Final Win Prob. pScore
651%108
89
1349%107
109
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo Rockets
91.89798.0
MIA logo Heat
113.59695.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU89
109
Q4 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound89
109
Q4 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Ariza 40' 3PT Jump Shot89
109
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)89
109
Q4 - 0:26.0HOUBrewer 2' Driving Hook Shot (10 PTS)89
109
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)87
109
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)87
106
Q4 - 0:58.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
106
Q4 - 1:07MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
106
Q4 - 1:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
103
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS Brewer 7' Driving Hook Shot87
103
Q4 - 1:30MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)87
103
Q4 - 1:48HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)87
101
Q4 - 1:58MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)84
101
Q4 - 2:18HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Harrell84
99
Q4 - 2:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)84
99
Q4 - 2:18HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)84
99
Q4 - 2:18HOURockets Rebound84
99
Q4 - 2:19HOUWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)84
99
Q4 - 2:32MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T4) (D.Taylor)84
99
Q4 - 2:47MIAJohnson 2' Layup (8 PTS)84
99
Q4 - 2:48MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
97
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
97
Q4 - 3:02HOUWinslow STEAL (2 STL)84
97
Q4 - 3:19HOURockets Rebound84
97
Q4 - 3:19MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. Harden: Tip to Lawson84
97
Q4 - 3:22HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 2 of 284
97
Q4 - 3:22HOUHarrell Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)84
97
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Jones)83
97
Q4 - 3:44MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)83
97
Q4 - 3:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
95
Q4 - 3:59HOUMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
95
Q4 - 4:08HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)83
95
Q4 - 4:08MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)83
95
Q4 - 4:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
92
Q4 - 4:22HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
92
Q4 - 4:48HOUHarrell Violation:Defensive Goaltending (D.Jones)83
92
Q4 - 4:48MIAJohnson 2' Running Layup (6 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)83
92
Q4 - 4:52HOUWhiteside STEAL (3 STL)83
90
Q4 - 5:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)83
90
Q4 - 5:12HOUSUB: Harrell FOR Hayes83
89
Q4 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound83
89
Q4 - 5:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 283
89
Q4 - 5:12HOUThornton P.FOUL (P4.PN) (D.Taylor)83
89
Q4 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)83
89
Q4 - 5:30HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 5:43HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)83
89
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Winslow Dunk83
89
Q4 - 5:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
89
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot83
89
Q4 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)83
89
Q4 - 6:02HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot83
89
Q4 - 6:18MIAWinslow 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)83
89
Q4 - 6:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)83
87
Q4 - 6:35HOUMISS Thornton 3' Jump Shot83
87
Q4 - 6:46MIASUB: Whiteside FOR Bosh83
87
Q4 - 6:46MIA83
87
Q4 - 6:46MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P2.T2) (J.Phillips)83
87
Q4 - 6:47MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)83
87
Q4 - 7:00HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)83
87
Q4 - 7:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
87
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot83
87
Q4 - 7:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
87
Q4 - 7:34HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
87
Q4 - 7:49MIASUB: Wade FOR Green83
87
Q4 - 7:49HOUSUB: Thornton FOR Brewer83
87
Q4 - 7:49HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)83
87
Q4 - 7:49MIABosh Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)83
87
Q4 - 7:54HOUChalmers STEAL (2 STL)83
85
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)83
85
Q4 - 8:27HOUAriza L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)83
82
Q4 - 8:27MIAHEAT Rebound83
82
Q4 - 8:27HOUMISS Brewer 12' Hook Shot83
82
Q4 - 8:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
82
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 183
82
Q4 - 8:46HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Beverley83
82
Q4 - 8:46HOUSUB: Harden FOR Harrell83
82
Q4 - 8:4683
82
Q4 - 8:46HOULawson S.FOUL (P3.T3) (D.Taylor)83
82
Q4 - 8:46MIAJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS)83
82
Q4 - 8:46MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
80
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup83
80
