:53MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
8
Q1 - 9:04MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
8
Q1 - 9:05OKCMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
8
Q1 - 9:16MIABattier L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)2
8
Q1 - 9:16OKCThunder Rebound2
8
Q1 - 9:17OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot2
8
Q1 - 9:41MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
8
Q1 - 9:53OKCJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
6
Q1 - 10:01OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Driving Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
6
Q1 - 10:09OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Jump Shot2
6
Q1 - 10:31MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)2
6
Q1 - 10:36OKCDurant Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:36OKCDurant Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:48MIABosh 1' Driving Dunk (4 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 11:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:09OKCMISS Durant 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:33MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:47OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Ibaka: Tip to Sefolosha0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventOKCMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
11
18
61%
MIA
21
25
84%
Midrange
OKC
14
35
40%
MIA
13
28
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
16
24.0
27
59%
89%
MIA
3
4.5
19
16%
24%
Free Throws
OKC
14
19
74%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Durant3366%16.5 / 25
S. Ibaka2252%11.0 / 21
J. Lamb1890%9.0 / 10
D. Fisher15107%7.5 / 7
T. Sefolosha950%4.5 / 9
R. Jackson945%4.5 / 10
P. Jones III338%1.5 / 4
N. Collison350%1.5 / 3
K. Perkins0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3471%17.0 / 24
C. Bosh1856%9.0 / 16
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
C. Andersen880%4.0 / 5
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
R. Allen542%2.5 / 6
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
S. Battier330%1.5 / 5
T. Douglas2100%1.0 / 1
N. Cole0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
81
+13
-12
94
MIA
73
+12
-20
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.19 59.6%
MIA
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
110.7
OKC 120.4 +18.3
MIA 102.2
Pace
95.6
91.5
OKC 94.0 +1.4
MIA 92.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.8
OKC 15.3 −0.2
MIA 15.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
55.4%
OKC 61.3% +7.8%
MIA 53.5%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
OKC 15.3% −5.2%
MIA 20.5%
ORB %
26.5%
20.6%
OKC 28.9%
MIA 30.3% +1.4%
FTrt
30.3
30.0
OKC 23.8
MIA 30.6 +6.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.2%
58.8%
OKC 56.1% +2.0%
MIA 54.1%
STL %
8.6%
9.7%
OKC 14.0% +9.7%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
10.3%
8.1%
OKC 3.8%
MIA 3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
57.5%
OKC 59.6% +4.4%
MIA 55.2%
Rim FG%
61.0%
66.7%
OKC 61.1%
MIA 84.0% +22.9%
Mid FG%
42.2%
42.8%
OKC 40.0%
MIA 46.4% +6.4%
3P %
36.1%
36.4%
OKC 59.3% +43.5%
MIA 15.8%
FT %
80.6%
76.0%
OKC 73.7%
MIA 81.8% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
38.3%
OKC 22.5%
MIA 34.7% +12.2%
Mid Att. %
37.9%
32.5%
OKC 43.8%
MIA 38.9% −4.9%
3P Att. %
27.1%
29.2%
OKC 33.8% +7.4%
MIA 26.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsOKCMIA
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes23.724.1
Points11295
Rebounds3437
Assists2320
Steals134
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)12 (4)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (1)27 (1)
Field Goals41-8037-72
At-the-Rim FG11-1821-25
Midrange FG14-3513-28
2-Point FG25-5334-53
3-Point FG16-273-19
Free Throws14-1918-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 240 · 25
40.3
33
66%
7
5
2
0
4
3
0
7
5-5
100%
8-14
57%
4-9
44%
G · 6'7" 220 · 30
33.7
9
50%
5
4
6
0
1
1
1
4
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
33.3
22
52%
8
1
1
1
2
1
6
2
2-2
100%
10-20
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 24
29.9
9
45%
3
4
2
0
3
3
0
3
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 270 · 29
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 22
34.9
18
90%
3
4
0
0
2
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
F · 6'11" 235 · 22
30.4
3
38%
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 210 · 39
18.1
15
107%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
5-5
100%
F · 6'10" 255 · 33
12.9
3
50%
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 263 · 27
#0 · G · 6'4" 200 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
34
23
13
2
12
0
11
23
14-19
74%
25-53
47%
16-27
59%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.