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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 3, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Hawks45%10398
11Heat55%10492
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.7
36
34
12
10
3
3
2
1
1
4
6
4-8
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
0-3
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.6
34
30
9
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
1-6
17%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.4
34
31
26
6
9
1
1
0
3
2
4
6-7
86%
7-16
5-10
44%
47%
2-2
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
34
33
17
13
2
1
1
0
1
7
6
1-1
100%
8-17
6-11
47%
53%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.3
32
26
10
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.8
21
18
6
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.1
16
24
4
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
44%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.6
13
4
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
1-5
20%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.3
12
12
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
8
15
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.6
8
0
1-2
44%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
5
0
1-1
51%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.5
4
0
0-1
45%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.6
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.6
39
26
9
14
2
3
1
2
0
2
12
0-0
-
3-8
5-10
38%
51%
1-6
17%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.5
32
28
19
5
2
3
1
1
4
2
3
4-4
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
52%
3-5
60%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.4
31
30
23
14
0
0
1
4
3
5
9
1-2
50%
11-12
6-10
92%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.8
27
30
21
1
3
0
1
1
4
1
0
4-6
67%
7-12
7-15
58%
49%
1-3
33%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.5
25
28
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
0-4
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.6
23
25
4
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
22
20
2
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
47%
0-4
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.5
21
13
7
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.7
10
10
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.3
10
4
3
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.1
8
0
1-2
44%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.4
4
0
0-1
47%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.3
2
0
0-0
44%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.8
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.