Q4 - 9:02HOUBrewer 6' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)83
80
Q4 - 9:14MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
80
Q4 - 9:17HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P3.T2) (D.Taylor)81
80
Q4 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)81
80
Q4 - 9:20HOUJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
80
Q4 - 9:27MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)81
80
Q4 - 9:51HOUHarrell 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)81
78
Q4 - 10:06MIABosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
78
Q4 - 10:18HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P2.T1) (D.Jones)79
75
Q4 - 10:28HOUBrewer 10' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)79
75
Q4 - 10:40HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
75
Q4 - 10:41MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot77
75
Q4 - 11:04HOUHarrell Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)77
75
Q4 - 11:13HOURockets Rebound75
75
Q4 - 11:14HOUMISS Beverley 21' Jump Shot75
75
Q4 - 11:30MIAGreen Personal Block Foul (P2.T1) (D.Jones)75
75
Q4 - 11:38HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
75
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot75
75
Q4 - 12:0075
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
75
Q3 - 0:00.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
75
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
75
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
75
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
75
Q3 - 0:40.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
75
Q3 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
75
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAGreen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)75
75
Q3 - 1:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
72
Q3 - 1:14HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
72
Q3 - 1:38HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
72
Q3 - 1:39MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot75
72
Q3 - 1:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
72
Q3 - 1:46HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
72
Q3 - 1:55HOURockets Rebound75
72
Q3 - 1:56HOUBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)75
72
Q3 - 2:12HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Harden75
72
Q3 - 2:12MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside75
72
Q3 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)75
72
Q3 - 2:12HOUHarrell T.FOUL (P2.PN) (J.Phillips)75
71
Q3 - 2:12MIAWhiteside L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)75
71
Q3 - 2:12HOURockets Rebound75
71
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot75
71
Q3 - 2:25HOUBeverley Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)75
71
Q3 - 2:45MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)75
71
Q3 - 2:45MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)75
70
Q3 - 2:45HOUBrewer S.FOUL (P3.PN) (J.Phillips)75
69
Q3 - 2:48HOUJohnson STEAL (1 STL)75
69
Q3 - 2:57MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)75
69
Q3 - 3:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)75
66
Q3 - 3:08HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
66
Q3 - 3:24HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
66
Q3 - 3:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 175
66
Q3 - 3:25HOUHarrell S.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Taylor)75
66
Q3 - 3:25MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)75
66
Q3 - 3:47MIASUB: Johnson FOR Dragic75
64
Q3 - 3:47MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Deng75
64
Q3 - 3:47HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Thornton75
64
Q3 - 3:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)75
64
Q3 - 3:47HOUThornton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)75
64
Q3 - 3:55HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
64
Q3 - 3:56MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup73
64
Q3 - 4:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)73
64
Q3 - 4:03HOUMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
64
Q3 - 4:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
64
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
64
Q3 - 4:27HOUBeverley Driving Dunk (9 PTS)73
64
Q3 - 4:41MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
64
Q3 - 4:41MIASUB: Green FOR Wade71
63
Q3 - 4:41MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
63
Q3 - 4:41HOUBeverley P.FOUL (P1.PN) (J.Phillips)71
62
Q3 - 4:41HOUBrewer L.B.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)71
62
Q3 - 4:44MIAHEAT Rebound71
62
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot71
62
Q3 - 4:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
62
Q3 - 4:53HOUMISS Thornton 16' Jump Shot71
62
Q3 - 4:58HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)71
62
Q3 - 4:59HOUMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
62
Q3 - 5:20MIADeng 3' Running Layup (14 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)71
62
Q3 - 5:25HOUDragic STEAL (1 STL)71
60
Q3 - 5:38HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Ariza71
60
Q3 - 5:38MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T3) (J.Phillips)71
