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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 1, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets
93
5Thunder
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.2
27
32
15
4
0
1
1
0
1
2
2
7-8
88%
1-8
3-7
13%
44%
2-5
40%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
27
29
6
4
5
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-11
3-7
27%
42%
0-3
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.1
27
21
7
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
1-3
1-3
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.1
19
17
11
7
3
1
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.9
14
28
8
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
0-1
0%
4-6
5-11
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.7
27
22
13
1
7
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
44%
2-5
40%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
24
12
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-3
44%
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.8
24
24
15
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.6
24
17
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
43%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.1
16
15
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-5
20%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 24.5
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
3
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.7
3
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.2
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
31
30
18
7
4
0
1
5
1
1
6
2-3
67%
8-13
5-9
62%
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
28
38
25
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
6-6
100%
5-6
7-13
83%
54%
3-5
60%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
25
37
15
9
8
3
2
0
4
2
7
0-0
-
6-9
9-19
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.3
22
28
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
3
0
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
20
15
10
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
58%
1-3
33%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
24
23
10
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
20
9
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.0
18
19
14
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
4-5
80%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.4
18
19
12
10
1
0
0
0
6
3
7
0-0
-
6-11
4-8
55%
52%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
16
15
6
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.0
10
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
4
12
0
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.