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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 2, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies29%10269
1Warriors71%110119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
26
31
10
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
2-6
3-8
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.8
26
30
13
9
3
0
1
1
2
3
6
3-3
100%
5-12
6-13
42%
46%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
25
31
6
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-5
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.3
19
29
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-9
5-12
22%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.8
12
25
0
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.6
26
18
9
6
1
1
1
3
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
1-6
17%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.4
21
12
6
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
20
17
7
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-6
3-4
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
20
25
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
44%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.8
16
5
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.3
15
15
0
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.3
8
3
4
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-0
-
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.5
6
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
1-3
0-1
33%
39%
1-2
50%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.8
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.6
28
32
30
3
3
3
2
1
3
1
2
6-6
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
4-8
50%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
27
33
11
9
8
0
2
3
2
0
9
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
3-4
75%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.7
26
26
14
7
2
0
1
2
2
0
7
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.0
20
19
11
10
0
0
0
3
1
3
7
3-3
100%
4-5
3-5
80%
51%
0-0
-
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
20
30
8
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.8
22
28
6
3
4
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
54%
0-3
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
19
13
4
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.8
16
6
9
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
1-7
14%
4-6
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.9
15
15
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.3
13
8
2
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
12
3
15
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.1
10
20
4
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.3
10
5
2
4
2
2
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.7
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.