60
Q3 - 5:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
60
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Wade 18' Pullup Jump Shot71
60
Q3 - 5:58HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)71
60
Q3 - 6:17MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)71
60
Q3 - 6:31HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)71
57
Q3 - 6:31HOUSUB: Beverley FOR Lawson70
57
Q3 - 6:31HOUSUB: Harrell FOR Capela70
57
Q3 - 6:31MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh70
57
Q3 - 6:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)70
57
Q3 - 6:31HOURockets Rebound69
57
Q3 - 6:31HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 369
57
Q3 - 6:31MIADragic S.FOUL (P4.T2) (J.Phillips)69
57
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
57
Q3 - 6:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
55
Q3 - 6:48HOUWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)69
55
Q3 - 6:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
55
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot69
55
Q3 - 7:06HOULawson P.FOUL (P2.T3) (D.Taylor)69
55
Q3 - 7:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
55
Q3 - 7:08HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup69
55
Q3 - 7:32MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)69
55
Q3 - 7:57HOUCapela Dunk (10 PTS) (Thornton 2 AST)69
52
Q3 - 8:12HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)67
52
Q3 - 8:12MIADeng 2' Layup (9 PTS)67
52
Q3 - 8:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
50
Q3 - 8:14MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot67
50
Q3 - 8:30HOUWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)67
50
Q3 - 8:48MIAWhiteside Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)67
50
Q3 - 8:59HOUWade STEAL (2 STL)67
48
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade 18' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)67
48
Q3 - 9:27HOUAriza P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Taylor)67
46
Q3 - 9:48HOULawson 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)67
46
Q3 - 9:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
46
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot65
46
Q3 - 10:07HOUThornton Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)65
46
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)65
46
Q3 - 10:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)65
45
Q3 - 10:25HOUThornton S.FOUL (P3.T1) (D.Jones)65
44
Q3 - 10:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
44
Q3 - 10:43HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
44
Q3 - 11:07MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)65
44
Q3 - 11:33HOUCapela Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)65
44
Q3 - 11:43MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1) (D.Taylor)63
44
Q3 - 12:0063
44
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU63
44
Q2 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound63
44
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Thornton 48' 3PT Jump Shot63
44
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
44
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
42
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
42
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
42
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup63
42
Q2 - 0:49.0HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)63
42
Q2 - 0:57.0HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
42
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup60
42
Q2 - 1:08HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (14 PTS)60
42
Q2 - 1:08MIASUB: Winslow FOR Dragic59
42
Q2 - 1:08HOURockets Rebound59
42
Q2 - 1:08HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 359
42
Q2 - 1:08HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)59
42
Q2 - 1:08MIADragic P.FOUL (P3.T4) (D.Jones)58
42
Q2 - 1:26MIAJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS)58
42
Q2 - 1:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)58
40
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
40
Q2 - 1:48HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)58
40
Q2 - 2:12HOUAriza Violation:Defensive Goaltending (D.Taylor)55
40
Q2 - 2:12MIADragic 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)55
40
Q2 - 2:15HOUWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)55
38
Q2 - 2:20HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
38
Q2 - 2:21MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
38
Q2 - 2:30MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
38
Q2 - 2:31HOUMISS Ariza 16' Turnaround Jump Shot55
38
Q2 - 2:47HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)55
38
Q2 - 2:47MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)55
38
Q2 - 2:47MIAHEAT Rebound55
38
Q2 - 2:48MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup55
38
Q2 - 3:11HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)55
38
Q2 - 3:15HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
38
Q2 - 3:16MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
38
Q2 - 3:33HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)55
38
Q2 - 3:56MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
38
Q2 - 4:15HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Terry52
