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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 4, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs66%10999
16Wizards34%103102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
35
31
10
15
1
1
1
0
5
4
11
2-2
100%
4-14
7-15
29%
46%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
35
33
23
9
0
1
2
0
1
3
6
2-2
100%
9-18
7-13
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
30
27
17
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
29
28
12
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
3-3
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
3-8
38%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.5
27
30
8
11
5
0
1
0
4
2
9
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
49%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
22
20
12
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
21
22
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
15
21
1
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
12
10
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
9
6
6
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
5
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
3
0
0-1
45%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.2
3
0
0-1
49%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.1
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.4
38
32
19
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
1-1
100%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.4
36
34
25
5
4
3
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
8-14
5-12
57%
43%
3-8
38%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.2
35
35
17
2
13
4
2
1
1
0
2
4-5
80%
5-11
5-12
45%
45%
1-5
20%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
28
27
10
8
1
0
1
1
3
0
8
2-2
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
53%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
23
16
7
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.1
20
18
6
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-3
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.3
17
18
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
16
17
5
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.1
16
16
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
41%
1-1
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.1
8
17
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.5
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.5
5
0
1-2
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 19.9
2
0
0-0
43%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.1
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.