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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 31, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings23%102103
9Mavericks77%112107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.0
42
34
19
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
3-10
30%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
36
24
35
12
6
1
1
0
3
3
9
15-17
88%
10-15
4-9
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 26.7
34
24
9
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.1
23
17
4
3
2
0
0
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 27.5
19
29
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.3
31
17
8
6
0
1
0
2
1
0
6
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.7
23
27
5
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.0
14
23
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.4
12
18
4
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 24.9
6
12
7
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 29.4
11
0
1-2
43%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.6
3
0
0-1
44%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
40
31
20
3
3
3
2
1
0
1
2
8-9
89%
6-9
5-11
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.6
34
32
34
5
2
2
1
0
1
0
5
11-11
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
1-3
33%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
34
33
14
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
2-5
63%
51%
1-6
17%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.6
30
12
6
6
3
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.7
16
14
6
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.0
26
24
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
26
14
10
10
0
1
0
0
0
4
6
2-5
40%
4-6
3-5
67%
62%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 30.9
18
22
7
2
5
0
1
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-3
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.8
13
19
6
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-6
67%
1-5
3-6
20%
56%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.3
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.2
3
0
0-1
46%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.4
1
0
0-0
50%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.0
1
0
0-0
53%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 25.9
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.