36
Q2 - 4:15HOUSUB: Capela FOR Hayes52
36
Q2 - 4:15HOUHayes P.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)52
36
Q2 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound52
36
Q2 - 4:15MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
36
Q2 - 4:37HOUThornton 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)52
36
Q2 - 4:43HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
36
Q2 - 4:45MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Hook Shot49
36
Q2 - 4:59MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
36
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
36
Q2 - 5:24HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
36
Q2 - 5:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 149
36
Q2 - 5:25MIASUB: Johnson FOR Green49
36
Q2 - 5:2549
36
Q2 - 5:25HOUHayes S.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Taylor)49
36
Q2 - 5:25MIAWhiteside 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
36
Q2 - 5:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
34
Q2 - 5:40HOUMISS Thornton 2' Driving Layup49
34
Q2 - 5:59MIADragic 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)49
34
Q2 - 6:15HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)49
32
Q2 - 6:15HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
32
Q2 - 6:15MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Jones)47
32
Q2 - 6:27HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
32
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot47
32
Q2 - 6:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
32
Q2 - 6:42HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
32
Q2 - 6:50MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P3.T10)47
32
Q2 - 7:03HOUThornton 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
32
Q2 - 7:15MIASUB: Deng FOR Bosh45
32
Q2 - 7:15MIAGreen P.FOUL (P1.T2) (J.Phillips)45
32
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)45
32
Q2 - 7:39MIASUB: Whiteside FOR McRoberts45
30
Q2 - 7:39HOUSUB: Thornton FOR Beverley45
30
Q2 - 7:39HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Brewer45
30
Q2 - 7:39HOUBrewer P.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Jones)45
30
Q2 - 7:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
30
Q2 - 7:44HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
30
Q2 - 7:50HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
30
Q2 - 7:51MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
30
Q2 - 7:59MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
30
Q2 - 8:00HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper45
30
Q2 - 8:23MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T9)45
30
Q2 - 8:23MIADragic Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T1) (D.Taylor)45
30
Q2 - 8:36MIASUB: Wade FOR Winslow45
30
Q2 - 8:36HOUHarden P.FOUL (P2.T1) (J.Phillips)45
30
Q2 - 8:43HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)45
30
Q2 - 9:00MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)42
30
Q2 - 9:17HOUSUB: Harden FOR Lawson42
30
Q2 - 9:17HOUSUB: Terry FOR Ariza42
30
Q2 - 9:17MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)42
30
Q2 - 9:17HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)42
30
Q2 - 9:28HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
30
Q2 - 9:29MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 9:38MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
30
Q2 - 9:39HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 9:53MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
30
Q2 - 10:00MIASUB: Dragic FOR Chalmers39
30
Q2 - 10:00HOUSUB: Hayes FOR Harrell39
30
Q2 - 10:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
30
Q2 - 10:16HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 10:26MIAWinslow Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
30
Q2 - 10:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
30
Q2 - 10:35HOUMISS Lawson 6' Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 10:50HOULawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
30
Q2 - 10:51MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot39
30
Q2 - 11:15HOUBeverley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
30
Q2 - 11:23HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
30
Q2 - 11:24MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot37
30
Q2 - 11:41HOUHarrell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)37
30
Q2 - 11:42HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
30
Q2 - 11:43HOUBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)35
30
Q2 - 12:0035
30
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU35
30
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
30
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot35
30
Q1 - 0:22.0HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
30
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWinslow 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
30
Q1 - 0:45.0HOULawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
28
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUSUB: Ariza FOR Harden34
28
Q1 - 0:45.0HOULawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)34
28
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Taylor)33
28
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)33
28
