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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 2, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder44%110105
6Rockets56%112110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.1
35
34
29
4
0
0
1
2
5
1
3
7-9
78%
5-10
6-11
50%
53%
4-9
44%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.1
34
30
12
14
2
1
0
4
1
6
8
0-0
-
6-13
5-10
46%
52%
0-1
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
32
32
25
8
11
2
2
0
7
2
6
2-2
100%
7-10
7-15
70%
46%
3-6
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.9
22
19
7
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.3
19
25
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
32
23
9
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
2-7
3-7
29%
43%
1-1
100%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.5
22
19
6
12
3
0
0
1
2
3
9
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.0
22
19
12
5
0
1
1
0
6
0
5
3-5
60%
3-6
1-3
50%
42%
1-3
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
16
15
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
5
16
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.0
8
0
1-1
49%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
8
0
1-1
42%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.4
4
0
1-1
49%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
38
37
37
5
3
3
2
2
2
0
5
9-11
82%
8-14
4-9
57%
48%
4-12
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.4
37
16
12
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
2-6
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
37
35
14
5
11
4
1
0
4
2
3
2-7
29%
6-8
4-8
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.3
36
35
9
4
2
1
2
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
35
12
16
8
0
2
0
4
1
2
6
4-7
57%
6-13
2-4
46%
56%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
22
24
12
2
3
3
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.3
21
22
6
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
11
17
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
3
20
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32.4
8
0
1-1
45%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.1
6
0
0-1
47%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
45%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
3
0
0-1
47%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.1
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.