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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 29, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls37%9496
4Spurs63%9986
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 24.4
42
39
19
4
1
3
2
2
0
3
1
4-5
80%
6-9
3-7
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 28.9
40
25
10
10
8
0
1
4
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
47%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 26.2
38
35
15
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
4-12
3-6
33%
41%
2-5
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 33.4
36
29
10
6
3
1
1
1
0
2
4
4-6
67%
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
0-4
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 32.2
26
28
16
12
1
2
1
0
2
3
9
4-4
100%
6-12
6-13
50%
47%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.6
27
31
15
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
22
24
11
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
41%
1-1
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 22.2
7
22
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 36.4
4
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 38.6
8
0
1-1
38%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.2
2
0
0-0
40%
Tornike Shengelia
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.3
1
0
0-0
43%
Erik Murphy
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
1
0
0-0
42%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.8
35
28
17
12
1
1
1
1
4
3
9
3-4
75%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.7
34
29
20
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
7-14
6-11
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Nando De Colo
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.6
18
11
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
16
12
0
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Othyus Jeffers
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.5
15
4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.8
32
31
11
4
3
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.8
29
28
4
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.4
26
23
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.5
19
23
12
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
2-3
67%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.1
9
11
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
7
13
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.6
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.5
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.