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)33
28
Q1 - 0:50.0MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Deng32
28
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)32
28
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)31
28
Q1 - 0:50.0MIA30
28
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWinslow P.FOUL (P1.T3) (D.Jones)30
28
Q1 - 1:07MIAGreen 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
28
Q1 - 1:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
26
Q1 - 1:14HOUMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot30
26
Q1 - 1:23MIADeng 3' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)30
26
Q1 - 1:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
24
Q1 - 1:27MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot30
24
Q1 - 1:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
24
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
24
Q1 - 1:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
24
Q1 - 1:51HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
24
Q1 - 1:59MIAChalmers 2' Layup (2 PTS)30
24
Q1 - 2:00MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
22
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot30
22
Q1 - 2:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
22
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup30
22
Q1 - 2:10HOUChalmers STEAL (1 STL)30
22
Q1 - 2:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
22
Q1 - 2:16MIAMISS Deng 8' Hook Shot30
22
Q1 - 2:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
22
Q1 - 2:32HOUMISS Brewer 5' Jump Shot30
22
Q1 - 2:42MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
22
Q1 - 2:42MIASUB: Bosh FOR Whiteside30
21
Q1 - 2:42MIAHEAT Rebound30
21
Q1 - 2:42MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 230
21
Q1 - 2:42HOULawson S.FOUL (P1.PN) (D.Taylor)30
21
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Green FOR Wade30
21
Q1 - 2:54HOUSUB: Lawson FOR Ariza30
21
Q1 - 2:54HOURockets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)30
21
Q1 - 2:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)30
21
Q1 - 3:02HOUBrewer 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)30
21
Q1 - 3:06MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)28
21
Q1 - 3:26HOUBrewer 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)28
21
Q1 - 3:35HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
21
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot26
21
Q1 - 3:58HOUBeverley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)26
21
Q1 - 4:25MIAWhiteside Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)24
21
Q1 - 4:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19
Q1 - 4:35HOUMISS Harden 16' Jump Shot24
19
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)24
19
Q1 - 4:48HOUSUB: Brewer FOR Thornton24
18
Q1 - 4:48MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Dragic24
18
Q1 - 4:48HOUThornton S.FOUL (P2.PN) (D.Taylor)24
18
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS)24
18
Q1 - 4:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
16
Q1 - 4:49MIAMISS Wade 6' Turnaround Bank Shot24
16
Q1 - 5:02HOUThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)24
16
Q1 - 5:09MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)21
16
Q1 - 5:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
16
Q1 - 5:12HOUMISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot21
16
Q1 - 5:25MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
16
Q1 - 5:41HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)21
14
Q1 - 5:41HOUSUB: Beverley FOR Lawson20
14
Q1 - 5:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)20
14
Q1 - 5:41MIAWhiteside Shooting Block Foul (P1.T2) (D.Taylor)20
14
Q1 - 5:41HOUHarden 1' Layup (6 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 5:41MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)18
14
Q1 - 5:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
14
Q1 - 5:44HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot18
14
Q1 - 5:50MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
14
Q1 - 6:12HOUThornton 4' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
12
Q1 - 6:32MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)16
12
Q1 - 6:39HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)16
10
Q1 - 6:54HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
10
Q1 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot14
10
Q1 - 6:59HOUWinslow STEAL (1 STL)14
10
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 7:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
9
Q1 - 7:13HOUHarrell Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN) (D.Jones)14
8
Q1 - 7:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 7:18HOUMISS Harrell 8' Turnaround Hook Shot14
8
Q1 - 7:37MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 7:37MIASUB: Winslow FOR Bosh14
7
Q1 - 7:37HOUSUB: Harrell FOR Capela14
7
Q1 - 7:37MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
7
Q1 - 7:37HOUCapela S.FOUL (P2.T4) (D.Taylor)14
6
Q1 - 7:37HOUCapela Personal Block Foul (P1.T3) (D.Jones)14
6
Q1 - 7:54MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending (D.Jones)14
6
Q1 - 7:54HOUCapela 3' Layup (6 PTS)14
6
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 8:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
