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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Bulls48%10894
11Pistons52%10998
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.1
42
35
23
11
0
3
2
0
1
0
11
12-14
86%
4-16
5-10
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.7
39
27
22
6
0
2
1
0
4
1
5
5-6
83%
4-6
3-5
67%
48%
3-8
38%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.1
34
30
8
2
6
0
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
6-12
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.3
32
29
16
12
3
2
0
3
3
3
9
2-2
100%
7-13
5-10
54%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.0
30
24
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
20
21
8
7
0
0
0
3
1
3
4
0-2
0%
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.7
18
15
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.8
18
16
5
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
17
20
2
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-2
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.8
15
17
6
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
2-2
100%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.3
6
0
1-1
47%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.8
6
0
0-1
40%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.7
4
0
0-1
48%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
42
32
26
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
4-9
44%
8-13
4-8
62%
47%
2-2
100%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.2
39
35
20
20
0
2
1
2
3
9
11
4-10
40%
8-19
7-14
42%
53%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.7
39
34
6
4
2
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-5
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.5
37
30
22
7
7
2
1
0
5
1
6
3-4
75%
8-20
5-11
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
22
26
2
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.4
30
18
11
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
3-8
38%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.7
16
15
0
3
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
40%
0-4
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.6
15
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.9
14
11
4
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.4
12
21
7
4
1
1
1
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
5
0
1-1
43%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
4
0
0-1
44%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.2
3
0
0-0
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.2
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.