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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 28, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets
105
5Rockets
85
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.6
38
22
17
5
9
0
1
0
11
0
5
2-4
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
41%
3-5
60%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
36
24
23
8
3
1
1
3
0
2
6
6-6
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
44%
3-5
60%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
31
28
18
9
1
1
1
3
2
3
6
2-6
33%
8-10
5-11
80%
50%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.1
29
18
5
5
5
3
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.1
22
15
11
7
1
0
0
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.7
25
18
10
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.8
20
18
11
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.1
18
19
3
4
2
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
1-6
17%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
16
16
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
1-1
100%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
4
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.5
1
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.1
19
0
3-6
48%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
37
31
12
4
6
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
48%
2-3
67%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
36
35
22
6
6
2
2
2
3
1
5
8-9
89%
4-9
5-10
44%
49%
2-12
17%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
33
33
6
2
1
3
2
1
3
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
1-7
14%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.8
29
24
15
6
0
1
1
1
2
4
2
3-5
60%
6-11
4-7
55%
55%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.4
25
6
9
7
0
2
0
3
1
6
1
1-2
50%
4-7
1-1
57%
55%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.6
29
21
5
7
0
2
1
1
1
0
7
0-2
0%
1-9
3-6
11%
51%
1-3
33%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
21
27
8
8
1
2
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
16
6
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.1
11
10
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
1
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
1
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
27
1
5-8
58%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
8
0
1-2
46%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.