5
Q1 - 8:13HOUHarden S.FOUL (P1.T2) (D.Taylor)12
4
Q1 - 8:30HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)12
4
Q1 - 8:51MIADeng 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
4
Q1 - 9:13HOUCapela Dunk (4 PTS)9
2
Q1 - 9:14HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
2
Q1 - 9:15HOUMISS Ariza 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
2
Q1 - 9:27MIADeng Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
2
Q1 - 9:41HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
2
Q1 - 9:41HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
2
Q1 - 9:41MIADragic Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1) (J.Phillips)5
2
Q1 - 9:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 9:58HOUThornton P.FOUL (P1.T1) (J.Phillips)5
2
Q1 - 10:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:02HOUMISS Ariza 23' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:13MIAWhiteside 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 10:17HOUWade STEAL (1 STL)5
0
Q1 - 10:26HOUThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
0
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup5
0
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
0
Q1 - 10:29MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 10:47HOUThornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)5
0
Q1 - 10:53HOURockets Rebound2
0
Q1 - 10:54HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:05HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Bosh 17' Turnaround Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:27HOUCapela 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:42HOURockets Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Capela: Tip to Dragic0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventHOUMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
18
26
69%
MIA
27
38
71%
Midrange
HOU
4
17
24%
MIA
6
26
23%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
36
28%
42%
MIA
9
13.5
22
41%
61%
Free Throws
HOU
15
18
83%
MIA
16
21
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Thornton2166%10.5 / 16
J. Harden1640%8.0 / 20
C. Capela10100%5.0 / 5
C. Brewer1038%5.0 / 13
T. Ariza935%4.5 / 13
P. Beverley964%4.5 / 7
M. Harrell770%3.5 / 5
T. Lawson450%2.0 / 4
J. Terry350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2583%12.5 / 15
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
L. Deng1450%7.0 / 14
T. Johnson1179%5.5 / 7
C. Bosh1045%5.0 / 11
J. Winslow1063%5.0 / 8
G. Dragic850%4.0 / 8
G. Green744%3.5 / 8
M. Chalmers450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+10
-17
90
MIA
84
+14
-12
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.99 49.4%
MIA
1.11 55.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
106.0
HOU 91.8
MIA 113.5 +21.8
Pace
97.9
93.7
HOU 98.0 +3.0
MIA 95.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
16.0
HOU 14.7 −0.5
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
50.8%
HOU 46.8%
MIA 54.1% +7.3%
TO %
15.5%
14.0%
HOU 17.2%
MIA 13.6% −3.6%
ORB %
25.7%
23.9%
HOU 7.5%
MIA 26.2% +18.7%
FTrt
35.2
28.2
HOU 22.8
MIA 24.4 +1.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.9%
54.3%
HOU 62.5% +5.4%
MIA 57.1%
STL %
10.2%
7.2%
HOU 9.3%
MIA 11.5% +2.2%
BLK %
9.0%
10.3%
HOU 4.7%
MIA 11.6% +6.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
52.8%
HOU 49.4%
MIA 55.6% +6.2%
Rim FG%
58.5%
62.3%
HOU 69.2%
MIA 71.1% +1.9%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.5%
HOU 23.5% +0.4%
MIA 23.1%
3P %
34.7%
33.6%
HOU 27.8%
MIA 40.9% +13.1%
FT %
69.5%
74.4%
HOU 83.3% +7.1%
MIA 76.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.0%
37.0%
HOU 32.9%
MIA 44.2% +11.3%
Mid Att. %
23.0%
40.9%
HOU 21.5% −8.7%
MIA 30.2%
3P Att. %
37.0%
22.1%
HOU 45.6% +20.0%
MIA 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.
Game TotalsHOUMIA
Possessions9796
Possession Minutes23.824.3
Points89109
Rebounds3448
Assists2024
Steals911
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)12 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)3 (7)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)37 (1)
Field Goals32-7942-86
At-the-Rim FG18-2627-38
Midrange FG4-176-26
2-Point FG22-4333-64
3-Point FG10-369-22
Free Throws15-1816-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
40.8
9
35%
7
4
3
0
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
0-5
0%
3-8
38%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
39.1
16
40%
6
7
3
1
5
2
0
6
12-14
86%
2-5
40%
0-10
0%
G · 5'11" 195 · 28
37.5
4
50%
4
4
1
0
3
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 205 · 28
30.9
21
66%
2
2
0
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
5-9
56%
C · 6'10" 256 · 21
14.1
10
100%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22
22.3
7
70%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 186 · 30
21.3
10
38%
1
3
2
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'1" 185 · 27
19.8
9
64%
3
0
0
0
3
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
5.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 30
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
#6 · F · 6'9" 252 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
34
20
9
3
17
0
3
31
15-18
83%
22-43
51%
10-36
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.