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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
October 30, 2015
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors
112
5Rockets
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
31
31
9
7
7
2
1
1
1
1
6
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
27
34
25
7
6
1
2
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
5-6
4-9
83%
49%
4-9
44%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
26
31
12
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.0
25
15
9
7
1
0
0
2
2
3
4
1-4
25%
4-9
2-4
44%
50%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
24
29
11
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
1-5
20%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.8
30
24
12
6
4
2
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
52%
2-5
40%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.1
20
20
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-5
80%
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.9
19
16
5
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-1
100%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
13
11
14
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-5
60%
46%
0-1
0%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.8
7
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
6
12
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
6
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
5
6
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
37
35
16
7
5
1
2
1
4
2
5
7-8
88%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
1-10
10%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
36
34
11
4
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
6-9
67%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
1-3
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
30
32
11
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
22
16
9
7
2
1
0
1
4
4
3
1-2
50%
4-11
3-5
36%
56%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.8
18
27
4
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
29
26
11
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
6-8
75%
1-4
4-7
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
21
12
17
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-5
60%
7-9
1-3
78%
46%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
21
25
4
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
43%
0-1
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
18
17
7
8
1
0
0
2
2
1
7
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
5
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.1
10
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
4
0
0-1
44%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.