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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 5, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Grizzlies
96
21Trail Blazers
115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.3
33
26
16
10
2
1
1
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
8-12
5-11
67%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
31
28
7
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
30
28
18
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
3-6
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.8
28
24
15
5
3
0
1
2
1
1
4
7-10
70%
4-13
5-10
31%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.8
24
20
6
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.7
24
22
5
5
3
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
20
22
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
18
21
6
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-3
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
62%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.3
16
17
9
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
1-1
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.4
10
17
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.5
4
4
0
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.8
3
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.8
7
0
0-1
42%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
33
33
11
10
5
1
1
0
2
2
8
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
1-4
25%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
33
37
27
1
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-7
6-12
29%
48%
7-11
64%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
30
34
20
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
3-12
5-10
25%
47%
4-6
67%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.7
27
20
14
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
4-4
2-3
100%
53%
1-3
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
22
29
8
12
3
1
1
0
0
5
7
0-2
0%
4-6
4-7
67%
58%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
25
24
10
3
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
50%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
23
20
9
8
2
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-3
33%
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
21
22
11
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
1-1
100%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.2
11
15
2
3
0
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.5
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.0
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.6
4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-1
100%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.9
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.